Stock fact sheet · data as of
Elevra Lithium Limited (ELVR): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Basic Materials · Other Precious Metals · Australia · ADR · Speculative / Distressed
Is ELVR undervalued?
ELVR has a margin of safety of 47%: the stock closed at 28.09 on 16 Oct 2026 against a GLS average fair value of 52.55. 3 of the 6 valuation models that produced a number sit above the price. Our screens treat a discount this large as a strong starting point for a cash-secured put, not as a verdict - the fair value is a model output, and a wide gap can mean the models are missing something the market knows.
There is a wide gap between Graham Number (6.64) and Graham Growth (143.48). When the models are this far apart the "fair value" is really a range, and the margin of safety above should be read with that range in mind.
The nightly engine files ELVR under Speculative / Distressed - negative earnings or a Piotroski score of 3 or less - which caps its Wheel Score at 45 and keeps it out of the Sunday Scan.
Nine valuation models for ELVR
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 49.60 | +77% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 6.64 | -76% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 143.48 | +411% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 62.71 | +123% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 24.98 | -11% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | - | - | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10%; no value tonight |
| Payback Time | - | - | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself; no value tonight |
| DDM | - | - | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend; no value tonight |
| EPV | 27.87 | -1% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | 12.77 | -55% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 0.0000 | -100% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Elevra Lithium Limited scores only 0 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score, which fails the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. A reading this low means several of the basic tests - positive earnings, positive operating cash flow, falling debt, no new share issuance - are not met. A GLS Moat score of 0.7/10 is a weak reading: the ten-year history the score grades (revenue, EPS, book value, margins, cash flow, share count, ROIC) has not been steady, so the Moat part of the Wheel Score contributes little.
Returns on capital are moderate - ROIC 5.4%, ROE 5.9%, ROA 4.6% - with debt at 0.11 times equity and negative free cash flow.
Elevra Lithium Limited pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain.
Institutional ownership scores 1/10, insider activity 1/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 0 / 9 | ROIC | 5.4% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 0.7 / 10 | ROE | 5.9% |
| Debt / equity | 0.11 | ROA | 4.6% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -12.4% | Payout ratio | 0% |
| Institutions | 1 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 1 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 33: No options
No options are listed on Elevra Lithium Limited in our nightly snapshot. The Wheel Score is therefore capped at 39 (it reads 33) and the stock is left out of every options screen; the fair value and health figures above are still useful for a plain stock position.
Volume runs at 61k shares a day on a market cap of $542M, with a beta of 0.94; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 7 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 25 / 25 | 47% margin of safety | |
| Health | 0 / 20 | Piotroski 0/9 | |
| Moat | 1 / 15 | moat 0.7/10 | |
| Premium | 0 / 20 | no option data | |
| Stability | 7 / 20 | 61k shares/day, $542M cap, beta 0.94 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for ELVR in the nightly calendar.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Other Precious Metals
The 12 companies below are the closest to Elevra Lithium Limited by market cap within the Other Precious Metals industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ITRG Integra Resources Corp. | 2.41 | 4.36 | +45% | 39No options | $489M |
| IPX IperionX Limited | 14.41 | 8.86 | -63% | 33Weak | $484M |
| ALOY REalloys Inc. | 6.68 | - | - | 45Weak | $464M |
| SCZM Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd. | 7.96 | 14.63 | +46% | 39No options | $740M |
| MTA Metalla Royalty & Streaming Ltd. | 8.10 | 0.8525 | -850% | 43Weak | $757M |
| BMM Blue Moon Metals Inc. | 4.37 | 1.11 | -293% | 17No options | $337M |
| ASM Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. | 5.19 | 5.18 | -0% | 64Fair | $882M |
| VOXR Vox Royalty Corp. | 4.73 | 16.73 | +72% | 74Good | $329M |
| MUX McEwen Mining Inc. | 16.21 | 38.28 | +58% | 71Good | $968M |
| LZM Lifezone Metals Limited | 3.32 | - | - | 39Weak | $299M |
| SLSR Solaris Resources Inc | 6.44 | 1.17 | -449% | 29Weak | $1.1B |
| TMC TMC the metals company inc. | 2.63 | 0.2079 | -1165% | 31Weak | $1.2B |
Screen the whole market the same way
A free GLS Equity account gets you nightly fair value and the Wheel Score on ~7,400 US stocks, a watchlist, the scanner preview and the Sunday Scan - the same eight-rule screen, emailed every week. Pro adds the full put and call scanners, unlimited watchlists with alerts and the trade journal.
Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about ELVR
Is ELVR undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, yes: at 28.09 the stock is 47% below the average fair value of 52.55 (data as of 16 Oct 2026). Whether the discount is deserved is the question to research next.
What is the Wheel Score of ELVR and what does it mean?
ELVR has no listed options in our nightly snapshot, so it cannot be wheeled; its Wheel Score is capped at 39 and shown as "No options".
What is the GLS fair value for ELVR?
52.55 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 6 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Elevra Lithium Limited report earnings next?
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for ELVR in our calendar as of 16 Oct 2026; the Calendars page is refreshed every morning.
Does ELVR have listed options, and how liquid are they?
No. The nightly options snapshot found no listed contracts on ELVR, so the wheel strategy cannot be run on it and the Wheel Score is capped at 39.