Weibo Corporation (WB): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score

Is WB undervalued?

At 6.51 (close of 16 Oct 2026), WB trades 89% below the GLS average fair value of 60.52. That average comes from 9 models run on the latest filings, and 9 of them land above the current price. Margins of safety over 30% are the exception rather than the rule across the ~7,400 stocks we value each night, so the number earns Weibo Corporation the full Value points in the Wheel Score - and a closer look at what the market is pricing in.

There is a wide gap between Lynch (8.02) and DCF (281.26). When the models are this far apart the "fair value" is really a range, and the margin of safety above should be read with that range in mind.

The nightly engine files WB under Speculative / Distressed - negative earnings or a Piotroski score of 3 or less - which caps its Wheel Score at 45 and keeps it out of the Sunday Scan.

Nine valuation models for WB

Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.

Quality and financial health

Weibo Corporation scores only 2 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score, which fails the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. A reading this low means several of the basic tests - positive earnings, positive operating cash flow, falling debt, no new share issuance - are not met. On durability WB scores 5.1/10 on the GLS Moat - a middle reading; the Scorecard on the Quote page's Financials tab shows which ten-year lines are steady and which are not.

Returns on capital are moderate - ROIC 7.7%, ROE 11.5%, ROA 6.3% - with debt at 0.49 times equity and negative free cash flow.

The dividend yield is high at 9.53% (payout ratio 0%). A yield this size is often the market's way of pricing a risk to the payout, so the health score and cash flow matter more than usual. Revenue comes mainly from Advertising And Marketing 86%, Value Added Services 15% (fiscal year FY2025).

Institutional ownership scores 2/10, insider activity 5/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.

Wheel Score 45: Weak

With a Wheel Score of 45 Weibo Corporation sits in the Weak band, capped at 45 because the engine files it as Speculative / Distressed. The parts - Value 25/25, Health 4/20, Moat 8/15, Premium 20/20, Stability 14/20 - show where: Health (4/20) scores lowest.

Implied volatility is 45% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - inside the 35-60% range the Wheel Score pays full marks for: enough premium to be worth selling, not so much that the risk is unpaid. Chain open interest is 16,109 contracts across all expiries - enough for the wheel at normal size.

Volume runs at 835k shares a day on a market cap of $1.6B, with a beta of 0.17 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 14 of 20.

The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.

Upcoming events

The next earnings report is due on 17 Nov 2026 (before the open), 32 days away; a 30-45-day put sold today would expire after it, which is worth weighing against the premium.

Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.

Similar stocks in Internet Content & Information

The 12 companies below are the closest to Weibo Corporation by market cap within the Internet Content & Information industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.

⚖ Compare WB with 7 of them   All Communication Services stocks →