Stock fact sheet · data as of
Calumet Inc. (CLMT): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Ticker symbol CLMT · Basic Materials · Chemicals - Specialty · United States · Speculative
Is CLMT undervalued?
Calumet Inc. (CLMT) closed at 43.60 on 5 Nov 2026, 289% above the GLS average fair value of 11.21. 2 of the 2 models that produced a number value the shares below the current price. A gap this wide usually means the market is paying for growth or a story the trailing numbers do not show yet; the models work from filed results, not forecasts, so they are conservative by design.
Only 2 of the nine models produced a value (DCF, 10 Cap); the others need a dividend, positive free cash flow or positive book value the company does not have yet, so the average rests on a narrow base.
The nightly engine files CLMT under Speculative - it is losing money or its Piotroski health score is 3 or lower - which caps its Wheel Score at 45 and keeps it out of the Sunday Scan.
Nine valuation models for CLMT
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 13.98 | -68% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | - | - | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share; no value tonight |
| Graham Growth | - | - | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields; no value tonight |
| Lynch | - | - | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25%; no value tonight |
| GLS Growth | - | - | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year; no value tonight |
| 10 Cap | 8.44 | -81% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | - | - | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself; no value tonight |
| DDM | - | - | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend; no value tonight |
| EPV | - | - | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth; no value tonight |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -26.37 | -160% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 59.67 | +37% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Financial health is average - CLMT passes 5 of the nine Piotroski tests, which falls one point short of the "Piotroski 6 or more" Wheel Trade Filter. The Financials tab on the Quote page shows which tests fail. The GLS Moat score is low at 2.9 out of 10: returns on capital, margins or the balance sheet have not shown a lasting edge yet - often a young company, a thin-margin business or one that has only recently turned profitable.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC -2.0%, ROE 4.6%, ROA -1.3% - with debt at -3.36 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 3.9%.
Calumet Inc. pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain. Revenue comes mainly from Specialty Products and Solutions 69%, Montana/Renewables 23%, Performance Brands 9% (quarter Q1 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 7/10, insider activity 5/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales; the last recorded insider buy was on 19 Oct 2026.
| Piotroski F-score | 5 / 9 | ROIC | -2.0% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 2.9 / 10 | ROE | 4.6% |
| Debt / equity | -3.36 | ROA | -1.3% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 3.9% | Payout ratio | 0% |
| Institutions | 7 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 5 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 29: Weak
CLMT scores 29 out of 100 on the Wheel Score, in the Weak band (under 50): it fails filter 2, a real business, not a gamble - speculative (a loss, or a weak Piotroski score); and filter 3, below fair value - trades 289% above our fair value; and filter 4, financially healthy - Piotroski 5/9 (under 6); and filter 5, can repay its debt - 19.1 years to repay its debt (over 3); and filter 6, no serious red flags - Red Flags score 55 (under 60), and the parts are thin too - value weak, premium good, moat weak, health fair, red flags weak, option trading strong, stability fair. The score is not a judgement on the company; it says the price, quality and premium do not line up for selling puts on it today.
Implied volatility is 75% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - above the 60% top of the sweet spot. It still passes the 25-80% filter, but the Wheel Score rewards it less because volatility this high usually comes with a reason. The option chain is deep: 58,912 contracts of open interest across all expiries, which means tight fills at most strikes.
Volume runs at 2.3M shares a day on a market cap of $3.8B, with a beta of 0.78 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score rates that fair.
| Filter | Wheel Trade Filter | Result | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Options that actually trade | Passes | Listed options with 1,000+ contracts of open interest and 100+ traded a day |
| 2 | A real business, not a gamble | Fails | speculative (a loss, or a weak Piotroski score) |
| 3 | Below fair value | Fails | trades 289% above our fair value |
| 4 | Financially healthy | Fails | Piotroski 5/9 (under 6) |
| 5 | Can repay its debt | Fails | 19.1 years to repay its debt (over 3) |
| 6 | No serious red flags | Fails | Red Flags score 55 (under 60) |
| 7 | A premium worth selling | Passes | Implied volatility 25-80% (enough premium, not a lottery ticket) |
| 8 | Big enough | Passes | Market cap $1 billion or more |
| 9 | Not a penny stock | Passes | Share price $5 or more |
| How it ranks | Rating | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | Weak | 289% above fair value | |
| Premium | Good | implied volatility 75% | |
| Moat | Weak | moat 2.9/10 | |
| Health | Fair | Piotroski 5/9 | |
| Red Flags | Weak | Red Flags score 55/100 | |
| Option trading | Strong | 18,860 contracts a day, 58,912 open interest | |
| Stability | Fair | beta 0.78, $3.8B company |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls: a stock must pass all 9 Wheel Trade Filters to score 70, and the score then ranks the ones that pass; the Sunday Scan is the top 10. It is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. How the Wheel Score works · the walkthrough lesson shows how it fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
Calumet Inc. reports earnings on 6 Nov 2026 (before the open) - inside the 14-day window the Sunday Scan avoids, because a put sold now would carry the report's gap risk.
No analyst upgrades or downgrades were recorded in the last 30 days.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
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| FUL H.B. Fuller Company | 52.57 | 57.21 | +8% | 39Weak | $2.8B |
| SXT Sensient Technologies Corporation | 125.82 | 89.74 | -40% | 37Weak | $5.4B |
| KWR Quaker Houghton | 157.30 | 121.69 | -29% | 31Weak | $2.7B |
| NGVT Ingevity Corporation | 73.73 | 36.84 | -100% | 34Weak | $2.5B |
| BCPC Balchem Corp | 182.58 | 85.49 | -114% | 30Weak | $5.8B |
| NEU NewMarket Corporation | 725.11 | 1,258.36 | +42% | 83Good | $6.7B |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about CLMT
Is CLMT undervalued right now?
No: at 43.60 the stock trades 289% above the GLS average fair value of 11.21 (data as of 5 Nov 2026), well beyond what trailing earnings, cash flow and book value support.
What is the Wheel Score of CLMT and what does it mean?
CLMT scores 29 out of 100 (Weak) - it fails Wheel Trade Filters 2, 3, 4, 5, 6. The Wheel Score ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned - in two parts: the 9 pass/fail Wheel Trade Filters (busy options, a real business, below fair value, Piotroski 6 or more, debt it can repay, a Red Flags score of 60 or more, implied volatility of 25-80%, a $1 billion company, $5 a share) and a ranking of how strongly a stock passes on value, premium, moat, health, red flags, option trading and stability. A stock that fails any filter stays under 70; 70-84 is Good, 85 and above is Prime. The Sunday Scan is the top 10 that pass, sorted by Wheel Score.
What is the GLS fair value for CLMT?
11.21 per share as of 5 Nov 2026 - the simple average of the 2 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Calumet Inc. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 6 Nov 2026 (before the open), 1 days from the data date of 5 Nov 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does CLMT have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 80 listed contracts with 58,912 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 75% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.