Stock fact sheet · data as of
Ryerson Holding Corporation (RYZ): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Industrials · Manufacturing - Metal Fabrication · United States · Speculative / Distressed
Is RYZ undervalued?
RYZ has a margin of safety of 45%: the stock closed at 26.50 on 16 Oct 2026 against a GLS average fair value of 48.29. 1 of the 2 valuation models that produced a number sit above the price. Our screens treat a discount this large as a strong starting point for a cash-secured put, not as a verdict - the fair value is a model output, and a wide gap can mean the models are missing something the market knows.
The average is built from just 2 models (DCF, DDM) - the rest returned nothing because an input they need (dividends, free cash flow, book value) is zero or negative - so treat it with more caution than usual.
The nightly engine files RYZ under Speculative / Distressed - negative earnings or a Piotroski score of 3 or less - which caps its Wheel Score at 45 and keeps it out of the Sunday Scan.
Nine valuation models for RYZ
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 85.52 | +223% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | - | - | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share; no value tonight |
| Graham Growth | - | - | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields; no value tonight |
| Lynch | - | - | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25%; no value tonight |
| GLS Growth | - | - | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year; no value tonight |
| 10 Cap | - | - | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10%; no value tonight |
| Payback Time | - | - | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself; no value tonight |
| DDM | 11.06 | -58% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | - | - | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth; no value tonight |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -11.16 | -142% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 0.0000 | -100% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Ryerson Holding Corporation scores only 3 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score, which fails the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. A reading this low means several of the basic tests - positive earnings, positive operating cash flow, falling debt, no new share issuance - are not met. A GLS Moat score of 1.3/10 is a weak reading: the ten-year history the score grades (revenue, EPS, book value, margins, cash flow, share count, ROIC) has not been steady, so the Moat part of the Wheel Score contributes little.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC -3.0%, ROE -7.5%, ROA -2.2% - with debt at 1.53 times equity and negative free cash flow.
The dividend yield is 2.84% at a payout ratio of -96%; for a wheel trader holding assigned shares the dividend adds to the covered-call premium, and the ex-dividend date is worth knowing before a call is sold.
Institutional ownership scores 5/10, insider activity 1/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales; the last recorded insider buy was on 17 Sep 2026.
| Piotroski F-score | 3 / 9 | ROIC | -3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 1.3 / 10 | ROE | -7.5% |
| Debt / equity | 1.53 | ROA | -2.2% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -11.0% | Payout ratio | -96% |
| Institutions | 5 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 1 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 45: Weak
With a Wheel Score of 45 Ryerson Holding Corporation sits in the Weak band, capped at 45 because the engine files it as Speculative / Distressed. The parts - Value 25/25, Health 7/20, Moat 2/15, Premium 20/20, Stability 11/20 - show where: Moat (2/15) scores lowest.
Implied volatility is 55% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - inside the 35-60% range the Wheel Score pays full marks for: enough premium to be worth selling, not so much that the risk is unpaid. Chain open interest is thin - 126 contracts across every expiry - so fills at a fair price are not guaranteed; a 30-45-day put may not exist at a usable strike.
Volume runs at 402k shares a day on a market cap of $1.4B, with a beta of 1.61 - a high beta, so the stock tends to move more than the market and a strike can be gapped through; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 11 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 25 / 25 | 45% margin of safety | |
| Health | 7 / 20 | Piotroski 3/9 | |
| Moat | 2 / 15 | moat 1.3/10 | |
| Premium | 20 / 20 | implied volatility 55% | |
| Stability | 11 / 20 | 402k shares/day, $1.4B cap, beta 1.61 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
Ryerson Holding Corporation reports earnings on 28 Oct 2026 (after the close) - inside the 14-day window the Sunday Scan avoids, because a put sold now would carry the report's gap risk.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Manufacturing - Metal Fabrication
The 12 companies below are the closest to Ryerson Holding Corporation by market cap within the Manufacturing - Metal Fabrication industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROCK Gibraltar Industries, Inc. | 36.68 | 32.98 | -11% | 45Weak | $1.1B |
| WOR Worthington Industries, Inc. | 62.73 | 48.88 | -28% | 55Fair | $3.1B |
| IIIN Insteel Industries, Inc. | 29.67 | 29.67 | +0% | 52Fair | $574M |
| GPGI GPGI, Inc. | 12.69 | 2.25 | -465% | 45Weak | $3.7B |
| DPC DPC Holdings Ltd. | 31.77 | - | - | 45Weak | $4.5B |
| MEC Mayville Engineering Company, Inc. | 14.21 | 9.09 | -56% | 39Weak | $362M |
| TG Tredegar Corporation | 7.64 | 15.52 | +51% | 72Good | $267M |
| AP Ampco-Pittsburgh Corp. | 8.45 | 0.5825 | -1351% | 27Weak | $175M |
| MLI Mueller Industries, Inc. | 60.60 | 35.50 | -71% | 61Fair | $13.4B |
| ZJK ZJK Industrial Co., Ltd. | 1.78 | 3.83 | +54% | 39No options | $114M |
| ATI ATI Inc. | 189.31 | 75.34 | -151% | 62Fair | $25.8B |
| TPCS TechPrecision Corporation | 5.40 | - | - | 34No options | $55M |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about RYZ
Is RYZ undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, yes: at 26.50 the stock is 45% below the average fair value of 48.29 (data as of 16 Oct 2026). Whether the discount is deserved is the question to research next.
What is the Wheel Score of RYZ and what does it mean?
RYZ scores 45 out of 100 (Weak). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for RYZ?
48.29 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 2 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Ryerson Holding Corporation report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 28 Oct 2026 (after the close), 12 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does RYZ have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 84 listed contracts with 126 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 55% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.