Stock fact sheet · data as of
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust (PEB): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Real Estate · REIT - Hotel & Motel · United States · Speculative / Distressed
Is PEB undervalued?
At 19.11 (close of 16 Oct 2026), PEB trades 48% below the GLS average fair value of 37.02. That average comes from 3 models run on the latest filings, and 2 of them land above the current price. Margins of safety over 30% are the exception rather than the rule across the ~7,400 stocks we value each night, so the number earns Pebblebrook Hotel Trust the full Value points in the Wheel Score - and a closer look at what the market is pricing in.
The average is built from just 3 models (DCF, 10 Cap, DDM) - the rest returned nothing because an input they need (dividends, free cash flow, book value) is zero or negative - so treat it with more caution than usual.
The nightly engine files PEB under Speculative / Distressed - negative earnings or a Piotroski score of 3 or less - which caps its Wheel Score at 45 and keeps it out of the Sunday Scan.
Nine valuation models for PEB
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 66.16 | +246% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | - | - | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share; no value tonight |
| Graham Growth | - | - | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields; no value tonight |
| Lynch | - | - | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25%; no value tonight |
| GLS Growth | - | - | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year; no value tonight |
| 10 Cap | 44.30 | +132% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | - | - | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself; no value tonight |
| DDM | 0.5886 | -97% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | - | - | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth; no value tonight |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -22.64 | -218% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 17.98 | -6% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust scores 7 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score, the nine yes/no tests of profitability, leverage and efficiency on the latest annual accounts - a strong reading that passes the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule with room to spare. A GLS Moat score of 2.0/10 is a weak reading: the ten-year history the score grades (revenue, EPS, book value, margins, cash flow, share count, ROIC) has not been steady, so the Moat part of the Wheel Score contributes little.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC -1.3%, ROE -2.7%, ROA -1.2% - with debt at 1.00 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 10.6%.
The dividend yield is 0.21% with a payout ratio of -110% - a small yield that leaves most of the earnings in the business. Revenue comes mainly from Occupancy 62%, Food and Beverage 26%, Hotel, Other 12% (quarter Q1 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 10/10, insider activity 6/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 7 / 9 | ROIC | -1.3% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 2.0 / 10 | ROE | -2.7% |
| Debt / equity | 1.00 | ROA | -1.2% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 10.6% | Payout ratio | -110% |
| Institutions | 10 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 6 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 45: Weak
With a Wheel Score of 45 Pebblebrook Hotel Trust sits in the Weak band, capped at 45 because the engine files it as Speculative / Distressed. The parts - Value 25/25, Health 16/20, Moat 3/15, Premium 20/20, Stability 16/20 - show where: Moat (3/15) scores lowest.
Implied volatility is 61% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - above the 60% ceiling of the sweet spot. Premiums are large, but the Wheel Score tapers the Premium points (20 of 20) because volatility this high usually comes with a reason. Chain open interest is 2,113 contracts across all expiries - enough for the wheel at normal size.
Volume runs at 1.7M shares a day on a market cap of $2.2B, with a beta of 1.44 - a high beta, so the stock tends to move more than the market and a strike can be gapped through; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 16 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 25 / 25 | 48% margin of safety | |
| Health | 16 / 20 | Piotroski 7/9 | |
| Moat | 3 / 15 | moat 2.0/10 | |
| Premium | 20 / 20 | implied volatility 61% | |
| Stability | 16 / 20 | 1.7M shares/day, $2.2B cap, beta 1.44 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust reports earnings on 29 Oct 2026 (after the close) - inside the 14-day window the Sunday Scan avoids, because a put sold now would carry the report's gap risk.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in REIT - Hotel & Motel
The 12 companies below are the closest to Pebblebrook Hotel Trust by market cap within the REIT - Hotel & Motel industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHO Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc. | 11.51 | 10.57 | -9% | 63Fair | $2.1B |
| RLJ RLJ Lodging Trust | 11.38 | 10.77 | -6% | 63Fair | $1.7B |
| DRH DiamondRock Hospitality Company | 13.28 | 9.32 | -43% | 58Fair | $2.7B |
| XHR Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc. | 18.32 | 29.26 | +37% | 45Weak | $1.7B |
| PK Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. | 15.15 | 14.96 | -1% | 45Weak | $3.1B |
| APLE Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc. | 16.86 | 17.08 | +1% | 67Good | $4.0B |
| SVC Service Properties Trust | 5.85 | 97.79 | +94% | 45Weak | $758M |
| INN Summit Hotel Properties, Inc. | 6.42 | 35.04 | +82% | 45Weak | $692M |
| CLDT Chatham Lodging Trust | 14.14 | 11.54 | -23% | 52Fair | $658M |
| RHP Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc. | 122.83 | 133.99 | +8% | 68Good | $8.4B |
| HST Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. | 23.85 | 21.56 | -11% | 67Good | $16.3B |
| BHR Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc. | 1.39 | 34.92 | +96% | 45Weak | $95M |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about PEB
Is PEB undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, yes: at 19.11 the stock is 48% below the average fair value of 37.02 (data as of 16 Oct 2026). Whether the discount is deserved is the question to research next.
What is the Wheel Score of PEB and what does it mean?
PEB scores 45 out of 100 (Weak). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for PEB?
37.02 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 3 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Pebblebrook Hotel Trust report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 29 Oct 2026 (after the close), 13 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does PEB have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 144 listed contracts with 2,113 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 61% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.