XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock (SAFX): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score

Is SAFX undervalued?

XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock (SAFX) closed at 0.2303 on 16 Oct 2026. The GLS average fair value - the simple average of the 1 valuation models that produced a positive number - is 3.73, which puts the price 94% below it. 1 of the 1 models value the shares above the current price. A gap this wide is rare in our universe of ~7,400 US stocks and is exactly what the Value part of the Wheel Score rewards; it is also where the question "why is it this cheap?" matters most.

Only 1 of the nine models produced a value (DCF); the others need a dividend, positive free cash flow or positive book value the company does not have yet, so the average rests on a narrow base.

The nightly engine files SAFX under Speculative / Distressed - negative earnings or a Piotroski score of 3 or less - which caps its Wheel Score at 45 and keeps it out of the Sunday Scan.

Nine valuation models for SAFX

Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.

Quality and financial health

Financial health is weak: SAFX passes 3 of the nine Piotroski tests. Our screens drop the stock at the health rule; a low score is often the reason a stock looks cheap on the valuation models. The GLS Moat score is low at 3.9 out of 10, which says the ten-year record of revenue, earnings, margins and returns on capital has been inconsistent - growth and shocks rather than steady compounding.

Returns on capital are high - ROIC 46.4%, ROE 196.5%, ROA 17.6% - with debt at 3.24 times equity and negative free cash flow. Debt of 3.24 times equity is on the high side for the sector and is worth checking against the cash flow before treating the stock as a long-term hold.

XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain.

Institutional ownership scores 1/10, insider activity 8/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.

Wheel Score 39: No options

SAFX has no listed options in the nightly snapshot, so there is nothing to sell and the stock cannot be wheeled however good the business; the Wheel Score is capped at 39 and shown as "No options" (39 here). The valuation and quality numbers still apply to owning the shares outright.

Volume runs at 5.6M shares a day on a market cap of $84M, with a beta of -0.29 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 14 of 20.

The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.

Upcoming events

XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock reports earnings on 21 Oct 2026 - inside the 14-day window the Sunday Scan avoids, because a put sold now would carry the report's gap risk.

Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.

Similar stocks in Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

The 12 companies below are the closest to XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock by market cap within the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.

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