Stock fact sheet · data as of
United Bancorp, Inc. (UBCP): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Financial Services · Banks - Regional · United States · High Yield Income
Is UBCP undervalued?
UBCP has a margin of safety of 36%: the stock closed at 14.00 on 16 Oct 2026 against a GLS average fair value of 21.86. 6 of the 9 valuation models that produced a number sit above the price. Our screens treat a discount this large as a strong starting point for a cash-secured put, not as a verdict - the fair value is a model output, and a wide gap can mean the models are missing something the market knows.
The 9 models disagree widely: GLS Growth gives 13.04 while Graham Growth gives 47.99. A spread that wide means the average is sensitive to which methods you trust; the model table below shows where each one lands, and the Quote page lets you switch any of them off.
The nightly engine files UBCP under High Yield Income: a dividend yield above 4%.
Nine valuation models for UBCP
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 13.29 | -5% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 20.78 | +48% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 47.99 | +243% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 18.35 | +31% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 13.04 | -7% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 25.73 | +84% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 27.38 | +96% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | 13.98 | -0% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 16.18 | +16% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -108.38 | -874% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 0.0000 | -100% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
On financial health UBCP scores 8/9 (Piotroski): most of the nine tests - positive earnings and cash flow, falling debt, rising margins and turnover - are passed, which is the kind of balance sheet a wheel trader is happy to be assigned. The GLS Moat score is 5.6 out of 10: a ten-year record that is consistent in some of the metrics the score tracks (revenue, earnings, margins, cash flow, returns on capital) and patchy in others.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC 3.8%, ROE 11.0%, ROA 0.9% - with debt at 1.86 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 8.0%.
The dividend yield is high at 6.79% (payout ratio 70%). A yield this size is often the market's way of pricing a risk to the payout, so the health score and cash flow matter more than usual.
Institutional ownership scores 2/10, insider activity 10/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 8 / 9 | ROIC | 3.8% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 5.6 / 10 | ROE | 11.0% |
| Debt / equity | 1.86 | ROA | 0.9% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 8.0% | Payout ratio | 70% |
| Institutions | 2 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 10 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 39: No options
UBCP has no listed options in the nightly snapshot, so there is nothing to sell and the stock cannot be wheeled however good the business; the Wheel Score is capped at 39 and shown as "No options" (39 here). The valuation and quality numbers still apply to owning the shares outright.
Volume runs at 15k shares a day on a market cap of $80M, with a beta of 0.33 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 6 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 25 / 25 | 36% margin of safety | |
| Health | 18 / 20 | Piotroski 8/9 | |
| Moat | 8 / 15 | moat 5.6/10 | |
| Premium | 0 / 20 | no option data | |
| Stability | 6 / 20 | 15k shares/day, $80M cap, beta 0.33 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 3 Nov 2026, 18 days away; a 30-45-day put sold today would expire after it, which is worth weighing against the premium.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Banks - Regional
The 12 companies below are the closest to United Bancorp, Inc. by market cap within the Banks - Regional industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CYFL Century Financial Corporation | 48.92 | 135.06 | +64% | 39No options | $81M |
| FSEA First Seacoast Bancorp | 17.25 | 0.4409 | -3813% | 22No options | $81M |
| FBTT First Bankers Trustshares, Inc. | 26.47 | 37.87 | +30% | 39No options | $79M |
| SVBT SVB & T Corporation | 71.75 | 130.47 | +45% | 39No options | $79M |
| FBSI First Bancshares, Inc. | 34.01 | 81.61 | +58% | 39No options | $82M |
| IBTN InsCorp, Inc. | 28.25 | 14.00 | -102% | 24No options | $82M |
| JUVF Juniata Valley Financial Corp. | 15.60 | 26.65 | +41% | 39No options | $79M |
| FRSB First Resource Bancorp Inc. | 25.99 | 73.68 | +65% | 39No options | $78M |
| CPBI Central Plains Bancshares, Inc. Common Stock | 19.79 | 37.21 | +47% | 39No options | $83M |
| FDVA Freedom Financial Holdings, Inc. | 11.62 | 3.58 | -224% | 17No options | $83M |
| MNMB Merchants & Marine Bancorp, Inc. | 58.50 | 156.84 | +63% | 39No options | $78M |
| CZNL Citizens National Corporation | 85.00 | 69.68 | -22% | 30No options | $83M |
⚖ Compare UBCP with 7 of them All Financial Services stocks →
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about UBCP
Is UBCP undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, yes: at 14.00 the stock is 36% below the average fair value of 21.86 (data as of 16 Oct 2026). Whether the discount is deserved is the question to research next.
What is the Wheel Score of UBCP and what does it mean?
UBCP has no listed options in our nightly snapshot, so it cannot be wheeled; its Wheel Score is capped at 39 and shown as "No options".
What is the GLS fair value for UBCP?
21.86 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 9 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does United Bancorp, Inc. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 3 Nov 2026, 18 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does UBCP have listed options, and how liquid are they?
No. The nightly options snapshot found no listed contracts on UBCP, so the wheel strategy cannot be run on it and the Wheel Score is capped at 39.