Stock fact sheet · data as of
TMC the metals company inc. (TMC): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Basic Materials · Other Precious Metals · Canada · Speculative / Distressed
Is TMC undervalued?
TMC the metals company inc. (TMC) closed at 2.63 on 16 Oct 2026, 1165% above the GLS average fair value of 0.2079. 1 of the 1 models that produced a number value the shares below the current price. A gap this wide usually means the market is paying for growth or a story the trailing numbers do not show yet; the models work from filed results, not forecasts, so they are conservative by design.
Only 1 of the nine models produced a value (DCF); the others need a dividend, positive free cash flow or positive book value the company does not have yet, so the average rests on a narrow base.
The nightly engine files TMC under Speculative / Distressed - negative earnings or a Piotroski score of 3 or less - which caps its Wheel Score at 45 and keeps it out of the Sunday Scan.
Nine valuation models for TMC
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 0.2079 | -92% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | - | - | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share; no value tonight |
| Graham Growth | - | - | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields; no value tonight |
| Lynch | - | - | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25%; no value tonight |
| GLS Growth | - | - | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year; no value tonight |
| 10 Cap | - | - | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10%; no value tonight |
| Payback Time | - | - | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself; no value tonight |
| DDM | - | - | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend; no value tonight |
| EPV | - | - | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth; no value tonight |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -0.2209 | -108% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 10.00 | +280% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Financial health is weak: TMC passes 1 of the nine Piotroski tests. Our screens drop the stock at the health rule; a low score is often the reason a stock looks cheap on the valuation models. The GLS Moat score is low at 1.4 out of 10, which says the ten-year record of revenue, earnings, margins and returns on capital has been inconsistent - growth and shocks rather than steady compounding.
Returns on capital are high - ROIC 956.4%, ROE 956.4%, ROA -176.1% - with debt at 0.00 times equity and negative free cash flow.
TMC the metals company inc. pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain.
Institutional ownership scores 2/10, insider activity 10/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales; the last recorded insider buy was on 11 Sep 2026.
| Piotroski F-score | 1 / 9 | ROIC | 956.4% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 1.4 / 10 | ROE | 956.4% |
| Debt / equity | 0.00 | ROA | -176.1% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -3.8% | Payout ratio | 0% |
| Institutions | 2 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 10 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 31: Weak
TMC scores 31 out of 100 on the Wheel Score, in the Weak band (under 50). Value 0/25, Health 2/20, Moat 2/15, Premium 13/20, Stability 14/20. The score is not a judgement on the company; it says the price, quality and premium do not line up for selling puts on it today.
Implied volatility is 88% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - above the 60% ceiling of the sweet spot. Premiums are large, but the Wheel Score tapers the Premium points (13 of 20) because volatility this high usually comes with a reason. The option chain is deep: 453,696 contracts of open interest across all expiries, which means tight fills at most strikes.
Volume runs at 6.7M shares a day on a market cap of $1.2B, with a beta of 1.91 - a high beta, so the stock tends to move more than the market and a strike can be gapped through; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 14 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 0 / 25 | -1165% margin of safety | |
| Health | 2 / 20 | Piotroski 1/9 | |
| Moat | 2 / 15 | moat 1.4/10 | |
| Premium | 13 / 20 | implied volatility 88% | |
| Stability | 14 / 20 | 6.7M shares/day, $1.2B cap, beta 1.91 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 12 Nov 2026 (after the close), 27 days away; a 30-45-day put sold today would expire after it, which is worth weighing against the premium.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Other Precious Metals
The 12 companies below are the closest to TMC the metals company inc. by market cap within the Other Precious Metals industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SLSR Solaris Resources Inc | 6.44 | 1.17 | -449% | 29Weak | $1.1B |
| MUX McEwen Mining Inc. | 16.21 | 38.28 | +58% | 71Good | $968M |
| ASM Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. | 5.19 | 5.18 | -0% | 64Fair | $882M |
| SSMR Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Company | 12.34 | 0.1875 | -6480% | 24Weak | $1.8B |
| MTA Metalla Royalty & Streaming Ltd. | 8.10 | 0.8525 | -850% | 43Weak | $757M |
| SCZM Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd. | 7.96 | 14.63 | +46% | 39No options | $740M |
| SIND Sinda Ltd. | 13.24 | 0.0540 | -24440% | 9No options | $2.1B |
| PPTA Perpetua Resources Corp. | 17.38 | 8.31 | -109% | 41Weak | $2.2B |
| ELVR Elevra Lithium Limited | 28.09 | 52.55 | +47% | 33No options | $542M |
| ITRG Integra Resources Corp. | 2.41 | 4.36 | +45% | 39No options | $489M |
| IPX IperionX Limited | 14.41 | 8.86 | -63% | 33Weak | $484M |
| ALOY REalloys Inc. | 6.68 | - | - | 45Weak | $464M |
Screen the whole market the same way
A free GLS Equity account gets you nightly fair value and the Wheel Score on ~7,400 US stocks, a watchlist, the scanner preview and the Sunday Scan - the same eight-rule screen, emailed every week. Pro adds the full put and call scanners, unlimited watchlists with alerts and the trade journal.
Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about TMC
Is TMC undervalued right now?
No: at 2.63 the stock trades 1165% above the GLS average fair value of 0.2079 (data as of 16 Oct 2026), well beyond what trailing earnings, cash flow and book value support.
What is the Wheel Score of TMC and what does it mean?
TMC scores 31 out of 100 (Weak). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for TMC?
0.2079 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 1 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does TMC the metals company inc. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 12 Nov 2026 (after the close), 27 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does TMC have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 338 listed contracts with 453,696 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 88% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.