Stock fact sheet · data as of
SIFCO Industries, Inc. (SIF): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Industrials · Aerospace & Defense · United States · Blend
Is SIF undervalued?
SIF closed at 21.33 on 16 Oct 2026, more than 30% above the GLS average fair value of 13.76. Only 1 of the 7 models that produced a value sit above the price. By our models the shares are priced well beyond what the filed earnings, cash flow and book value support; the Sunday Scan drops names like this at the "below fair value" rule.
The 7 models disagree widely: GLS Growth gives 3.79 while Graham Growth gives 36.38. A spread that wide means the average is sensitive to which methods you trust; the model table below shows where each one lands, and the Quote page lets you switch any of them off.
The nightly engine files SIF under Blend.
Nine valuation models for SIF
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | - | - | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital; no value tonight |
| Graham Number | 9.94 | -53% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 36.38 | +71% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 15.85 | -26% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 3.79 | -82% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 11.89 | -44% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 11.29 | -47% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | - | - | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend; no value tonight |
| EPV | 7.20 | -66% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -0.2267 | -101% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 0.0000 | -100% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Financial health is average - SIF passes 5 of the nine Piotroski tests, which falls one point short of the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. The Financials tab on the Quote page shows which tests fail. The GLS Moat score is low at 2.2 out of 10, which says the ten-year record of revenue, earnings, margins and returns on capital has been inconsistent - growth and shocks rather than steady compounding.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC -1.2%, ROE -1.9%, ROA -1.0% - with debt at 0.65 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 2.4%.
SIFCO Industries, Inc. pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain. Revenue comes mainly from Fixed Wing Aircraft Revenue 49%, Rotocraft Revenue 29%, Commercial Product And Other Revenue 22% (quarter Q3 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 3/10, insider activity 5/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 5 / 9 | ROIC | -1.2% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 2.2 / 10 | ROE | -1.9% |
| Debt / equity | 0.65 | ROA | -1.0% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 2.4% | Payout ratio | 0% |
| Institutions | 3 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 5 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 21: No options
SIF has no listed options in the nightly snapshot, so there is nothing to sell and the stock cannot be wheeled however good the business; the Wheel Score is capped at 39 and shown as "No options" (21 here). The valuation and quality numbers still apply to owning the shares outright.
Volume runs at 125k shares a day on a market cap of $133M, with a beta of 0.74 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 7 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 0 / 25 | -55% margin of safety | |
| Health | 11 / 20 | Piotroski 5/9 | |
| Moat | 3 / 15 | moat 2.2/10 | |
| Premium | 0 / 20 | no option data | |
| Stability | 7 / 20 | 125k shares/day, $133M cap, beta 0.74 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for SIF in the nightly calendar.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Aerospace & Defense
The 12 companies below are the closest to SIFCO Industries, Inc. by market cap within the Aerospace & Defense industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SIDU Sidus Space, Inc. | 1.26 | - | - | 37Weak | $127M |
| CNRD Conrad Industries, Inc. | 29.02 | 88.40 | +67% | 39No options | $146M |
| VWAV VisionWave Holdings, Inc. | 4.01 | - | - | 37Weak | $121M |
| EH EHang Holdings Limited | 3.90 | - | - | 45Weak | $148M |
| DPRO Draganfly Inc. | 3.91 | 1.82 | -114% | 22Weak | $153M |
| CODA Coda Octopus Group, Inc. | 9.92 | 6.62 | -50% | 23No options | $112M |
| BYRN Byrna Technologies Inc. | 4.78 | 4.22 | -13% | 43Weak | $112M |
| MRLN Merlin, Inc. | 1.12 | 0.0208 | -5274% | 27Weak | $108M |
| AIRO AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock | 5.49 | - | - | 45Weak | $173M |
| AERG Applied Energetics, Inc. | 0.8000 | 0.0114 | -6931% | 15No options | $179M |
| HOVR New Horizon Aircraft Ltd | 1.41 | 1.73 | +19% | 29No options | $95M |
| SPAI Safe Pro Group Inc. Common Stock | 3.65 | 0.8392 | -335% | 15Weak | $75M |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about SIF
Is SIF undervalued right now?
No: at 21.33 the stock trades 55% above the GLS average fair value of 13.76 (data as of 16 Oct 2026), well beyond what trailing earnings, cash flow and book value support.
What is the Wheel Score of SIF and what does it mean?
SIF has no listed options in our nightly snapshot, so it cannot be wheeled; its Wheel Score is capped at 39 and shown as "No options".
What is the GLS fair value for SIF?
13.76 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 7 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does SIFCO Industries, Inc. report earnings next?
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for SIF in our calendar as of 16 Oct 2026; the Calendars page is refreshed every morning.
Does SIF have listed options, and how liquid are they?
No. The nightly options snapshot found no listed contracts on SIF, so the wheel strategy cannot be run on it and the Wheel Score is capped at 39.