Stock fact sheet · data as of
SU Group Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares (SUGP): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Industrials · Security & Protection Services · Hong Kong SAR China · Speculative / Distressed
Is SUGP undervalued?
SUGP has a margin of safety of 83%: the stock closed at 1.99 on 16 Oct 2026 against a GLS average fair value of 11.47. 1 of the 1 valuation models that produced a number sit above the price. Our screens treat a discount this large as a strong starting point for a cash-secured put, not as a verdict - the fair value is a model output, and a wide gap can mean the models are missing something the market knows.
The average is built from just 1 models (DCF) - the rest returned nothing because an input they need (dividends, free cash flow, book value) is zero or negative - so treat it with more caution than usual.
The nightly engine files SUGP under Speculative / Distressed - negative earnings or a Piotroski score of 3 or less - which caps its Wheel Score at 45 and keeps it out of the Sunday Scan.
Nine valuation models for SUGP
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 11.47 | +476% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | - | - | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share; no value tonight |
| Graham Growth | - | - | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields; no value tonight |
| Lynch | - | - | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25%; no value tonight |
| GLS Growth | - | - | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year; no value tonight |
| 10 Cap | - | - | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10%; no value tonight |
| Payback Time | - | - | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself; no value tonight |
| DDM | - | - | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend; no value tonight |
| EPV | - | - | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth; no value tonight |
| Zombie (liquidation) | 229.82 | +11449% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 0.0000 | -100% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
SU Group Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares scores only 4 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score, which fails the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. A reading this low means several of the basic tests - positive earnings, positive operating cash flow, falling debt, no new share issuance - are not met. A GLS Moat score of 2.6/10 is a weak reading: the ten-year history the score grades (revenue, EPS, book value, margins, cash flow, share count, ROIC) has not been steady, so the Moat part of the Wheel Score contributes little.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC -19.0%, ROE -21.4%, ROA -14.4% - with debt at 0.13 times equity and negative free cash flow.
SU Group Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain. Revenue comes mainly from Screening Services 74%, Equipment Leasing 27% (fiscal year FY2025).
Institutional ownership scores 1/10, insider activity 5/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 4 / 9 | ROIC | -19.0% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 2.6 / 10 | ROE | -21.4% |
| Debt / equity | 0.13 | ROA | -14.4% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -145.3% | Payout ratio | 0% |
| Institutions | 1 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 5 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 39: No options
No options are listed on SU Group Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares in our nightly snapshot. The Wheel Score is therefore capped at 39 (it reads 39) and the stock is left out of every options screen; the fair value and health figures above are still useful for a plain stock position.
Volume runs at 174k shares a day on a market cap of $473K, with a beta of 0.79 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 7 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 25 / 25 | 83% margin of safety | |
| Health | 9 / 20 | Piotroski 4/9 | |
| Moat | 4 / 15 | moat 2.6/10 | |
| Premium | 0 / 20 | no option data | |
| Stability | 7 / 20 | 174k shares/day, $0M cap, beta 0.79 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for SUGP in the nightly calendar.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Security & Protection Services
The 12 companies below are the closest to SU Group Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares by market cap within the Security & Protection Services industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IVDA Iveda Solutions, Inc. | 0.2340 | - | - | 29No options | $3M |
| GFAI Guardforce AI Co., Limited | 0.2046 | - | - | 30No options | $6M |
| DETX Liberty Defense Holdings, Ltd. | 1.46 | - | - | 19No options | $8M |
| KSCP Knightscope, Inc. | 0.5700 | - | - | 33No options | $13M |
| SNTL Sentinel Holdings Ltd. | 1.97 | 3.53 | +44% | 39No options | $19M |
| BAER Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock | 0.5111 | - | - | 29No options | $30M |
| SNT Senstar Technologies Ltd. | 1.40 | 0.9452 | -48% | 20No options | $33M |
| SPCB SuperCom Ltd. | 8.95 | 3.97 | -125% | 19No options | $56M |
| RSKIA George Risk Industries, Inc. | 19.70 | 46.78 | +58% | 39No options | $96M |
| NL NLI Holdings, Inc. | 6.75 | 9.58 | +30% | 45Weak | $330M |
| CIX CompX International Inc. | 37.28 | 22.47 | -66% | 28No options | $460M |
| MG Mistras Group, Inc. | 20.67 | 21.72 | +5% | 61Fair | $659M |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about SUGP
Is SUGP undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, yes: at 1.99 the stock is 83% below the average fair value of 11.47 (data as of 16 Oct 2026). Whether the discount is deserved is the question to research next.
What is the Wheel Score of SUGP and what does it mean?
SUGP has no listed options in our nightly snapshot, so it cannot be wheeled; its Wheel Score is capped at 39 and shown as "No options".
What is the GLS fair value for SUGP?
11.47 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 1 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does SU Group Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares report earnings next?
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for SUGP in our calendar as of 16 Oct 2026; the Calendars page is refreshed every morning.
Does SUGP have listed options, and how liquid are they?
No. The nightly options snapshot found no listed contracts on SUGP, so the wheel strategy cannot be run on it and the Wheel Score is capped at 39.