Stock fact sheet · data as of
Commvault Systems, Inc. (CVLT): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Technology · Software - Application · United States · Blend
Is CVLT undervalued?
Commvault Systems, Inc. (CVLT) closed at 158.91 on 16 Oct 2026, 224% above the GLS average fair value of 49.00. 8 of the 8 models that produced a number value the shares below the current price. A gap this wide usually means the market is paying for growth or a story the trailing numbers do not show yet; the models work from filed results, not forecasts, so they are conservative by design.
There is a wide gap between Graham Number (6.84) and 10 Cap (140.02). When the models are this far apart the "fair value" is really a range, and the margin of safety above should be read with that range in mind.
The nightly engine files CVLT under Blend.
Nine valuation models for CVLT
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 20.98 | -87% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 6.84 | -96% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 69.45 | -56% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 28.49 | -82% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 13.64 | -91% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 140.02 | -12% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 94.23 | -41% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | - | - | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend; no value tonight |
| EPV | 18.36 | -88% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -14.29 | -109% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 158.36 | -0% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Commvault Systems, Inc. scores 6 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score: a middling result that passes the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. Some of the nine tests on profitability, leverage and efficiency are failed, so the accounts are worth a look before selling a put on the name. On durability CVLT scores 5.4/10 on the GLS Moat - a middle reading; the Scorecard on the Quote page's Financials tab shows which ten-year lines are steady and which are not.
Returns on capital are moderate - ROIC 7.6%, ROE 942.8%, ROA 3.7% - with debt at 122.43 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 3.9%. Debt of 122.43 times equity is on the high side for the sector and is worth checking against the cash flow before treating the stock as a long-term hold.
Commvault Systems, Inc. pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain. Revenue comes mainly from Subscription 87%, Service, Other 10%, Perpetual License 3% (quarter Q1 FY2027).
Institutional ownership scores 10/10, insider activity 1/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 6 / 9 | ROIC | 7.6% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 5.4 / 10 | ROE | 942.8% |
| Debt / equity | 122.43 | ROA | 3.7% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 3.9% | Payout ratio | 0% |
| Institutions | 10 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 1 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 58: Fair
A Wheel Score of 58 puts Commvault Systems, Inc. in the Fair band - below the 70 the Sunday Scan requires. Value 0/25, Health 13/20, Moat 8/15, Premium 20/20 and Stability 16/20; the weakest part is Value (0/25).
Implied volatility is 61% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - above the 60% ceiling of the sweet spot. Premiums are large, but the Wheel Score tapers the Premium points (20 of 20) because volatility this high usually comes with a reason. Chain open interest is 5,840 contracts across all expiries - enough for the wheel at normal size.
Volume runs at 659k shares a day on a market cap of $6.6B, with a beta of 0.79 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 16 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 0 / 25 | -224% margin of safety | |
| Health | 13 / 20 | Piotroski 6/9 | |
| Moat | 8 / 15 | moat 5.4/10 | |
| Premium | 20 / 20 | implied volatility 61% | |
| Stability | 16 / 20 | 659k shares/day, $6.6B cap, beta 0.79 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
Commvault Systems, Inc. reports earnings on 27 Oct 2026 (before the open) - inside the 14-day window the Sunday Scan avoids, because a put sold now would carry the report's gap risk.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Software - Application
The 12 companies below are the closest to Commvault Systems, Inc. by market cap within the Software - Application industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LYFT Lyft, Inc. | 17.16 | 194.22 | +91% | 80Prime | $6.5B |
| OTEX Open Text Corporation | 25.83 | 121.03 | +79% | 94Prime | $6.3B |
| TTAN ServiceTitan, Inc. | 72.69 | 66.05 | -10% | 45Weak | $6.9B |
| DUOL Duolingo, Inc. | 148.93 | 284.82 | +48% | 83Prime | $6.9B |
| NAVN Navan, Inc. | 25.20 | 3.13 | -705% | 45Weak | $6.2B |
| NICE NICE Ltd. | 114.91 | 273.14 | +58% | 87Prime | $7.1B |
| DSGX The Descartes Systems Group Inc. | 88.64 | 64.81 | -37% | 69Good | $7.6B |
| DLB Dolby Laboratories, Inc. | 60.83 | 52.79 | -15% | 63Fair | $5.7B |
| APPF AppFolio Inc. | 218.61 | 168.63 | -30% | 62Fair | $7.7B |
| NIQ NIQ Global Intelligence Plc | 18.94 | 54.11 | +65% | 45Weak | $5.6B |
| PEGA Pegasystems Inc. | 33.83 | 49.00 | +31% | 87Prime | $5.6B |
| OCTV Octave Intelligence plc | 20.68 | 126.50 | +84% | 45Weak | $5.6B |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about CVLT
Is CVLT undervalued right now?
No: at 158.91 the stock trades 224% above the GLS average fair value of 49.00 (data as of 16 Oct 2026), well beyond what trailing earnings, cash flow and book value support.
What is the Wheel Score of CVLT and what does it mean?
CVLT scores 58 out of 100 (Fair). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for CVLT?
49.00 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 8 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Commvault Systems, Inc. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 27 Oct 2026 (before the open), 11 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does CVLT have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 548 listed contracts with 5,840 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 61% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.