Stock fact sheet · data as of
Core Natural Resources, Inc. (CNR): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Energy · Coal · United States · Blend
Is CNR undervalued?
At 89.00 (close of 16 Oct 2026), CNR trades 52% below the GLS average fair value of 185.62. That average comes from 9 models run on the latest filings, and 4 of them land above the current price. Margins of safety over 30% are the exception rather than the rule across the ~7,400 stocks we value each night, so the number earns Core Natural Resources, Inc. the full Value points in the Wheel Score - and a closer look at what the market is pricing in.
There is a wide gap between DDM (5.89) and DCF (1,172.84). When the models are this far apart the "fair value" is really a range, and the margin of safety above should be read with that range in mind.
The nightly engine files CNR under Blend.
Nine valuation models for CNR
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 1,172.84 | +1218% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 57.40 | -36% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 113.58 | +28% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 49.64 | -44% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 21.84 | -75% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 106.85 | +20% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 120.51 | +35% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | 5.89 | -93% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 22.06 | -75% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -22.39 | -125% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 105.00 | +18% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Core Natural Resources, Inc. scores 7 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score, the nine yes/no tests of profitability, leverage and efficiency on the latest annual accounts - a strong reading that passes the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule with room to spare. A GLS Moat score of 2.4/10 is a weak reading: the ten-year history the score grades (revenue, EPS, book value, margins, cash flow, share count, ROIC) has not been steady, so the Moat part of the Wheel Score contributes little.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC -3.7%, ROE -4.2%, ROA -2.5% - with debt at 0.12 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 5.9%.
The dividend yield is 0.45% with a payout ratio of 20% - a small yield that leaves most of the earnings in the business. Revenue comes mainly from Surface 100% (quarter Q2 FY2025).
Institutional ownership scores 10/10, insider activity 1/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 7 / 9 | ROIC | -3.7% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 2.4 / 10 | ROE | -4.2% |
| Debt / equity | 0.12 | ROA | -2.5% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 5.9% | Payout ratio | 20% |
| Institutions | 10 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 1 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 78: Good
With a Wheel Score of 78 - the Good band - Core Natural Resources, Inc. clears the Sunday Scan's "70 or higher" rule. The parts: Value 25/25, Health 16/20, Moat 4/15, Premium 20/20, Stability 14/20; Moat (4/15) scores lowest.
Implied volatility is 46% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - inside the 35-60% range the Wheel Score pays full marks for: enough premium to be worth selling, not so much that the risk is unpaid. Chain open interest is 33,890 contracts across all expiries - enough for the wheel at normal size.
Volume runs at 362k shares a day on a market cap of $4.4B, with a beta of 0.14 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 14 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 25 / 25 | 52% margin of safety | |
| Health | 16 / 20 | Piotroski 7/9 | |
| Moat | 4 / 15 | moat 2.4/10 | |
| Premium | 20 / 20 | implied volatility 46% | |
| Stability | 14 / 20 | 362k shares/day, $4.4B cap, beta 0.14 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 5 Nov 2026 (before the open), 20 days away; a 30-45-day put sold today would expire after it, which is worth weighing against the premium.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Coal
The 12 companies below are the closest to Core Natural Resources, Inc. by market cap within the Coal industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HCC Warrior Met Coal, Inc. | 89.46 | 62.46 | -43% | 51Fair | $4.7B |
| ARLP Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. | 25.19 | 39.96 | +37% | 74Good | $3.2B |
| BTU Peabody Energy Corporation | 24.02 | 63.42 | +62% | 45Weak | $2.9B |
| AMR Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. | 169.71 | 217.44 | +22% | 45Weak | $2.2B |
| NRP Natural Resource Partners L.P. | 111.62 | 131.71 | +15% | 64Fair | $1.5B |
| METC Ramaco Resources, Inc. | 8.34 | 1.06 | -685% | 35Weak | $480M |
| METCZ Ramaco Resources, Inc. | 24.78 | 1.06 | -2234% | 19No options | $478M |
| METCB Ramaco Resources, Inc. | 4.15 | 1.06 | -291% | 19No options | $354M |
| NC NACCO Industries, Inc. | 33.62 | 25.56 | -32% | 19No options | $254M |
| CODQL Coronado Global Resources Inc. | 0.1200 | 0.2752 | +56% | 38No options | $201M |
| PDER Pardee Resources Company | 299.00 | 193.81 | -54% | 21No options | $195M |
| AREC American Resources Corporation | 1.20 | 16.92 | +93% | 57Fair | $128M |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about CNR
Is CNR undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, yes: at 89.00 the stock is 52% below the average fair value of 185.62 (data as of 16 Oct 2026). Whether the discount is deserved is the question to research next.
What is the Wheel Score of CNR and what does it mean?
CNR scores 78 out of 100 (Good). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for CNR?
185.62 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 9 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Core Natural Resources, Inc. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 5 Nov 2026 (before the open), 20 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does CNR have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 208 listed contracts with 33,890 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 46% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.