Stock fact sheet · data as of
China Yuchai International Limited (CYD): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Consumer Cyclical · Auto - Parts · Singapore · High Growth
Is CYD undervalued?
At 26.35 (close of 16 Oct 2026), CYD trades 90% below the GLS average fair value of 253.26. That average comes from 9 models run on the latest filings, and 8 of them land above the current price. Margins of safety over 30% are the exception rather than the rule across the ~7,400 stocks we value each night, so the number earns China Yuchai International Limited the full Value points in the Wheel Score - and a closer look at what the market is pricing in.
The 9 models disagree widely: DCF gives 18.65 while 10 Cap gives 1,228.08. A spread that wide means the average is sensitive to which methods you trust; the model table below shows where each one lands, and the Quote page lets you switch any of them off.
The nightly engine files CYD under High Growth: revenue and earnings growing fast enough that the growth-based models carry the valuation.
Nine valuation models for CYD
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 18.65 | -29% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 342.64 | +1200% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 81.36 | +209% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 29.36 | +11% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 176.40 | +569% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 1,228.08 | +4561% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 285.25 | +983% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | 85.59 | +225% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 32.02 | +22% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | 162.38 | +516% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 60.00 | +128% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
On financial health CYD scores 8/9 (Piotroski): most of the nine tests - positive earnings and cash flow, falling debt, rising margins and turnover - are passed, which is the kind of balance sheet a wheel trader is happy to be assigned. The GLS Moat score is 5.7 out of 10: a ten-year record that is consistent in some of the metrics the score tracks (revenue, earnings, margins, cash flow, returns on capital) and patchy in others.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC 4.5%, ROE 5.5%, ROA 1.6% - with debt at 0.22 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 31.3%.
The dividend yield is 3.30% at a payout ratio of 20%; for a wheel trader holding assigned shares the dividend adds to the covered-call premium, and the ex-dividend date is worth knowing before a call is sold.
Institutional ownership scores 3/10, insider activity 4/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 8 / 9 | ROIC | 4.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 5.7 / 10 | ROE | 5.5% |
| Debt / equity | 0.22 | ROA | 1.6% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 31.3% | Payout ratio | 20% |
| Institutions | 3 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 4 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 78: Good
CYD scores 78 out of 100 on the Wheel Score (Good band, 65-79). The score blends the margin of safety (Value, 25/25), Piotroski health (18/20), the GLS moat (9/15), the option premium on offer (16/20) and how easily the stock trades (11/20). Stability (11/20) is the part holding the score back.
Implied volatility is 77% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - above the 60% ceiling of the sweet spot. Premiums are large, but the Wheel Score tapers the Premium points (16 of 20) because volatility this high usually comes with a reason. Chain open interest is thin - 872 contracts across every expiry - so fills at a fair price are not guaranteed; a 30-45-day put may not exist at a usable strike.
Volume runs at 350k shares a day on a market cap of $989M, with a beta of 1.44 - a high beta, so the stock tends to move more than the market and a strike can be gapped through; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 11 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 25 / 25 | 90% margin of safety | |
| Health | 18 / 20 | Piotroski 8/9 | |
| Moat | 9 / 15 | moat 5.7/10 | |
| Premium | 16 / 20 | implied volatility 77% | |
| Stability | 11 / 20 | 350k shares/day, $989M cap, beta 1.44 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for CYD in the nightly calendar.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Auto - Parts
The 12 companies below are the closest to China Yuchai International Limited by market cap within the Auto - Parts industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| THRM Gentherm Incorporated | 30.61 | 34.55 | +11% | 71Good | $940M |
| SMP Standard Motor Products, Inc. | 36.25 | 50.38 | +28% | 72Good | $810M |
| DCH Dauch Corp. | 5.10 | 45.56 | +89% | 45Weak | $1.2B |
| XPEL XPEL, Inc. | 44.01 | 54.80 | +20% | 75Good | $1.2B |
| FOXF Fox Factory Holding Corp. | 18.50 | 23.21 | +20% | 45Weak | $776M |
| GT The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company | 4.42 | 85.20 | +95% | 45Weak | $1.3B |
| ADNT Adient plc | 18.18 | 43.42 | +58% | 77Good | $1.4B |
| HYLN Hyliion Holdings Corp. | 3.28 | - | - | 38Weak | $586M |
| MLR Miller Industries, Inc. | 51.27 | 68.16 | +25% | 69Good | $582M |
| HSAI Hesai Group | 13.36 | 27.57 | +52% | 77Good | $1.7B |
| PHIN PHINIA Inc. | 55.84 | 77.57 | +28% | 83Prime | $2.0B |
| SLDP Solid Power, Inc. | 2.08 | - | - | 43Weak | $475M |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about CYD
Is CYD undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, yes: at 26.35 the stock is 90% below the average fair value of 253.26 (data as of 16 Oct 2026). Whether the discount is deserved is the question to research next.
What is the Wheel Score of CYD and what does it mean?
CYD scores 78 out of 100 (Good). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for CYD?
253.26 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 9 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does China Yuchai International Limited report earnings next?
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for CYD in our calendar as of 16 Oct 2026; the Calendars page is refreshed every morning.
Does CYD have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 300 listed contracts with 872 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 77% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.