Stock fact sheet · data as of

AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock (AIRO): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense · United States · Speculative / Distressed

Close5.49
GLS fair value-no model value
Margin of safety-
Wheel Score45Weakcapped at 45
Health3/9Piotroski F-score
Moat4.1/10GLS 10-year score
Market cap$173M508k shares a day
Implied vol.91%near-the-money, 20-60 d
P/E-EPS -0.81
Dividend yieldnone
Beta2.05moves more than the market
Next earnings13 Nov 2026in 28 days

Is AIRO undervalued?

At 5.49 (close of 16 Oct 2026), AIRO has no GLS fair value: every one of the nine models needs a positive input (the company lost money over the last twelve months, EPS -0.81 and it pays no dividend), so the margin of safety is blank and the Wheel Score cannot be computed. Our screens leave the stock out at the first rule. What can be said from the nightly row is below.

The nightly engine files AIRO under Speculative / Distressed - negative earnings or a Piotroski score of 3 or less - which caps its Wheel Score at 45 and keeps it out of the Sunday Scan.

Nine valuation models for AIRO

Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.

ModelValuevs priceWhat it measures
DCF--Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital; no value tonight
Graham Number--The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share; no value tonight
Graham Growth--Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields; no value tonight
Lynch--EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25%; no value tonight
GLS Growth--EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year; no value tonight
10 Cap--Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10%; no value tonight
Payback Time--Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself; no value tonight
DDM--Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend; no value tonight
EPV--Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth; no value tonight
Zombie (liquidation)2.27-59%Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average
Wall St target11.00+100%Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average

Quality and financial health

AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock scores only 3 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score, which fails the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. A reading this low means several of the basic tests - positive earnings, positive operating cash flow, falling debt, no new share issuance - are not met. A GLS Moat score of 4.1/10 is a weak reading: the ten-year history the score grades (revenue, EPS, book value, margins, cash flow, share count, ROIC) has not been steady, so the Moat part of the Wheel Score contributes little.

Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC -0.6%, ROE -0.6%, ROA -0.5% - with debt at 0.01 times equity and negative free cash flow.

AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain. Revenue comes mainly from Product and Service, Other 50%, Product 48%, Service 2% (quarter Q2 FY2026).

Institutional ownership scores 4/10, insider activity 1/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.

Piotroski F-score3 / 9ROIC-0.6%
GLS Moat4.1 / 10ROE-0.6%
Debt / equity0.01ROA-0.5%
Free-cash-flow yield-32.9%Payout ratio0%
Institutions4 / 10Insiders · Congress1 · 5 / 10

Wheel Score 45: Weak

With a Wheel Score of 45 AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock sits in the Weak band, capped at 45 because the engine files it as Speculative / Distressed. The parts - Value 13/25, Health 7/20, Moat 6/15, Premium 12/20, Stability 8/20 - show where: Health (7/20) scores lowest.

Implied volatility is 91% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - above the 60% ceiling of the sweet spot. Premiums are large, but the Wheel Score tapers the Premium points (12 of 20) because volatility this high usually comes with a reason. Chain open interest is 8,745 contracts across all expiries - enough for the wheel at normal size.

Volume runs at 508k shares a day on a market cap of $173M, with a beta of 2.05 - a high beta, so the stock tends to move more than the market and a strike can be gapped through; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 8 of 20.

PartPointsFrom
Value13 / 250% margin of safety
Health7 / 20Piotroski 3/9
Moat6 / 15moat 4.1/10
Premium12 / 20implied volatility 91%
Stability8 / 20508k shares/day, $173M cap, beta 2.05

The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.

Upcoming events

The next earnings report is due on 13 Nov 2026, 28 days away; a 30-45-day put sold today would expire after it, which is worth weighing against the premium.

Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.

Similar stocks in Aerospace & Defense

The 12 companies below are the closest to AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock by market cap within the Aerospace & Defense industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.

StockCloseFair valueMoSWheelMkt cap
AERG
Applied Energetics, Inc.
0.80000.0114-6931%15No options$179M
DPRO
Draganfly Inc.
3.911.82-114%22Weak$153M
EH
EHang Holdings Limited
3.90--45Weak$148M
CNRD
Conrad Industries, Inc.
29.0288.40+67%39No options$146M
SIF
SIFCO Industries, Inc.
21.3313.76-55%21No options$133M
SIDU
Sidus Space, Inc.
1.26--37Weak$127M
VWAV
VisionWave Holdings, Inc.
4.01--37Weak$121M
POWW
Outdoor Holding Company
2.241.40-60%43Weak$260M
POWWP
Outdoor Holding Company - 8.75% Series A Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Preferred Stock
24.126.31-282%26No options$266M
CODA
Coda Octopus Group, Inc.
9.926.62-50%23No options$112M
BYRN
Byrna Technologies Inc.
4.784.22-13%43Weak$112M
MRLN
Merlin, Inc.
1.120.0208-5274%27Weak$108M

⚖ Compare AIRO with 7 of them   All Industrials stocks →

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Questions about AIRO

Is AIRO undervalued right now?

The GLS models could not value AIRO (the company lost money over the last twelve months, EPS -0.81 and it pays no dividend), so there is no fair value or margin of safety to compare the price of 5.49 against.

What is the Wheel Score of AIRO and what does it mean?

AIRO scores 45 out of 100 (Weak). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.

What is the GLS fair value for AIRO?

None of the nine GLS models produced a positive value for AIRO (the company lost money over the last twelve months, EPS -0.81 and it pays no dividend), so there is no GLS fair value tonight.

When does AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock report earnings next?

The next earnings report is due on 13 Nov 2026, 28 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.

Does AIRO have listed options, and how liquid are they?

Yes. The nightly snapshot found 64 listed contracts with 8,745 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 91% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.

Data as of 16 Oct 2026: prices and fundamentals from Financial Modeling Prep, option data from Polygon; valuations, scores and the Wheel Score by GLS Equity's models, run nightly. Prices in USD; the close shown is the previous session's. Everything on this page is general information produced by automated models from third-party data - not a recommendation to buy, sell or trade any security or option, and not financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. GLS Equity provides data and tools, not financial advice.