Stock fact sheet · data as of
UBS Group AG (UBS): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Ticker symbol UBS · Financial Services · Banks - Diversified · Switzerland · Blend
Is UBS undervalued?
UBS has a margin of safety of 35%: the stock closed at 50.67 on 5 Nov 2026 against a GLS average fair value of 77.43. 3 of the 8 valuation models that produced a number sit above the price. Our scans treat a discount this large as a strong starting point for a cash-secured put, not as a verdict - the fair value is a model output, and a wide gap can mean the models are missing something the market knows.
The 8 models disagree widely: 10 Cap gives 12.67 while DCF gives 286.87. A spread that wide means the average is sensitive to which methods you trust; the model table below shows where each one lands, and the Quote page lets you switch any of them off.
Ranked against every other company we cover, neither cheapness nor growth clearly wins for UBS, so the nightly engine files it under Blend (value score 51, growth score 41, out of 100).
Nine valuation models for UBS
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 286.87 | +466% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 43.46 | -14% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 97.69 | +93% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 37.24 | -27% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 92.82 | +83% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 12.67 | -75% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | - | - | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself; no value tonight |
| DDM | 15.44 | -70% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 33.24 | -34% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -356.97 | -804% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 23.57 | -53% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Financial health is average - UBS passes 6 of the nine Piotroski tests, which passes the "Piotroski 6 or more" Wheel Trade Filter. The Financials tab on the Quote page shows which tests fail. The GLS Moat score is low at 4.7 out of 10: returns on capital, margins or the balance sheet have not shown a lasting edge yet - often a young company, a thin-margin business or one that has only recently turned profitable.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC 1.7%, ROE 8.6%, ROA 0.5% - with debt at 3.95 times equity and negative free cash flow. Debt of 3.95 times equity is on the high side for the sector and is worth checking against the cash flow before treating the stock as a long-term hold.
The dividend yield is 2.07% at a payout ratio of 1%; for a wheel trader holding assigned shares the dividend adds to the covered-call premium, and the ex-dividend date is worth knowing before a call is sold.
Institutional ownership scores 4/10, insider activity 5/10 and Congressional trading 10/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 6 / 9 | ROIC | 1.7% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 4.7 / 10 | ROE | 8.6% |
| Debt / equity | 3.95 | ROA | 0.5% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -0.8% | Payout ratio | 1% |
| Institutions | 4 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 5 · 10 / 10 |
Wheel Score 80: Good
UBS scores 80 out of 100 on the Wheel Score (Good band, 70-84): it passes all 9 Wheel Trade Filters. How it ranks: value strong, premium fair, moat fair, health good, red flags good, option trading strong, stability strong; Moat (fair) holds it back.
Implied volatility is 28% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out: enough to pass the 25-80% Wheel Trade Filter, but under the 35-60% sweet spot the score rewards most. The option chain is deep: 77,364 contracts of open interest across all expiries, which means tight fills at most strikes.
Volume runs at 2.5M shares a day on a market cap of $155.1B, with a beta of 0.83; the Stability part of the Wheel Score rates that strong.
| Filter | Wheel Trade Filter | Result | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Options that actually trade | Passes | Listed options with 1,000+ contracts of open interest and 100+ traded a day |
| 2 | A real business, not a gamble | Passes | Profitable over the last twelve months - not a speculative stock, fund or note |
| 3 | Below fair value | Passes | Trading below the nine-model average fair value (margin of safety above 0) |
| 4 | Financially healthy | Passes | Piotroski F-score 6 or more out of 9 (a company with no score on file passes) |
| 5 | Can repay its debt | Passes | Long-term debt repaid from 3 years of operating cash flow or less (6 for real estate and utilities; banks and insurers are not judged on it) |
| 6 | No serious red flags | Passes | Red Flags score 60 or more out of 100 (earnings, margins, debt, analysts, filings and price checked the same way for every stock) |
| 7 | A premium worth selling | Passes | Implied volatility 25-80% (enough premium, not a lottery ticket) |
| 8 | Big enough | Passes | Market cap $1 billion or more |
| 9 | Not a penny stock | Passes | Share price $5 or more |
| How it ranks | Rating | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | Strong | 35% below fair value | |
| Premium | Fair | implied volatility 28% | |
| Moat | Fair | moat 4.7/10 | |
| Health | Good | Piotroski 6/9 | |
| Red Flags | Good | Red Flags score 80/100 | |
| Option trading | Strong | 6,234 contracts a day, 77,364 open interest | |
| Stability | Strong | beta 0.83, $155.1B company |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls: a stock must pass all 9 Wheel Trade Filters to score 70, and the score then ranks the ones that pass; the Sunday Scan is the top 10. It is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. How the Wheel Score works · the walkthrough lesson shows how it fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 3 Feb 2027, 90 days away - outside the window of a 30-45-day put sold today.
No analyst upgrades or downgrades were recorded in the last 30 days.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Banks - Diversified
The 12 companies below are the closest to UBS Group AG by market cap within the Banks - Diversified industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BBVA Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. | 25.47 | 52.66 | +52% | 49Weak | $140.8B |
| SAN Banco Santander, S.A. | 12.07 | 38.86 | +69% | 48Weak | $179.8B |
| BMO Bank of Montreal | 177.47 | 317.92 | +44% | 81Good | $123.4B |
| BNS The Bank of Nova Scotia | 96.43 | 136.01 | +29% | 47Weak | $117.5B |
| C Citigroup Inc. | 124.75 | 174.18 | +28% | 52Fair | $209.3B |
| TD The Toronto-Dominion Bank | 128.20 | 133.06 | +4% | 70Good | $216.6B |
| CM Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce | 119.87 | 131.01 | +9% | 71Good | $108.8B |
| MUFG Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. | 21.97 | 30.73 | +29% | 87Prime | $248.2B |
| SMFG Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc. | 24.63 | 71.08 | +65% | 48Weak | $95.4B |
| ING ING Groep N.V. | 32.84 | 49.94 | +34% | 43Weak | $93.4B |
| WFC Wells Fargo & Company | 87.43 | 158.36 | +45% | 84Good | $262.5B |
| RY Royal Bank of Canada | 209.79 | 305.64 | +31% | 81Good | $290.9B |
⚖ Compare UBS with 7 of them All Financial Services stocks →
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about UBS
Is UBS undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, yes: at 50.67 the stock is 35% below the average fair value of 77.43 (data as of 5 Nov 2026). Whether the discount is deserved is the question to research next.
What is the Wheel Score of UBS and what does it mean?
UBS scores 80 out of 100 (Good). The Wheel Score ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned - in two parts: the 9 pass/fail Wheel Trade Filters (busy options, a real business, below fair value, Piotroski 6 or more, debt it can repay, a Red Flags score of 60 or more, implied volatility of 25-80%, a $1 billion company, $5 a share) and a ranking of how strongly a stock passes on value, premium, moat, health, red flags, option trading and stability. A stock that fails any filter stays under 70; 70-84 is Good, 85 and above is Prime. The Sunday Scan is the top 10 that pass, sorted by Wheel Score.
What is the GLS fair value for UBS?
77.43 per share as of 5 Nov 2026 - the simple average of the 8 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does UBS Group AG report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 3 Feb 2027, 90 days from the data date of 5 Nov 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does UBS have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 86 listed contracts with 77,364 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 28% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.