Stock fact sheet · data as of
Arko Corp. (ARKO): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail · United States · Blend
Is ARKO undervalued?
Arko Corp. (ARKO) closed at 4.11 on 16 Oct 2026. The GLS average fair value - the simple average of the 8 valuation models that produced a positive number - is 4.80, so the price sits 14% below it. 3 of the 8 models value the shares above the current price. A margin of safety between 10% and 30% is where most of the Sunday Scan candidates come from.
There is a wide gap between GLS Growth (0.2811) and 10 Cap (14.34). When the models are this far apart the "fair value" is really a range, and the margin of safety above should be read with that range in mind.
The nightly engine files ARKO under Blend.
Nine valuation models for ARKO
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | - | - | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital; no value tonight |
| Graham Number | 3.64 | -11% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 7.54 | +84% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 3.30 | -20% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 0.2811 | -93% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 14.34 | +249% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 6.08 | +48% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | 1.77 | -57% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 1.47 | -64% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -21.84 | -631% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 14.50 | +253% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Arko Corp. scores 8 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score, the nine yes/no tests of profitability, leverage and efficiency on the latest annual accounts - a strong reading that passes the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule with room to spare. A GLS Moat score of 2.9/10 is a weak reading: the ten-year history the score grades (revenue, EPS, book value, margins, cash flow, share count, ROIC) has not been steady, so the Moat part of the Wheel Score contributes little.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC 0.5%, ROE 6.2%, ROA 0.6% - with debt at 10.76 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 8.7%. Debt of 10.76 times equity is on the high side for the sector and is worth checking against the cash flow before treating the stock as a long-term hold.
The dividend yield is 2.92% at a payout ratio of 130%; for a wheel trader holding assigned shares the dividend adds to the covered-call premium, and the ex-dividend date is worth knowing before a call is sold. Revenue comes mainly from Fuel Products 84%, Merchandise Products 15%, Other Product 1% (quarter Q2 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 8/10, insider activity 3/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 8 / 9 | ROIC | 0.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 2.9 / 10 | ROE | 6.2% |
| Debt / equity | 10.76 | ROA | 0.6% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 8.7% | Payout ratio | 130% |
| Institutions | 8 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 3 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 64: Fair
A Wheel Score of 64 puts Arko Corp. in the Fair band - below the 70 the Sunday Scan requires. Value 19/25, Health 18/20, Moat 4/15, Premium 12/20 and Stability 11/20; the weakest part is Moat (4/15).
Implied volatility is 91% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - above the 60% ceiling of the sweet spot. Premiums are large, but the Wheel Score tapers the Premium points (12 of 20) because volatility this high usually comes with a reason. Chain open interest is thin - 1,523 contracts across every expiry - so fills at a fair price are not guaranteed; a 30-45-day put may not exist at a usable strike.
Volume runs at 434k shares a day on a market cap of $461M, with a beta of 0.93; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 11 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 19 / 25 | 14% margin of safety | |
| Health | 18 / 20 | Piotroski 8/9 | |
| Moat | 4 / 15 | moat 2.9/10 | |
| Premium | 12 / 20 | implied volatility 91% | |
| Stability | 11 / 20 | 434k shares/day, $461M cap, beta 0.93 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 4 Nov 2026, 19 days away; a 30-45-day put sold today would expire after it, which is worth weighing against the premium.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Specialty Retail
The 12 companies below are the closest to Arko Corp. by market cap within the Specialty Retail industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BNED Barnes & Noble Education, Inc. | 13.15 | 17.04 | +23% | 71Good | $456M |
| JMIA Jumia Technologies AG | 6.11 | - | - | 45Weak | $381M |
| EVGO EVgo, Inc. | 1.11 | - | - | 40Weak | $348M |
| BWMX Betterware de Mexico, S.A.P.I. de C.V. | 16.31 | 660.14 | +98% | 70Good | $644M |
| BBW Build-A-Bear Workshop, Inc. | 26.10 | 57.61 | +55% | 73Good | $322M |
| WOOF Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc. | 2.37 | 5.29 | +55% | 74Good | $677M |
| ELA Envela Corporation | 12.04 | 11.29 | -7% | 54Fair | $313M |
| ZKH ZKH Group Limited | 1.96 | 17.49 | +89% | 39No options | $309M |
| LOGC ContextLogic Inc. | 15.37 | - | - | 25No options | $703M |
| TDUP ThredUp Inc. | 2.20 | 2.19 | -0% | 45Weak | $289M |
| NEGG Newegg Commerce, Inc. | 11.36 | 7.86 | -45% | 12No options | $238M |
| HEPS D-Market Elektronik Hizmetler ve Ticaret A.S. | 2.73 | 2.36 | -16% | 42Weak | $975M |
⚖ Compare ARKO with 7 of them All Consumer Cyclical stocks →
Screen the whole market the same way
A free GLS Equity account gets you nightly fair value and the Wheel Score on ~7,400 US stocks, a watchlist, the scanner preview and the Sunday Scan - the same eight-rule screen, emailed every week. Pro adds the full put and call scanners, unlimited watchlists with alerts and the trade journal.
Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about ARKO
Is ARKO undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, moderately: at 4.11 the stock trades 14% below the average fair value of 4.80 (data as of 16 Oct 2026).
What is the Wheel Score of ARKO and what does it mean?
ARKO scores 64 out of 100 (Fair). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for ARKO?
4.80 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 8 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Arko Corp. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 4 Nov 2026, 19 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does ARKO have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 40 listed contracts with 1,523 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 91% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.