Stock fact sheet · data as of
China Automotive Systems, Inc. (CAAS): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Consumer Cyclical · Auto - Parts · China · High Growth
Is CAAS undervalued?
At 4.45 (close of 16 Oct 2026), CAAS trades 94% below the GLS average fair value of 71.72. That average comes from 7 models run on the latest filings, and 7 of them land above the current price. Margins of safety over 30% are the exception rather than the rule across the ~7,400 stocks we value each night, so the number earns China Automotive Systems, Inc. the full Value points in the Wheel Score - and a closer look at what the market is pricing in.
The 7 models disagree widely: EPV gives 21.14 while GLS Growth gives 116.50. A spread that wide means the average is sensitive to which methods you trust; the model table below shows where each one lands, and the Quote page lets you switch any of them off.
The nightly engine files CAAS under High Growth: revenue and earnings growing fast enough that the growth-based models carry the valuation.
Nine valuation models for CAAS
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | - | - | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital; no value tonight |
| Graham Number | 25.10 | +465% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 108.85 | +2349% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 47.58 | +970% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 116.50 | +2521% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 73.79 | +1560% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 109.11 | +2355% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | - | - | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend; no value tonight |
| EPV | 21.14 | +376% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | 6.20 | +40% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 0.0000 | -100% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Financial health is average - CAAS passes 6 of the nine Piotroski tests, which passes the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. The Financials tab on the Quote page shows which tests fail. The GLS Moat score is 7.5 out of 10, built from ten years of revenue, earnings, margins, cash flow, share count and returns on capital scored for consistency - a high reading that points to a durable business.
Returns on capital are moderate - ROIC 7.0%, ROE 10.7%, ROA 4.3% - with debt at 0.52 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 62.0%.
China Automotive Systems, Inc. pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain. Revenue comes mainly from Other Operating 100% (quarter Q2 FY2025).
Institutional ownership scores 1/10, insider activity 5/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 6 / 9 | ROIC | 7.0% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 7.5 / 10 | ROE | 10.7% |
| Debt / equity | 0.52 | ROA | 4.3% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 62.0% | Payout ratio | 4% |
| Institutions | 1 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 5 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 67: Good
CAAS scores 67 out of 100 on the Wheel Score (Good band, 65-79). The score blends the margin of safety (Value, 25/25), Piotroski health (13/20), the GLS moat (11/15), the option premium on offer (12/20) and how easily the stock trades (6/20). Stability (6/20) is the part holding the score back.
Implied volatility is 94% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - above the 60% ceiling of the sweet spot. Premiums are large, but the Wheel Score tapers the Premium points (12 of 20) because volatility this high usually comes with a reason. Chain open interest is thin - 1,088 contracts across every expiry - so fills at a fair price are not guaranteed; a 30-45-day put may not exist at a usable strike.
Volume runs at 8k shares a day on a market cap of $134M, with a beta of 1.09; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 6 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 25 / 25 | 94% margin of safety | |
| Health | 13 / 20 | Piotroski 6/9 | |
| Moat | 11 / 15 | moat 7.5/10 | |
| Premium | 12 / 20 | implied volatility 94% | |
| Stability | 6 / 20 | 8k shares/day, $134M cap, beta 1.09 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 18 Nov 2026, 33 days away; a 30-45-day put sold today would expire after it, which is worth weighing against the premium.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Auto - Parts
The 12 companies below are the closest to China Automotive Systems, Inc. by market cap within the Auto - Parts industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CVGI Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc. | 2.81 | 3.98 | +29% | 45Weak | $114M |
| SRI Stoneridge, Inc. | 5.96 | 31.47 | +81% | 45Weak | $170M |
| MPAA Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. | 10.35 | 10.92 | +5% | 43Weak | $196M |
| INVZ Innoviz Technologies Ltd. | 0.2813 | - | - | 37Weak | $84M |
| STRT Strattec Security Corporation | 60.94 | 201.56 | +70% | 39No options | $255M |
| HLLY Holley Inc. | 2.61 | 3.31 | +21% | 63Fair | $314M |
| ECX ECARX Holdings, Inc. | 0.9356 | - | - | 36No options | $325M |
| SCTH SecureTech Innovations, Inc. | 19.00 | - | - | 27No options | $326M |
| SES SES AI Corporation | 0.9148 | 1.66 | +45% | 45Weak | $335M |
| CPS Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. | 21.48 | 210.70 | +90% | 45Weak | $382M |
| SYPR Sypris Solutions, Inc. | 1.80 | 0.6343 | -184% | 16Weak | $41M |
| MNRO Monro Inc. | 14.36 | 15.55 | +8% | 57Fair | $449M |
⚖ Compare CAAS with 7 of them All Consumer Cyclical stocks →
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about CAAS
Is CAAS undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, yes: at 4.45 the stock is 94% below the average fair value of 71.72 (data as of 16 Oct 2026). Whether the discount is deserved is the question to research next.
What is the Wheel Score of CAAS and what does it mean?
CAAS scores 67 out of 100 (Good). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for CAAS?
71.72 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 7 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does China Automotive Systems, Inc. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 18 Nov 2026, 33 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does CAAS have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 38 listed contracts with 1,088 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 94% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.