Stock fact sheet · data as of
Nutanix, Inc. (NTNX): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Technology · Software - Infrastructure · United States · Speculative / Distressed
Is NTNX undervalued?
Nutanix, Inc. (NTNX) closed at 69.98 on 16 Oct 2026. The GLS average fair value - the simple average of the 7 valuation models that produced a positive number - is 140.22, which puts the price 50% below it. 5 of the 7 models value the shares above the current price. A gap this wide is rare in our universe of ~7,400 US stocks and is exactly what the Value part of the Wheel Score rewards; it is also where the question "why is it this cheap?" matters most.
The 7 models disagree widely: Graham Number gives 18.04 while GLS Growth gives 340.94. A spread that wide means the average is sensitive to which methods you trust; the model table below shows where each one lands, and the Quote page lets you switch any of them off.
The nightly engine files NTNX under Speculative / Distressed - negative earnings or a Piotroski score of 3 or less - which caps its Wheel Score at 45 and keeps it out of the Sunday Scan.
Nine valuation models for NTNX
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 108.89 | +56% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 18.04 | -74% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 233.19 | +233% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 95.57 | +37% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 340.94 | +387% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | - | - | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10%; no value tonight |
| Payback Time | 123.03 | +76% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | - | - | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend; no value tonight |
| EPV | 61.88 | -12% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -5.54 | -108% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 76.11 | +9% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Financial health is weak: NTNX passes 3 of the nine Piotroski tests. Our screens drop the stock at the health rule; a low score is often the reason a stock looks cheap on the valuation models. The GLS Moat score is 6.1 out of 10: a ten-year record that is consistent in some of the metrics the score tracks (revenue, earnings, margins, cash flow, returns on capital) and patchy in others.
Returns on capital are high - ROIC 67.8%, ROE 214.5%, ROA 29.7% - with debt at 2.16 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 4.4%. Debt of 2.16 times equity is on the high side for the sector and is worth checking against the cash flow before treating the stock as a long-term hold.
Nutanix, Inc. pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain. Revenue comes mainly from Product 51%, Service 49% (quarter Q4 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 10/10, insider activity 1/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales; the last recorded insider buy was on 15 Sep 2026.
| Piotroski F-score | 3 / 9 | ROIC | 67.8% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 6.1 / 10 | ROE | 214.5% |
| Debt / equity | 2.16 | ROA | 29.7% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 4.4% | Payout ratio | 0% |
| Institutions | 10 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 1 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 45: Weak
NTNX scores 45 out of 100 on the Wheel Score, in the Weak band (under 50), capped at 45 because the engine files it as Speculative / Distressed. Value 25/25, Health 7/20, Moat 9/15, Premium 20/20, Stability 20/20. The score is not a judgement on the company; it says the price, quality and premium do not line up for selling puts on it today.
Implied volatility is 42% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - inside the 35-60% range the Wheel Score pays full marks for: enough premium to be worth selling, not so much that the risk is unpaid. The option chain is deep: 89,360 contracts of open interest across all expiries, which means tight fills at most strikes.
Volume runs at 3.4M shares a day on a market cap of $18.9B, with a beta of 0.64 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 20 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 25 / 25 | 50% margin of safety | |
| Health | 7 / 20 | Piotroski 3/9 | |
| Moat | 9 / 15 | moat 6.1/10 | |
| Premium | 20 / 20 | implied volatility 42% | |
| Stability | 20 / 20 | 3.4M shares/day, $18.9B cap, beta 0.64 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 24 Nov 2026 (after the close), 39 days away; a 30-45-day put sold today would expire after it, which is worth weighing against the premium.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Software - Infrastructure
The 12 companies below are the closest to Nutanix, Inc. by market cap within the Software - Infrastructure industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KSPI Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz | 94.84 | 21,073.44 | +100% | 89Prime | $18.0B |
| TOST Toast, Inc. | 29.85 | 29.40 | -2% | 71Good | $15.4B |
| RBRK Rubrik, Inc. | 113.90 | 34.09 | -234% | 45Weak | $23.4B |
| GEN Gen Digital Inc. | 24.82 | 43.44 | +43% | 88Prime | $14.9B |
| IOT Samsara Inc. | 42.59 | 8.79 | -385% | 63Fair | $24.9B |
| CHKP Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. | 138.10 | 186.70 | +26% | 87Prime | $14.1B |
| FFIV F5, Inc. | 456.58 | 348.63 | -31% | 66Good | $25.9B |
| GDDY GoDaddy Inc. | 107.29 | 243.71 | +56% | 94Prime | $13.6B |
| CPAY Corpay, Inc. | 406.20 | 501.19 | +19% | 80Prime | $26.7B |
| AKAM Akamai Technologies, Inc. | 92.32 | 80.13 | -15% | 62Fair | $13.3B |
| VRSN VeriSign, Inc. | 301.41 | 176.66 | -71% | 68Good | $27.2B |
| DOCN DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc. | 109.47 | 52.60 | -108% | 48Weak | $12.9B |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about NTNX
Is NTNX undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, yes: at 69.98 the stock is 50% below the average fair value of 140.22 (data as of 16 Oct 2026). Whether the discount is deserved is the question to research next.
What is the Wheel Score of NTNX and what does it mean?
NTNX scores 45 out of 100 (Weak). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for NTNX?
140.22 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 7 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Nutanix, Inc. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 24 Nov 2026 (after the close), 39 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does NTNX have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 488 listed contracts with 89,360 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 42% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.