Stock fact sheet · data as of
Arxis, Inc. Class A Common Stock (ARXS): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Industrials · Aerospace & Defense · United States · Speculative / Distressed
Is ARXS undervalued?
At 53.81 (close of 16 Oct 2026), ARXS trades 1045% over the GLS average fair value of 4.70, with 0 of 7 models above the price. The stock earns none of the Wheel Score's Value points at this price. That is a statement about price against trailing fundamentals, not about the company's prospects - the Wall Street View and the Growth tab on the Quote page carry the forward numbers.
The 7 models disagree widely: GLS Growth gives 0.7756 while 10 Cap gives 8.86. A spread that wide means the average is sensitive to which methods you trust; the model table below shows where each one lands, and the Quote page lets you switch any of them off.
The nightly engine files ARXS under Speculative / Distressed - negative earnings or a Piotroski score of 3 or less - which caps its Wheel Score at 45 and keeps it out of the Sunday Scan.
Nine valuation models for ARXS
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | - | - | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital; no value tonight |
| Graham Number | 5.49 | -90% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 6.89 | -87% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 3.01 | -94% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 0.7756 | -99% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 8.86 | -84% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 6.54 | -88% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | - | - | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend; no value tonight |
| EPV | 1.34 | -98% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -36.74 | -168% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 52.22 | -3% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Financial health is weak: ARXS passes 0 of the nine Piotroski tests. Our screens drop the stock at the health rule; a low score is often the reason a stock looks cheap on the valuation models. The GLS Moat score is low at 2.5 out of 10, which says the ten-year record of revenue, earnings, margins and returns on capital has been inconsistent - growth and shocks rather than steady compounding.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC -0.8%, ROE -1.2%, ROA -0.7% - with debt at 0.47 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 7.0%.
Arxis, Inc. Class A Common Stock pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain. Revenue comes mainly from Electronic Components 100% (quarter Q2 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 2/10, insider activity 5/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 0 / 9 | ROIC | -0.8% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 2.5 / 10 | ROE | -1.2% |
| Debt / equity | 0.47 | ROA | -0.7% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 7.0% | Payout ratio | 1% |
| Institutions | 2 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 5 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 25: Weak
ARXS scores 25 out of 100 on the Wheel Score, in the Weak band (under 50). Value 0/25, Health 0/20, Moat 4/15, Premium 12/20, Stability 9/20. The score is not a judgement on the company; it says the price, quality and premium do not line up for selling puts on it today.
Implied volatility is 92% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - above the 60% ceiling of the sweet spot. Premiums are large, but the Wheel Score tapers the Premium points (12 of 20) because volatility this high usually comes with a reason. Chain open interest is 4,003 contracts across all expiries - enough for the wheel at normal size.
Volume runs at 925k shares a day on a market cap of $2.2B, with a beta of 3.42 - a high beta, so the stock tends to move more than the market and a strike can be gapped through; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 9 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 0 / 25 | -1045% margin of safety | |
| Health | 0 / 20 | Piotroski 0/9 | |
| Moat | 4 / 15 | moat 2.5/10 | |
| Premium | 12 / 20 | implied volatility 92% | |
| Stability | 9 / 20 | 925k shares/day, $2.2B cap, beta 3.42 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for ARXS in the nightly calendar.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Aerospace & Defense
The 12 companies below are the closest to Arxis, Inc. Class A Common Stock by market cap within the Aerospace & Defense industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RDW Redwire Corp | 8.62 | - | - | 45Weak | $2.2B |
| ATROB Astronics Corporation | 61.54 | 44.36 | -39% | 26No options | $2.2B |
| ATRO Astronics Corporation | 61.57 | 44.37 | -39% | 51Fair | $2.2B |
| VVX V2X, Inc. | 68.12 | 118.43 | +42% | 82Prime | $2.1B |
| LUNR Intuitive Machines, Inc. | 11.57 | - | - | 45Weak | $2.3B |
| AADX Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. | 11.35 | - | - | 45Weak | $2.0B |
| DCO Ducommun Incorporated | 170.59 | 43.00 | -297% | 43Weak | $2.6B |
| FLY Firefly Aerospace Inc. | 17.83 | - | - | 45Weak | $3.0B |
| VOYG Voyager Technologies, Inc. | 25.82 | - | - | 43Weak | $1.6B |
| ACHR Archer Aviation Inc. | 4.27 | 1.40 | -204% | 35Weak | $3.3B |
| HAWK HawkEye 360, Inc. | 12.89 | - | - | 45Weak | $1.3B |
| AIR AAR Corp. | 97.98 | 136.04 | +28% | 83Prime | $3.9B |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about ARXS
Is ARXS undervalued right now?
No: at 53.81 the stock trades 1045% above the GLS average fair value of 4.70 (data as of 16 Oct 2026), well beyond what trailing earnings, cash flow and book value support.
What is the Wheel Score of ARXS and what does it mean?
ARXS scores 25 out of 100 (Weak). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for ARXS?
4.70 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 7 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Arxis, Inc. Class A Common Stock report earnings next?
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for ARXS in our calendar as of 16 Oct 2026; the Calendars page is refreshed every morning.
Does ARXS have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 130 listed contracts with 4,003 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 92% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.