Stock fact sheet · data as of
Weyerhaeuser Company (WY): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Real Estate · REIT - Specialty · United States · High Yield Income
Is WY undervalued?
At 18.90 (close of 16 Oct 2026), WY trades 32% over the GLS average fair value of 14.36, with 1 of 7 models above the price. The stock earns none of the Wheel Score's Value points at this price. That is a statement about price against trailing fundamentals, not about the company's prospects - the Wall Street View and the Growth tab on the Quote page carry the forward numbers.
The 7 models disagree widely: GLS Growth gives 1.92 while Graham Growth gives 37.42. A spread that wide means the average is sensitive to which methods you trust; the model table below shows where each one lands, and the Quote page lets you switch any of them off.
The nightly engine files WY under High Yield Income: a dividend yield above 4%.
Nine valuation models for WY
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 11.29 | -40% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 13.89 | -27% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 37.42 | +98% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 16.36 | -13% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 1.92 | -90% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | - | - | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10%; no value tonight |
| Payback Time | - | - | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself; no value tonight |
| DDM | 12.36 | -35% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 7.27 | -62% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -7.68 | -141% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 29.33 | +55% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Financial health is average - WY passes 6 of the nine Piotroski tests, which passes the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. The Financials tab on the Quote page shows which tests fail. The GLS Moat score is low at 0.9 out of 10, which says the ten-year record of revenue, earnings, margins and returns on capital has been inconsistent - growth and shocks rather than steady compounding.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC 2.2%, ROE 3.4%, ROA 2.0% - with debt at 0.59 times equity and negative free cash flow.
The dividend yield is high at 4.44% (payout ratio 128%) - a payout above 100% of earnings, which is not covered by profits. A yield this size is often the market's way of pricing a risk to the payout, so the health score and cash flow matter more than usual. Revenue comes mainly from Wood Products 72%, Timberlands 28% (quarter Q2 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 10/10, insider activity 6/10 and Congressional trading 3/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 6 / 9 | ROIC | 2.2% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 0.9 / 10 | ROE | 3.4% |
| Debt / equity | 0.59 | ROA | 2.0% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -3.2% | Payout ratio | 128% |
| Institutions | 10 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 6 · 3 / 10 |
Wheel Score 55: Fair
WY scores 55 out of 100 on the Wheel Score (Fair band, 50-64): a usable but unremarkable fit for the wheel strategy. The parts: Value 0/25, Health 13/20, Moat 1/15, Premium 20/20, Stability 20/20. Value (0/25) is where the points are missing.
Implied volatility is 35% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - inside the 35-60% range the Wheel Score pays full marks for: enough premium to be worth selling, not so much that the risk is unpaid. The option chain is deep: 90,432 contracts of open interest across all expiries, which means tight fills at most strikes.
Volume runs at 8.6M shares a day on a market cap of $13.6B, with a beta of 0.93; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 20 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 0 / 25 | -32% margin of safety | |
| Health | 13 / 20 | Piotroski 6/9 | |
| Moat | 1 / 15 | moat 0.9/10 | |
| Premium | 20 / 20 | implied volatility 35% | |
| Stability | 20 / 20 | 8.6M shares/day, $13.6B cap, beta 0.93 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
Weyerhaeuser Company reports earnings on 29 Oct 2026 (after the close) - inside the 14-day window the Sunday Scan avoids, because a put sold now would carry the report's gap risk.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in REIT - Specialty
The 12 companies below are the closest to Weyerhaeuser Company by market cap within the REIT - Specialty industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAMR Lamar Advertising Company | 148.07 | 94.42 | -57% | 51Fair | $15.0B |
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| SBAC SBA Communications Corporation | 180.71 | 190.61 | +5% | 77Good | $19.2B |
| RYN Rayonier Inc. REIT | 18.65 | 22.63 | +18% | 76Good | $5.5B |
| IRM Iron Mountain Incorporated | 112.68 | 22.28 | -406% | 58Fair | $33.5B |
| CCI Crown Castle Inc. | 80.00 | 64.77 | -24% | 63Fair | $35.0B |
| OUT Outfront Media Inc. | 29.95 | 21.40 | -40% | 55Fair | $5.3B |
| EPR EPR Properties | 55.15 | 59.80 | +8% | 64Fair | $4.2B |
| DLR Digital Realty Trust, Inc. | 174.47 | 69.61 | -151% | 61Fair | $64.7B |
| AMT American Tower Corporation | 181.36 | 115.96 | -56% | 60Fair | $84.5B |
| FRMI Fermi Inc. Common Stock | 3.40 | 0.2626 | -1193% | 25Weak | $2.2B |
| EQIX Equinix, Inc. | 996.26 | 287.49 | -247% | 58Fair | $98.3B |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about WY
Is WY undervalued right now?
No: at 18.90 the stock trades 32% above the GLS average fair value of 14.36 (data as of 16 Oct 2026), well beyond what trailing earnings, cash flow and book value support.
What is the Wheel Score of WY and what does it mean?
WY scores 55 out of 100 (Fair). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for WY?
14.36 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 7 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Weyerhaeuser Company report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 29 Oct 2026 (after the close), 13 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does WY have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 332 listed contracts with 90,432 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 35% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.