Stock fact sheet · data as of
Octave Intelligence plc (OCTV): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Ticker symbol OCTV · Technology · Software - Application · United States · Class B ordinary shares · Speculative
OCTV is Octave Intelligence plc's Class B ordinary shares. The classes own the same business, share the same earnings report and trade within a few cents of each other; what differs is mainly the vote each share carries - the company's annual report sets out the voting rights.
Is OCTV undervalued?
Octave Intelligence plc (OCTV) closed at 21.56 on 5 Nov 2026. The GLS average fair value - the simple average of the 2 valuation models that produced a positive number - is 131.67, which puts the price 84% below it. 2 of the 2 models value the shares above the current price. A gap this wide is rare in our universe of ~7,400 US stocks and is exactly what the Value part of the Wheel Score rewards; it is also where the question "why is it this cheap?" matters most.
Only 2 of the nine models produced a value (DCF, 10 Cap); the others need a dividend, positive free cash flow or positive book value the company does not have yet, so the average rests on a narrow base.
The nightly engine files OCTV under Speculative - it is losing money or its Piotroski health score is 3 or lower - which caps its Wheel Score at 45 and keeps it out of the Sunday Scan.
Nine valuation models for OCTV
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 233.25 | +982% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | - | - | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share; no value tonight |
| Graham Growth | - | - | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields; no value tonight |
| Lynch | - | - | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25%; no value tonight |
| GLS Growth | - | - | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year; no value tonight |
| 10 Cap | 30.09 | +40% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | - | - | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself; no value tonight |
| DDM | - | - | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend; no value tonight |
| EPV | - | - | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth; no value tonight |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -1.35 | -106% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 22.00 | +2% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
No Piotroski health score is on file for OCTV (the statements it needs were not available), so the Health part of the Wheel Score counts it at half marks - 10 of 20 - rather than marking the stock down for missing data. The GLS Moat score is 5.0 out of 10: a record that is solid on some of the four parts the score weighs (returns on capital, pricing power, lasting growth, balance sheet) and weaker on others.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC 3.2%, ROE 3.2%, ROA 2.9% - with debt at 0.01 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 7.6%.
Octave Intelligence plc pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain. Revenue comes mainly from Subscriptions And Licenses 40%, Subscriptions 35%, Software As A Service 11% (quarter Q2 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 1/10, insider activity 5/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | - / 9 | ROIC | 3.2% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 5.0 / 10 | ROE | 3.2% |
| Debt / equity | 0.01 | ROA | 2.9% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 7.6% | Payout ratio | 0% |
| Institutions | 1 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 5 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 49: Weak
OCTV scores 49 out of 100 on the Wheel Score, in the Weak band (under 50): it fails filter 1, options that actually trade - options too quiet (1,301 open interest, 62 a day); and filter 2, a real business, not a gamble - speculative (a loss, or a weak Piotroski score), and the parts are thin too - value strong, premium strong, moat fair, health fair, red flags strong, option trading weak, stability good. The score is not a judgement on the company; it says the price, quality and premium do not line up for selling puts on it today.
Implied volatility is 44% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - inside the 35-60% sweet spot the Wheel Score rewards most: enough premium to be worth selling, not so much that the risk is unpaid. Chain open interest is thin - 1,301 contracts across every expiry - so fills at a fair price are not guaranteed; a 30-45-day put may not exist at a usable strike.
Volume runs at 1.7M shares a day on a market cap of $5.8B, with a beta of -5.93 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score rates that good.
| Filter | Wheel Trade Filter | Result | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Options that actually trade | Fails | options too quiet (1,301 open interest, 62 a day) |
| 2 | A real business, not a gamble | Fails | speculative (a loss, or a weak Piotroski score) |
| 3 | Below fair value | Passes | Trading below the nine-model average fair value (margin of safety above 0) |
| 4 | Financially healthy | Passes | Piotroski F-score 6 or more out of 9 (a company with no score on file passes) |
| 5 | Can repay its debt | Passes | Long-term debt repaid from 3 years of operating cash flow or less (6 for real estate and utilities; banks and insurers are not judged on it) |
| 6 | No serious red flags | Passes | Red Flags score 60 or more out of 100 (earnings, margins, debt, analysts, filings and price checked the same way for every stock) |
| 7 | A premium worth selling | Passes | Implied volatility 25-80% (enough premium, not a lottery ticket) |
| 8 | Big enough | Passes | Market cap $1 billion or more |
| 9 | Not a penny stock | Passes | Share price $5 or more |
| How it ranks | Rating | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | Strong | 84% below fair value | |
| Premium | Strong | implied volatility 44% | |
| Moat | Fair | moat 5.0/10 | |
| Health | Fair | no Piotroski score on file - half marks | |
| Red Flags | Strong | Red Flags score 100/100 | |
| Option trading | Weak | 62 contracts a day, 1,301 open interest | |
| Stability | Good | beta -5.93, $5.8B company |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls: a stock must pass all 9 Wheel Trade Filters to score 70, and the score then ranks the ones that pass; the Sunday Scan is the top 10. It is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. How the Wheel Score works · the walkthrough lesson shows how it fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
Octave Intelligence plc reports earnings on 11 Nov 2026 - inside the 14-day window the Sunday Scan avoids, because a put sold now would carry the report's gap risk.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Software - Application
The 12 companies below are the closest to Octave Intelligence plc by market cap within the Software - Application industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RNG RingCentral, Inc. | 77.96 | 162.34 | +52% | 85Prime | $5.8B |
| NICE NICE Ltd. | 99.59 | 273.38 | +64% | 87Prime | $5.9B |
| PEGA Pegasystems Inc. | 34.36 | 46.46 | +26% | 75Good | $5.6B |
| NIQ NIQ Global Intelligence Plc | 20.27 | 55.44 | +63% | 45Weak | $6.0B |
| YOU Clear Secure, Inc. | 59.08 | 67.15 | +12% | 78Good | $6.1B |
| DLB Dolby Laboratories, Inc. | 65.02 | 53.09 | -22% | 37Weak | $6.1B |
| KVYO Klaviyo, Inc. | 21.36 | 6.78 | -215% | 30Weak | $6.4B |
| BRZE Braze, Inc. | 46.10 | 15.98 | -189% | 23Weak | $5.2B |
| OTEX Open Text Corporation | 26.59 | 120.87 | +78% | 57Fair | $6.5B |
| DUOL Duolingo, Inc. | 161.27 | 187.31 | +14% | 44Weak | $6.5B |
| NAVN Navan, Inc. | 27.06 | 3.13 | -764% | 28Weak | $6.6B |
| CVLT Commvault Systems, Inc. | 162.44 | 51.84 | -213% | 41Weak | $6.6B |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about OCTV
What kind of share is OCTV?
OCTV is Octave Intelligence plc's Class B ordinary shares. The classes own the same business, share the same earnings report and trade within a few cents of each other; what differs is mainly the vote each share carries - the company's annual report sets out the voting rights.
Is OCTV undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, yes: at 21.56 the stock is 84% below the average fair value of 131.67 (data as of 5 Nov 2026). Whether the discount is deserved is the question to research next.
What is the Wheel Score of OCTV and what does it mean?
OCTV scores 49 out of 100 (Weak) - it fails Wheel Trade Filters 1, 2. The Wheel Score ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned - in two parts: the 9 pass/fail Wheel Trade Filters (busy options, a real business, below fair value, Piotroski 6 or more, debt it can repay, a Red Flags score of 60 or more, implied volatility of 25-80%, a $1 billion company, $5 a share) and a ranking of how strongly a stock passes on value, premium, moat, health, red flags, option trading and stability. A stock that fails any filter stays under 70; 70-84 is Good, 85 and above is Prime. The Sunday Scan is the top 10 that pass, sorted by Wheel Score.
What is the GLS fair value for OCTV?
131.67 per share as of 5 Nov 2026 - the simple average of the 2 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Octave Intelligence plc report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 11 Nov 2026, 6 days from the data date of 5 Nov 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does OCTV have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 30 listed contracts with 1,301 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 44% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.