Stock fact sheet · data as of
Alico, Inc. (ALCO): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Consumer Defensive · Agricultural Farm Products · United States · Blend
Is ALCO undervalued?
At 37.98 (close of 16 Oct 2026), ALCO trades 821% over the GLS average fair value of 4.13, with 0 of 7 models above the price. The stock earns none of the Wheel Score's Value points at this price. That is a statement about price against trailing fundamentals, not about the company's prospects - the Wall Street View and the Growth tab on the Quote page carry the forward numbers.
There is a wide gap between GLS Growth (0.3007) and Graham Number (8.10). When the models are this far apart the "fair value" is really a range, and the margin of safety above should be read with that range in mind.
The nightly engine files ALCO under Blend.
Nine valuation models for ALCO
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 6.82 | -82% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 8.10 | -79% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 6.15 | -84% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 2.27 | -94% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 0.3007 | -99% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | - | - | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10%; no value tonight |
| Payback Time | - | - | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself; no value tonight |
| DDM | 2.94 | -92% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 2.29 | -94% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -5.21 | -114% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 45.00 | +18% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Alico, Inc. scores 5 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score: a middling result that falls one point short of the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. Some of the nine tests on profitability, leverage and efficiency are failed, so the accounts are worth a look before selling a put on the name. A GLS Moat score of 2.3/10 is a weak reading: the ten-year history the score grades (revenue, EPS, book value, margins, cash flow, share count, ROIC) has not been steady, so the Moat part of the Wheel Score contributes little.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC -78.1%, ROE -143.0%, ROA -73.1% - with debt at 0.83 times equity and negative free cash flow.
The dividend yield is 0.53% with a payout ratio of 99% - a small yield that leaves most of the earnings in the business. Revenue comes mainly from Alico Citrus 85%, Land Management And Other Operations 15% (quarter Q2 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 8/10, insider activity 10/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 5 / 9 | ROIC | -78.1% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 2.3 / 10 | ROE | -143.0% |
| Debt / equity | 0.83 | ROA | -73.1% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -1.3% | Payout ratio | 99% |
| Institutions | 8 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 10 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 21: No options
No options are listed on Alico, Inc. in our nightly snapshot. The Wheel Score is therefore capped at 39 (it reads 21) and the stock is left out of every options screen; the fair value and health figures above are still useful for a plain stock position.
Volume runs at 24k shares a day on a market cap of $282M, with a beta of 0.93; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 6 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 0 / 25 | -821% margin of safety | |
| Health | 11 / 20 | Piotroski 5/9 | |
| Moat | 3 / 15 | moat 2.3/10 | |
| Premium | 0 / 20 | no option data | |
| Stability | 6 / 20 | 24k shares/day, $282M cap, beta 0.93 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 23 Nov 2026 (after the close), 38 days away; a 30-45-day put sold today would expire after it, which is worth weighing against the premium.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Agricultural Farm Products
The 12 companies below are the closest to Alico, Inc. by market cap within the Agricultural Farm Products industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHSCN CHS Inc. | 23.55 | 27.59 | +15% | 39No options | $305M |
| CHSCP CHS Inc. | 25.92 | 27.59 | +6% | 39No options | $307M |
| CHSCM CHS Inc. | 22.84 | 27.59 | +17% | 39No options | $308M |
| CHSCL CHS Inc. | 25.10 | 27.59 | +9% | 39No options | $308M |
| CHSCO CHS Inc. | 25.58 | 27.59 | +7% | 39No options | $309M |
| VFF Village Farms International, Inc. | 2.56 | 4.92 | +48% | 72Good | $313M |
| AFRI Forafric Global PLC | 11.85 | 5.31 | -123% | 14No options | $320M |
| LND BrasilAgro - Companhia Brasileira de Propriedades Agrícolas | 3.58 | 7.28 | +51% | 39No options | $367M |
| LMNR Limoneira Company | 11.82 | 2.21 | -436% | 23Weak | $214M |
| VITL Vital Farms, Inc. | 8.91 | 12.57 | +29% | 45Weak | $383M |
| STNT Stevia Nutra Corp. | 6.37 | 0.3488 | -1725% | 8No options | $162M |
| DOLE Dole plc | 13.41 | 15.22 | +12% | 75Good | $1.3B |
⚖ Compare ALCO with 7 of them All Consumer Defensive stocks →
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about ALCO
Is ALCO undervalued right now?
No: at 37.98 the stock trades 821% above the GLS average fair value of 4.13 (data as of 16 Oct 2026), well beyond what trailing earnings, cash flow and book value support.
What is the Wheel Score of ALCO and what does it mean?
ALCO has no listed options in our nightly snapshot, so it cannot be wheeled; its Wheel Score is capped at 39 and shown as "No options".
What is the GLS fair value for ALCO?
4.13 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 7 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Alico, Inc. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 23 Nov 2026 (after the close), 38 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does ALCO have listed options, and how liquid are they?
No. The nightly options snapshot found no listed contracts on ALCO, so the wheel strategy cannot be run on it and the Wheel Score is capped at 39.