Stock fact sheet · data as of
Winnebago Industries, Inc. (WGO): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Consumer Cyclical · Auto - Recreational Vehicles · United States · High Yield Income
Is WGO undervalued?
Winnebago Industries, Inc. (WGO) closed at 23.09 on 16 Oct 2026. The GLS average fair value - the simple average of the 9 valuation models that produced a positive number - is 49.36, which puts the price 53% below it. 6 of the 9 models value the shares above the current price. A gap this wide is rare in our universe of ~7,400 US stocks and is exactly what the Value part of the Wheel Score rewards; it is also where the question "why is it this cheap?" matters most.
There is a wide gap between GLS Growth (4.02) and 10 Cap (138.02). When the models are this far apart the "fair value" is really a range, and the margin of safety above should be read with that range in mind.
The nightly engine files WGO under High Yield Income: a dividend yield above 4%.
Nine valuation models for WGO
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 52.71 | +128% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 36.54 | +58% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 77.82 | +237% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 34.01 | +47% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 4.02 | -83% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 138.02 | +498% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 65.27 | +183% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | 20.75 | -10% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 15.12 | -35% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -8.77 | -138% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 35.00 | +52% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Winnebago Industries, Inc. scores 7 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score, the nine yes/no tests of profitability, leverage and efficiency on the latest annual accounts - a strong reading that passes the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule with room to spare. A GLS Moat score of 2.1/10 is a weak reading: the ten-year history the score grades (revenue, EPS, book value, margins, cash flow, share count, ROIC) has not been steady, so the Moat part of the Wheel Score contributes little.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC 1.4%, ROE 2.1%, ROA 1.1% - with debt at 0.49 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 27.7%.
The dividend yield is high at 6.11% (payout ratio 103%) - a payout above 100% of earnings, which is not covered by profits. A yield this size is often the market's way of pricing a risk to the payout, so the health score and cash flow matter more than usual. Revenue comes mainly from Marine 100% (quarter Q3 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 10/10, insider activity 5/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 7 / 9 | ROIC | 1.4% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 2.1 / 10 | ROE | 2.1% |
| Debt / equity | 0.49 | ROA | 1.1% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 27.7% | Payout ratio | 103% |
| Institutions | 10 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 5 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 76: Good
With a Wheel Score of 76 - the Good band - Winnebago Industries, Inc. clears the Sunday Scan's "70 or higher" rule. The parts: Value 25/25, Health 16/20, Moat 3/15, Premium 20/20, Stability 13/20; Moat (3/15) scores lowest.
Implied volatility is 57% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - inside the 35-60% range the Wheel Score pays full marks for: enough premium to be worth selling, not so much that the risk is unpaid. Chain open interest is 15,220 contracts across all expiries - enough for the wheel at normal size.
Volume runs at 770k shares a day on a market cap of $653M, with a beta of 1.18; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 13 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 25 / 25 | 53% margin of safety | |
| Health | 16 / 20 | Piotroski 7/9 | |
| Moat | 3 / 15 | moat 2.1/10 | |
| Premium | 20 / 20 | implied volatility 57% | |
| Stability | 13 / 20 | 770k shares/day, $653M cap, beta 1.18 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
Winnebago Industries, Inc. reports earnings on 21 Oct 2026 (before the open) - inside the 14-day window the Sunday Scan avoids, because a put sold now would carry the report's gap risk.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Auto - Recreational Vehicles
The 12 companies below are the closest to Winnebago Industries, Inc. by market cap within the Auto - Recreational Vehicles industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCFT MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc. | 19.93 | 19.20 | -4% | 45Weak | $485M |
| MBUU Malibu Boats, Inc. | 22.68 | 9.88 | -130% | 46Weak | $446M |
| LVWR LiveWire Group, Inc. | 1.64 | - | - | 32Weak | $337M |
| LCII LCI Industries | 84.02 | 164.92 | +49% | 80Prime | $2.0B |
| PII Polaris Inc. | 50.56 | 43.62 | -16% | 45Weak | $2.9B |
| THO Thor Industries, Inc. | 65.47 | 73.37 | +11% | 74Good | $3.4B |
| DOO BRP Inc. | 55.83 | 63.37 | +12% | 73Good | $4.0B |
| BC Brunswick Corporation | 65.63 | 72.93 | +10% | 45Weak | $4.3B |
| MAMO Massimo Group Common Stock | 0.9300 | 1.53 | +39% | 39No options | $39M |
| LFEV Life Electric Vehicles Holdings Inc. | 1.35 | 0.7870 | -72% | 17No options | $12M |
| VEEE Twin Vee Powercats Co. | 8.42 | - | - | 26No options | $5M |
| VMAR Vision Marine Technologies Inc. | 5.71 | 4,165.70 | +100% | 39No options | $4M |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about WGO
Is WGO undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, yes: at 23.09 the stock is 53% below the average fair value of 49.36 (data as of 16 Oct 2026). Whether the discount is deserved is the question to research next.
What is the Wheel Score of WGO and what does it mean?
WGO scores 76 out of 100 (Good). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for WGO?
49.36 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 9 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Winnebago Industries, Inc. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 21 Oct 2026 (before the open), 5 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does WGO have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 162 listed contracts with 15,220 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 57% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.