Stock fact sheet · data as of
T. Rowe Price Retirement 2040 Fund (PARDX): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Ticker symbol PARDX · Financial Services · Asset Management · United States · Fund / Note
Is PARDX undervalued?
PARDX closed at 37.52 on 5 Nov 2026, more than 30% above the GLS average fair value of 11.41. Only 0 of the 2 models that produced a value sit above the price. By our models the shares are priced well beyond what the filed earnings, cash flow and book value support; the "below fair value" Wheel Trade Filter keeps names like this under 70.
The average is built from just 2 models (DCF, DDM) - the rest returned nothing because an input they need (dividends, free cash flow, book value) is zero or negative - so treat it with more caution than usual.
PARDX looks like a fund, note or preferred share rather than an operating company, so the nightly engine files it under Fund / Note: the valuation models are not built for it, and its Wheel Score is capped at 45.
Nine valuation models for PARDX
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 0.1136 | -100% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | - | - | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share; no value tonight |
| Graham Growth | - | - | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields; no value tonight |
| Lynch | - | - | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25%; no value tonight |
| GLS Growth | - | - | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year; no value tonight |
| 10 Cap | - | - | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10%; no value tonight |
| Payback Time | - | - | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself; no value tonight |
| DDM | 22.71 | -39% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | - | - | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth; no value tonight |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -0.0357 | -100% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 0.0000 | -100% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
T. Rowe Price Retirement 2040 Fund scores only 2 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score, which fails the "Piotroski 6 or more" Wheel Trade Filter. A reading this low means several of the basic tests - positive earnings, positive operating cash flow, falling debt, no new share issuance - are not met. There is no GLS Moat score for PARDX: funds, notes and second share lines get none, and so does a company with fewer than two years of accounts on file. The Moat part of the Wheel Score is zero.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC -8.9%, ROE -14.0%, ROA -7.2% - with debt at 0.58 times equity and negative free cash flow.
The dividend yield is high at 4.11% (payout ratio -19%). A yield this size is often the market's way of pricing a risk to the payout, so the health score and cash flow matter more than usual.
Institutional ownership scores 5/10, insider activity 5/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 2 / 9 | ROIC | -8.9% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | - / 10 | ROE | -14.0% |
| Debt / equity | 0.58 | ROA | -7.2% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -0.1% | Payout ratio | -19% |
| Institutions | 5 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 5 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 11: No options
No options are listed on T. Rowe Price Retirement 2040 Fund in our nightly snapshot, so it fails the first Wheel Trade Filter (options that actually trade) (it reads 11, under 70) and is left out of every options scan; the fair value and health figures above are still useful for a plain stock position.
Volume runs at - a day on a market cap of $26.5B, with a beta of 1.15; the Stability part of the Wheel Score rates that good.
| Filter | Wheel Trade Filter | Result | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Options that actually trade | Fails | no listed options |
| 2 | A real business, not a gamble | Fails | a fund or note, not a company |
| 3 | Below fair value | Fails | trades 229% above our fair value |
| 4 | Financially healthy | Fails | Piotroski 2/9 (under 6) |
| 5 | Can repay its debt | Passes | Long-term debt repaid from 3 years of operating cash flow or less (6 for real estate and utilities; banks and insurers are not judged on it) |
| 6 | No serious red flags | Passes | Red Flags score 60 or more out of 100 (earnings, margins, debt, analysts, filings and price checked the same way for every stock) |
| 7 | A premium worth selling | Fails | no implied volatility |
| 8 | Big enough | Passes | Market cap $1 billion or more |
| 9 | Not a penny stock | Passes | Share price $5 or more |
| How it ranks | Rating | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | Weak | 229% above fair value | |
| Premium | Weak | no option data | |
| Moat | Weak | no moat score | |
| Health | Weak | Piotroski 2/9 | |
| Red Flags | Fair | not scored yet - half marks | |
| Option trading | Weak | no option volume data | |
| Stability | Good | beta 1.15, $26.5B company |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls: a stock must pass all 9 Wheel Trade Filters to score 70, and the score then ranks the ones that pass; the Sunday Scan is the top 10. It is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. How the Wheel Score works · the walkthrough lesson shows how it fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for PARDX in the nightly calendar.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Asset Management
The 12 companies below are the closest to T. Rowe Price Retirement 2040 Fund by market cap within the Asset Management industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SLV iShares Silver Trust | 47.16 | - | - | 37Weak | $26.5B |
| VIPSX Vanguard Inflation-Protected Securities Fund Investor Shares | 11.37 | 1.17 | -871% | 15No options | $27.0B |
| APHKX Artisan International Value Fund Institutional Class | 62.92 | 46.89 | -34% | 15No options | $25.9B |
| ARTKX Artisan International Fund | 62.71 | 44.41 | -41% | 16No options | $25.8B |
| APDKX Artisan International Value Fund Advisor Class | 62.56 | 44.81 | -40% | 16No options | $25.7B |
| PFG Principal Financial Group, Inc. | 117.31 | 187.93 | +38% | 74Good | $24.9B |
| FFEGX Fidelity Freedom Index 2030 Fund | 24.16 | - | - | 15No options | $28.6B |
| TROW T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. | 112.57 | 104.53 | -8% | 38Weak | $24.0B |
| AMUSX American Funds U.S. Government Securities Fund Class A | 11.59 | 3.51 | -230% | 17No options | $23.2B |
| JVMAX John Hancock Funds Disciplined Value Mid Cap Fund Class A | 30.68 | 4.94 | -521% | 16No options | $22.7B |
| JVMRX John Hancock Funds Disciplined Value Mid Cap Fund | 32.79 | 5.15 | -537% | 16No options | $22.7B |
| JUESX JPMorgan U.S. Equity Fund Class I | 28.66 | 128.70 | +78% | 29No options | $31.7B |
⚖ Compare PARDX with 7 of them All Financial Services stocks →
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about PARDX
Is PARDX undervalued right now?
No: at 37.52 the stock trades 229% above the GLS average fair value of 11.41 (data as of 5 Nov 2026), well beyond what trailing earnings, cash flow and book value support.
What is the Wheel Score of PARDX and what does it mean?
PARDX has no listed options in our nightly snapshot, so it cannot be wheeled; it fails the first Wheel Trade Filter (options that actually trade), stays under 70 and is shown as "No options".
What is the GLS fair value for PARDX?
11.41 per share as of 5 Nov 2026 - the simple average of the 2 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does T. Rowe Price Retirement 2040 Fund report earnings next?
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for PARDX in our calendar as of 5 Nov 2026; the Calendars page is refreshed every morning.
Does PARDX have listed options, and how liquid are they?
No. The nightly options snapshot found no listed contracts on PARDX, so the wheel strategy cannot be run on it and the Wheel Score stays under 70.