Stock fact sheet · data as of
STAG Industrial, Inc. (STAG): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Real Estate · REIT - Industrial · United States · High Yield Income
Is STAG undervalued?
STAG Industrial, Inc. (STAG) closed at 35.88 on 16 Oct 2026, 27% above the GLS average fair value of 28.22. Only 3 of the 9 models that produced a number value the shares above the current price. The margin of safety is negative, so the stock fails the "below fair value" rule of the Sunday Scan; a premium of this size is common for companies whose growth the models are conservative about.
There is a wide gap between Lynch (6.45) and DCF (56.86). When the models are this far apart the "fair value" is really a range, and the margin of safety above should be read with that range in mind.
The nightly engine files STAG under High Yield Income: a dividend yield above 4%.
Nine valuation models for STAG
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 56.86 | +58% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 23.51 | -34% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 23.35 | -35% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 6.45 | -82% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 8.57 | -76% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 47.52 | +32% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 50.81 | +42% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | 22.59 | -37% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 14.36 | -60% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -17.46 | -149% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 41.80 | +16% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
STAG Industrial, Inc. scores 5 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score: a middling result that falls one point short of the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. Some of the nine tests on profitability, leverage and efficiency are failed, so the accounts are worth a look before selling a put on the name. On durability STAG scores 6.7/10 on the GLS Moat - a middle reading; the Scorecard on the Quote page's Financials tab shows which ten-year lines are steady and which are not.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC 4.0%, ROE 7.6%, ROA 3.8% - with debt at 0.92 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 6.4%.
The dividend yield is high at 4.28% (payout ratio 98%). A yield this size is often the market's way of pricing a risk to the payout, so the health score and cash flow matter more than usual. Revenue comes mainly from Tenant Reimbursements 95%, Real Estate, Other 5% (quarter Q2 FY2018).
Institutional ownership scores 10/10, insider activity 1/10 and Congressional trading 10/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 5 / 9 | ROIC | 4.0% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 6.7 / 10 | ROE | 7.6% |
| Debt / equity | 0.92 | ROA | 3.8% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 6.4% | Payout ratio | 98% |
| Institutions | 10 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 1 · 10 / 10 |
Wheel Score 54: Fair
A Wheel Score of 54 puts STAG Industrial, Inc. in the Fair band - below the 70 the Sunday Scan requires. Value 1/25, Health 11/20, Moat 10/15, Premium 14/20 and Stability 18/20; the weakest part is Value (1/25).
Implied volatility is 29% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out: some premium, but under the 35-60% range the Wheel Score pays full marks for (14 of 20 points). Chain open interest is 2,094 contracts across all expiries - enough for the wheel at normal size.
Volume runs at 1.2M shares a day on a market cap of $6.9B, with a beta of 0.96; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 18 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 1 / 25 | -27% margin of safety | |
| Health | 11 / 20 | Piotroski 5/9 | |
| Moat | 10 / 15 | moat 6.7/10 | |
| Premium | 14 / 20 | implied volatility 29% | |
| Stability | 18 / 20 | 1.2M shares/day, $6.9B cap, beta 0.96 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
STAG Industrial, Inc. reports earnings on 27 Oct 2026 (after the close) - inside the 14-day window the Sunday Scan avoids, because a put sold now would carry the report's gap risk.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in REIT - Industrial
The 12 companies below are the closest to STAG Industrial, Inc. by market cap within the REIT - Industrial industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TRNO Terreno Realty Corporation | 64.81 | 49.67 | -30% | 52Fair | $7.1B |
| LINE Lineage, Inc. | 34.11 | 36.11 | +6% | 45Weak | $7.8B |
| FR First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc. | 58.78 | 31.42 | -87% | 56Fair | $7.8B |
| REXR Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. | 37.50 | 22.01 | -70% | 45Weak | $8.6B |
| CUBE CubeSmart | 38.56 | 28.62 | -35% | 57Fair | $8.7B |
| EGP EastGroup Properties, Inc. | 194.43 | 97.58 | -99% | 51Fair | $10.5B |
| COLD Americold Realty Trust, Inc. | 13.92 | 7.20 | -93% | 45Weak | $4.0B |
| LXP LXP Industrial Trust | 61.01 | 53.23 | -15% | 66Good | $3.6B |
| SMA Smartstop Self Storage REIT Inc | 32.59 | 29.99 | -9% | 59Fair | $1.8B |
| EXR Extra Space Storage Inc. | 137.69 | 96.97 | -42% | 53Fair | $29.1B |
| IIPR Innovative Industrial Properties, Inc. | 53.20 | 76.13 | +30% | 74Good | $1.5B |
| PLDGP Prologis, Inc. | 50.25 | 52.05 | +3% | 39No options | $38.4B |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about STAG
Is STAG undervalued right now?
No: at 35.88 the stock trades 27% above the GLS average fair value of 28.22 (data as of 16 Oct 2026). The margin of safety is negative.
What is the Wheel Score of STAG and what does it mean?
STAG scores 54 out of 100 (Fair). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for STAG?
28.22 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 9 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does STAG Industrial, Inc. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 27 Oct 2026 (after the close), 11 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does STAG have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 90 listed contracts with 2,094 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 29% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.