Stock fact sheet · data as of
Northern Technologies International Corporation (NTIC): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Basic Materials · Chemicals - Specialty · United States · Speculative / Distressed
Is NTIC undervalued?
At 7.71 (close of 16 Oct 2026), NTIC trades 67% over the GLS average fair value of 4.61, with 1 of 2 models above the price. The stock earns none of the Wheel Score's Value points at this price. That is a statement about price against trailing fundamentals, not about the company's prospects - the Wall Street View and the Growth tab on the Quote page carry the forward numbers.
Only 2 of the nine models produced a value (DCF, DDM); the others need a dividend, positive free cash flow or positive book value the company does not have yet, so the average rests on a narrow base.
The nightly engine files NTIC under Speculative / Distressed - negative earnings or a Piotroski score of 3 or less - which caps its Wheel Score at 45 and keeps it out of the Sunday Scan.
Nine valuation models for NTIC
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 8.92 | +16% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | - | - | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share; no value tonight |
| Graham Growth | - | - | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields; no value tonight |
| Lynch | - | - | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25%; no value tonight |
| GLS Growth | - | - | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year; no value tonight |
| 10 Cap | - | - | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10%; no value tonight |
| Payback Time | - | - | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself; no value tonight |
| DDM | 0.2943 | -96% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | - | - | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth; no value tonight |
| Zombie (liquidation) | 1.93 | -75% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 20.00 | +159% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Financial health is weak: NTIC passes 0 of the nine Piotroski tests. Our screens drop the stock at the health rule; a low score is often the reason a stock looks cheap on the valuation models. The GLS Moat score is low at 3.1 out of 10, which says the ten-year record of revenue, earnings, margins and returns on capital has been inconsistent - growth and shocks rather than steady compounding.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC 0.0%, ROE 0.0%, ROA 0.0% - with debt at 0.18 times equity and negative free cash flow.
The dividend yield is 0.26% with a payout ratio of -52% - a small yield that leaves most of the earnings in the business. Revenue comes mainly from Zerust 75%, Natur Tec 26% (quarter Q4 FY2025).
Institutional ownership scores 4/10, insider activity 5/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 0 / 9 | ROIC | 0.0% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 3.1 / 10 | ROE | 0.0% |
| Debt / equity | 0.18 | ROA | 0.0% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -5.1% | Payout ratio | -52% |
| Institutions | 4 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 5 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 11: No options
NTIC has no listed options in the nightly snapshot, so there is nothing to sell and the stock cannot be wheeled however good the business; the Wheel Score is capped at 39 and shown as "No options" (11 here). The valuation and quality numbers still apply to owning the shares outright.
Volume runs at 1k shares a day on a market cap of $73M, with a beta of 0.19 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 6 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 0 / 25 | -67% margin of safety | |
| Health | 0 / 20 | Piotroski 0/9 | |
| Moat | 5 / 15 | moat 3.1/10 | |
| Premium | 0 / 20 | no option data | |
| Stability | 6 / 20 | 1k shares/day, $73M cap, beta 0.19 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 17 Nov 2026 (before the open), 32 days away; a 30-45-day put sold today would expire after it, which is worth weighing against the premium.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Chemicals - Specialty
The 12 companies below are the closest to Northern Technologies International Corporation by market cap within the Chemicals - Specialty industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSI Flexible Solutions International, Inc. | 6.05 | 0.9865 | -513% | 15No options | $77M |
| AMTX Aemetis, Inc. | 1.45 | - | - | 37Weak | $104M |
| ACNT Ascent Industries Co. | 13.55 | 8.37 | -62% | 31Weak | $122M |
| FEAM 5E Advanced Materials Inc. | 3.16 | 0.6466 | -389% | 19No options | $132M |
| BIOF Blue Biofuels, Inc. | 0.1050 | - | - | 26No options | $34M |
| CMT Core Molding Technologies, Inc. | 23.35 | 26.68 | +12% | 39No options | $207M |
| HDSN Hudson Technologies, Inc. | 5.04 | 7.09 | +29% | 66Good | $212M |
| FF FutureFuel Corp. | 5.65 | 1.68 | -236% | 35Weak | $248M |
| NNUP Nocopi Technologies, Inc. | 1.75 | 0.6151 | -185% | 13No options | $21M |
| ALTO Alto Ingredients, Inc. | 3.66 | 7.91 | +54% | 67Good | $284M |
| GEVO Gevo, Inc. | 1.17 | - | - | 41Weak | $289M |
| LOOP Loop Industries, Inc. | 0.3722 | - | - | 29Weak | $18M |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about NTIC
Is NTIC undervalued right now?
No: at 7.71 the stock trades 67% above the GLS average fair value of 4.61 (data as of 16 Oct 2026), well beyond what trailing earnings, cash flow and book value support.
What is the Wheel Score of NTIC and what does it mean?
NTIC has no listed options in our nightly snapshot, so it cannot be wheeled; its Wheel Score is capped at 39 and shown as "No options".
What is the GLS fair value for NTIC?
4.61 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 2 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Northern Technologies International Corporation report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 17 Nov 2026 (before the open), 32 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does NTIC have listed options, and how liquid are they?
No. The nightly options snapshot found no listed contracts on NTIC, so the wheel strategy cannot be run on it and the Wheel Score is capped at 39.