Stock fact sheet · data as of
Pegasystems Inc. (PEGA): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Ticker symbol PEGA · Technology · Software - Application · United States · Growth
Is PEGA undervalued?
PEGA closed at 34.36 on 5 Nov 2026, 26% below the GLS average fair value of 46.46 from 8 models (4 of them above the price). That is a moderate margin of safety: the stock passes the "below fair value" Wheel Trade Filter, with room for a bigger discount on the Value part.
There is a wide gap between DDM (2.98) and GLS Growth (110.20). When the models are this far apart the "fair value" is really a range, and the margin of safety above should be read with that range in mind.
Ranked against every other company we cover, PEGA is clearly faster-growing than it is cheap, so the nightly engine files it under Growth (value score 33, growth score 80, out of 100).
Nine valuation models for PEGA
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | - | - | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital; no value tonight |
| Graham Number | 11.65 | -66% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 55.14 | +60% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 20.55 | -40% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 110.20 | +221% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 41.83 | +22% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 109.35 | +218% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | 2.98 | -91% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 20.00 | -42% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | 0.8177 | -98% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 37.00 | +8% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Pegasystems Inc. scores 6 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score: a middling result that passes the "Piotroski 6 or more" Wheel Trade Filter. Some of the nine tests on profitability, leverage and efficiency are failed, so the accounts are worth a look before selling a put on the name. On durability PEGA scores 6.0/10 on the GLS Moat - a middle reading; the Moat Score tab on the Quote page's Financials view shows which of the four parts hold it back.
Returns on capital are high - ROIC 45.6%, ROE 50.0%, ROA 24.1% - with debt at 0.10 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 8.0%.
The dividend yield is 0.59% with a payout ratio of 7% - a small yield that leaves most of the earnings in the business. Revenue comes mainly from Pega Cloud 56%, Maintenance 19%, Subscription License 14% (quarter Q3 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 7/10, insider activity 1/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 6 / 9 | ROIC | 45.6% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 6.0 / 10 | ROE | 50.0% |
| Debt / equity | 0.10 | ROA | 24.1% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 8.0% | Payout ratio | 7% |
| Institutions | 7 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 1 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 75: Good
With a Wheel Score of 75 - the Good band - Pegasystems Inc. passes all 9 Wheel Trade Filters. How it ranks: value strong, premium strong, moat good, health good, red flags weak, option trading weak, stability good. Red Flags (weak) is the part keeping it out of the Prime band.
Implied volatility is 52% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - inside the 35-60% sweet spot the Wheel Score rewards most: enough premium to be worth selling, not so much that the risk is unpaid. Chain open interest is 7,866 contracts across all expiries - enough for the wheel at normal size.
Volume runs at 1.5M shares a day on a market cap of $5.6B, with a beta of 0.94; the Stability part of the Wheel Score rates that good.
| Filter | Wheel Trade Filter | Result | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Options that actually trade | Passes | Listed options with 1,000+ contracts of open interest and 100+ traded a day |
| 2 | A real business, not a gamble | Passes | Profitable over the last twelve months - not a speculative stock, fund or note |
| 3 | Below fair value | Passes | Trading below the nine-model average fair value (margin of safety above 0) |
| 4 | Financially healthy | Passes | Piotroski F-score 6 or more out of 9 (a company with no score on file passes) |
| 5 | Can repay its debt | Passes | Long-term debt repaid from 3 years of operating cash flow or less (6 for real estate and utilities; banks and insurers are not judged on it) |
| 6 | No serious red flags | Passes | Red Flags score 60 or more out of 100 (earnings, margins, debt, analysts, filings and price checked the same way for every stock) |
| 7 | A premium worth selling | Passes | Implied volatility 25-80% (enough premium, not a lottery ticket) |
| 8 | Big enough | Passes | Market cap $1 billion or more |
| 9 | Not a penny stock | Passes | Share price $5 or more |
| How it ranks | Rating | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | Strong | 26% below fair value | |
| Premium | Strong | implied volatility 52% | |
| Moat | Good | moat 6.0/10 | |
| Health | Good | Piotroski 6/9 | |
| Red Flags | Weak | Red Flags score 60/100 | |
| Option trading | Weak | 226 contracts a day, 7,866 open interest | |
| Stability | Good | beta 0.94, $5.6B company |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls: a stock must pass all 9 Wheel Trade Filters to score 70, and the score then ranks the ones that pass; the Sunday Scan is the top 10. It is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. How the Wheel Score works · the walkthrough lesson shows how it fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for PEGA in the nightly calendar.
Analysts downgraded PEGA 1 time in the last 30 days with no upgrades; the latest action was a reiterated rating by RBC Capital on 22 Oct 2026.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Software - Application
The 12 companies below are the closest to Pegasystems Inc. by market cap within the Software - Application industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OCTV Octave Intelligence plc | 21.56 | 131.67 | +84% | 49Weak | $5.8B |
| RNG RingCentral, Inc. | 77.96 | 162.34 | +52% | 85Prime | $5.8B |
| NICE NICE Ltd. | 99.59 | 273.38 | +64% | 87Prime | $5.9B |
| NIQ NIQ Global Intelligence Plc | 20.27 | 55.44 | +63% | 45Weak | $6.0B |
| BRZE Braze, Inc. | 46.10 | 15.98 | -189% | 23Weak | $5.2B |
| YOU Clear Secure, Inc. | 59.08 | 67.15 | +12% | 78Good | $6.1B |
| DLB Dolby Laboratories, Inc. | 65.02 | 53.09 | -22% | 37Weak | $6.1B |
| KVYO Klaviyo, Inc. | 21.36 | 6.78 | -215% | 30Weak | $6.4B |
| OTEX Open Text Corporation | 26.59 | 120.87 | +78% | 57Fair | $6.5B |
| DUOL Duolingo, Inc. | 161.27 | 187.31 | +14% | 44Weak | $6.5B |
| NAVN Navan, Inc. | 27.06 | 3.13 | -764% | 28Weak | $6.6B |
| CVLT Commvault Systems, Inc. | 162.44 | 51.84 | -213% | 41Weak | $6.6B |
Scan the whole market the same way
A free GLS Equity account gets you nightly fair value and the Wheel Score on ~7,400 US stocks, a watchlist, the scanner preview and the Sunday Scan - the top 10 stocks that pass all 9 Wheel Trade Filters, emailed every week. Pro adds the full put and call scanners, unlimited watchlists with alerts and the trade journal.
Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about PEGA
Is PEGA undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, moderately: at 34.36 the stock trades 26% below the average fair value of 46.46 (data as of 5 Nov 2026).
What is the Wheel Score of PEGA and what does it mean?
PEGA scores 75 out of 100 (Good). The Wheel Score ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned - in two parts: the 9 pass/fail Wheel Trade Filters (busy options, a real business, below fair value, Piotroski 6 or more, debt it can repay, a Red Flags score of 60 or more, implied volatility of 25-80%, a $1 billion company, $5 a share) and a ranking of how strongly a stock passes on value, premium, moat, health, red flags, option trading and stability. A stock that fails any filter stays under 70; 70-84 is Good, 85 and above is Prime. The Sunday Scan is the top 10 that pass, sorted by Wheel Score.
What is the GLS fair value for PEGA?
46.46 per share as of 5 Nov 2026 - the simple average of the 8 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Pegasystems Inc. report earnings next?
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for PEGA in our calendar as of 5 Nov 2026; the Calendars page is refreshed every morning.
Does PEGA have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 46 listed contracts with 7,866 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 52% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.