Stock fact sheet · data as of
Aramark (ARMK): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Industrials · Specialty Business Services · United States · Blend
Is ARMK undervalued?
At 55.04 (close of 16 Oct 2026), ARMK trades 76% over the GLS average fair value of 31.36, with 1 of 9 models above the price. The stock earns none of the Wheel Score's Value points at this price. That is a statement about price against trailing fundamentals, not about the company's prospects - the Wall Street View and the Growth tab on the Quote page carry the forward numbers.
There is a wide gap between DDM (7.06) and 10 Cap (55.69). When the models are this far apart the "fair value" is really a range, and the margin of safety above should be read with that range in mind.
The nightly engine files ARMK under Blend.
Nine valuation models for ARMK
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 44.24 | -20% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 20.52 | -63% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 52.42 | -5% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 20.63 | -63% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 20.07 | -64% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 55.69 | +1% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 45.46 | -17% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | 7.06 | -87% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 16.14 | -71% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -25.11 | -146% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 69.20 | +26% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Aramark scores 8 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score, the nine yes/no tests of profitability, leverage and efficiency on the latest annual accounts - a strong reading that passes the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule with room to spare. A GLS Moat score of 2.3/10 is a weak reading: the ten-year history the score grades (revenue, EPS, book value, margins, cash flow, share count, ROIC) has not been steady, so the Moat part of the Wheel Score contributes little.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC 3.7%, ROE 10.4%, ROA 2.5% - with debt at 1.82 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 3.2%.
The dividend yield is 0.87% with a payout ratio of 32% - a small yield that leaves most of the earnings in the business. Revenue comes mainly from Food and Support Services United States 69%, Food and Support Services International 31% (quarter Q3 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 10/10, insider activity 5/10 and Congressional trading 1/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 8 / 9 | ROIC | 3.7% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 2.3 / 10 | ROE | 10.4% |
| Debt / equity | 1.82 | ROA | 2.5% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 3.2% | Payout ratio | 32% |
| Institutions | 10 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 5 · 1 / 10 |
Wheel Score 59: Fair
A Wheel Score of 59 puts Aramark in the Fair band - below the 70 the Sunday Scan requires. Value 0/25, Health 18/20, Moat 3/15, Premium 18/20 and Stability 20/20; the weakest part is Value (0/25).
Implied volatility is 33% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out: some premium, but under the 35-60% range the Wheel Score pays full marks for (18 of 20 points). Chain open interest is 17,568 contracts across all expiries - enough for the wheel at normal size.
Volume runs at 5.7M shares a day on a market cap of $14.5B, with a beta of 1.19; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 20 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 0 / 25 | -76% margin of safety | |
| Health | 18 / 20 | Piotroski 8/9 | |
| Moat | 3 / 15 | moat 2.3/10 | |
| Premium | 18 / 20 | implied volatility 33% | |
| Stability | 20 / 20 | 5.7M shares/day, $14.5B cap, beta 1.19 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 16 Nov 2026 (before the open), 31 days away; a 30-45-day put sold today would expire after it, which is worth weighing against the premium.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Specialty Business Services
The 12 companies below are the closest to Aramark by market cap within the Specialty Business Services industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ULS UL Solutions Inc. | 71.60 | 37.20 | -92% | 69Good | $14.5B |
| ROL Rollins, Inc. | 32.63 | 21.47 | -52% | 68Good | $15.7B |
| RBA RB Global, Inc. | 87.82 | 88.64 | +1% | 74Good | $16.3B |
| BIPI BIP Bermuda Holdings I Limited | 16.02 | 1,493.04 | +99% | 39No options | $12.7B |
| RTO Rentokil Initial plc | 20.24 | 29.85 | +32% | 84Prime | $10.2B |
| CPRT Copart, Inc. | 27.75 | 25.53 | -9% | 72Good | $25.7B |
| UNF UniFirst Corporation | 258.08 | 110.82 | -133% | 54Fair | $4.7B |
| TRI Thomson Reuters Corporation | 105.40 | 87.62 | -20% | 64Fair | $45.7B |
| FA First Advantage Corporation | 20.08 | 17.04 | -18% | 60Fair | $3.4B |
| BFAM Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc. | 70.42 | 107.32 | +34% | 85Prime | $3.4B |
| RELX RELX Plc | 36.93 | 25.63 | -44% | 62Fair | $64.2B |
| MMS Maximus, Inc. | 60.24 | 137.06 | +56% | 86Prime | $3.2B |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about ARMK
Is ARMK undervalued right now?
No: at 55.04 the stock trades 76% above the GLS average fair value of 31.36 (data as of 16 Oct 2026), well beyond what trailing earnings, cash flow and book value support.
What is the Wheel Score of ARMK and what does it mean?
ARMK scores 59 out of 100 (Fair). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for ARMK?
31.36 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 9 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Aramark report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 16 Nov 2026 (before the open), 31 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does ARMK have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 248 listed contracts with 17,568 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 33% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.