Stock fact sheet · data as of
Sprott Physical Gold Trust (PHYS): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Financial Services · Asset Management · Canada · Speculative / Distressed
Is PHYS undervalued?
At 30.96 (close of 16 Oct 2026), PHYS trades 79% below the GLS average fair value of 147.63. That average comes from 6 models run on the latest filings, and 5 of them land above the current price. Margins of safety over 30% are the exception rather than the rule across the ~7,400 stocks we value each night, so the number earns Sprott Physical Gold Trust the full Value points in the Wheel Score - and a closer look at what the market is pricing in.
The 6 models disagree widely: DCF gives 1.05 while GLS Growth gives 326.37. A spread that wide means the average is sensitive to which methods you trust; the model table below shows where each one lands, and the Quote page lets you switch any of them off.
The nightly engine files PHYS under Speculative / Distressed - negative earnings or a Piotroski score of 3 or less - which caps its Wheel Score at 45 and keeps it out of the Sunday Scan.
Nine valuation models for PHYS
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 1.05 | -97% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 60.93 | +97% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 304.94 | +885% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 133.28 | +330% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 326.37 | +954% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | - | - | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10%; no value tonight |
| Payback Time | - | - | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself; no value tonight |
| DDM | - | - | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend; no value tonight |
| EPV | 59.23 | +91% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | 33.69 | +9% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 0.0000 | -100% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Financial health is weak: PHYS passes 2 of the nine Piotroski tests. Our screens drop the stock at the health rule; a low score is often the reason a stock looks cheap on the valuation models. The GLS Moat score is 5.2 out of 10: a ten-year record that is consistent in some of the metrics the score tracks (revenue, earnings, margins, cash flow, returns on capital) and patchy in others.
Returns on capital are high - ROIC 37.2%, ROE 37.2%, ROA 37.2% - with debt at 0.00 times equity and negative free cash flow.
Sprott Physical Gold Trust pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain.
Institutional ownership scores 4/10, insider activity 5/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 2 / 9 | ROIC | 37.2% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 5.2 / 10 | ROE | 37.2% |
| Debt / equity | 0.00 | ROA | 37.2% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -0.4% | Payout ratio | 0% |
| Institutions | 4 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 5 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 39: No options
PHYS has no listed options in the nightly snapshot, so there is nothing to sell and the stock cannot be wheeled however good the business; the Wheel Score is capped at 39 and shown as "No options" (39 here). The valuation and quality numbers still apply to owning the shares outright.
Volume runs at 3.8M shares a day on a market cap of $14.7B, with a beta of 0.20 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 20 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 25 / 25 | 79% margin of safety | |
| Health | 4 / 20 | Piotroski 2/9 | |
| Moat | 8 / 15 | moat 5.2/10 | |
| Premium | 0 / 20 | no option data | |
| Stability | 20 / 20 | 3.8M shares/day, $14.7B cap, beta 0.20 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for PHYS in the nightly calendar.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Asset Management
The 12 companies below are the closest to Sprott Physical Gold Trust by market cap within the Asset Management industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EQH Equitable Holdings, Inc. | 53.49 | 103.50 | +48% | 45Weak | $14.6B |
| SWISX Schwab Capital Trust - Schwab International Index Fund | 31.27 | 418.51 | +93% | 39No options | $14.5B |
| DFUSX DFA US Large Company Portfolio | 51.41 | 7.42 | -593% | 24No options | $14.3B |
| CRBG Corebridge Financial, Inc. | 34.43 | 54.56 | +37% | 87Prime | $15.3B |
| OWL Blue Owl Capital Inc. | 8.97 | 9.96 | +10% | 75Good | $14.0B |
| ARCC Ares Capital Corporation | 18.92 | 24.65 | +23% | 68Good | $13.6B |
| BEN Franklin Resources, Inc. | 31.38 | 24.25 | -29% | 53Fair | $15.9B |
| TPGXL TPG Inc. | 20.13 | 25.83 | +22% | 39No options | $16.2B |
| TPG TPG Inc. | 42.22 | 40.87 | -3% | 69Good | $16.2B |
| FAOTX American Funds 2020 Target Date Retirement Fd Cl F-1 | 14.61 | 74.57 | +80% | 39No options | $13.3B |
| DUKH Ocean Park High Income ETF | 23.17 | 125.99 | +82% | 39No options | $16.2B |
| LGRNX Loomis Sayles Growth Fund Class N | 34.28 | 5.97 | -474% | 25No options | $16.4B |
⚖ Compare PHYS with 7 of them All Financial Services stocks →
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about PHYS
Is PHYS undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, yes: at 30.96 the stock is 79% below the average fair value of 147.63 (data as of 16 Oct 2026). Whether the discount is deserved is the question to research next.
What is the Wheel Score of PHYS and what does it mean?
PHYS has no listed options in our nightly snapshot, so it cannot be wheeled; its Wheel Score is capped at 39 and shown as "No options".
What is the GLS fair value for PHYS?
147.63 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 6 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Sprott Physical Gold Trust report earnings next?
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for PHYS in our calendar as of 16 Oct 2026; the Calendars page is refreshed every morning.
Does PHYS have listed options, and how liquid are they?
No. The nightly options snapshot found no listed contracts on PHYS, so the wheel strategy cannot be run on it and the Wheel Score is capped at 39.