Stock fact sheet · data as of
First Mid Bancshares, Inc. (FMBH): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Ticker symbol FMBH · Financial Services · Banks - Regional · United States · Blend
Is FMBH undervalued?
FMBH closed at 51.94 on 5 Nov 2026, 29% below the GLS average fair value of 73.05 from 9 models (6 of them above the price). That is a moderate margin of safety: the stock passes the "below fair value" Wheel Trade Filter, with room for a bigger discount on the Value part.
There is a wide gap between DDM (14.86) and Graham Growth (136.75). When the models are this far apart the "fair value" is really a range, and the margin of safety above should be read with that range in mind.
Ranked against every other company we cover, neither cheapness nor growth clearly wins for FMBH, so the nightly engine files it under Blend (value score 61, growth score 43, out of 100).
Nine valuation models for FMBH
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 39.12 | -25% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 62.59 | +21% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 136.75 | +163% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 52.09 | +0% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 64.90 | +25% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 117.56 | +126% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 122.94 | +137% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | 14.86 | -71% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 46.66 | -10% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -221.15 | -526% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 59.00 | +14% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
First Mid Bancshares, Inc. scores 7 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score, the nine yes/no tests of profitability, leverage and efficiency on the latest annual accounts - a strong reading that passes the "Piotroski 6 or more" Wheel Trade Filter with room to spare. On durability FMBH scores 6.3/10 on the GLS Moat - a middle reading; the Moat Score tab on the Quote page's Financials view shows which of the four parts hold it back.
Returns on capital are moderate - ROIC 6.0%, ROE 9.6%, ROA 1.2% - with debt at 0.59 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 8.9%.
The dividend yield is 1.94% at a payout ratio of 22%; for a wheel trader holding assigned shares the dividend adds to the covered-call premium, and the ex-dividend date is worth knowing before a call is sold.
Institutional ownership scores 8/10, insider activity 1/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 7 / 9 | ROIC | 6.0% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 6.3 / 10 | ROE | 9.6% |
| Debt / equity | 0.59 | ROA | 1.2% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 8.9% | Payout ratio | 22% |
| Institutions | 8 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 1 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 47: Weak
With a Wheel Score of 47 First Mid Bancshares, Inc. sits in the Weak band. It fails filter 1, options that actually trade - options too quiet (521 open interest, 44 a day); Option trading (weak) is its weakest part.
Implied volatility is 34% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out: enough to pass the 25-80% Wheel Trade Filter, but under the 35-60% sweet spot the score rewards most. Chain open interest is thin - 521 contracts across every expiry - so fills at a fair price are not guaranteed; a 30-45-day put may not exist at a usable strike.
Volume runs at 180k shares a day on a market cap of $1.4B, with a beta of 0.79 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score rates that fair.
| Filter | Wheel Trade Filter | Result | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Options that actually trade | Fails | options too quiet (521 open interest, 44 a day) |
| 2 | A real business, not a gamble | Passes | Profitable over the last twelve months - not a speculative stock, fund or note |
| 3 | Below fair value | Passes | Trading below the nine-model average fair value (margin of safety above 0) |
| 4 | Financially healthy | Passes | Piotroski F-score 6 or more out of 9 (a company with no score on file passes) |
| 5 | Can repay its debt | Passes | Long-term debt repaid from 3 years of operating cash flow or less (6 for real estate and utilities; banks and insurers are not judged on it) |
| 6 | No serious red flags | Passes | Red Flags score 60 or more out of 100 (earnings, margins, debt, analysts, filings and price checked the same way for every stock) |
| 7 | A premium worth selling | Passes | Implied volatility 25-80% (enough premium, not a lottery ticket) |
| 8 | Big enough | Passes | Market cap $1 billion or more |
| 9 | Not a penny stock | Passes | Share price $5 or more |
| How it ranks | Rating | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | Strong | 29% below fair value | |
| Premium | Strong | implied volatility 34% | |
| Moat | Good | moat 6.3/10 | |
| Health | Good | Piotroski 7/9 | |
| Red Flags | Weak | Red Flags score 65/100 | |
| Option trading | Weak | 44 contracts a day, 521 open interest | |
| Stability | Fair | beta 0.79, $1.4B company |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls: a stock must pass all 9 Wheel Trade Filters to score 70, and the score then ranks the ones that pass; the Sunday Scan is the top 10. It is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. How the Wheel Score works · the walkthrough lesson shows how it fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 28 Jan 2027, 84 days away - outside the window of a 30-45-day put sold today. The shares go ex-dividend on 16 Nov 2026 (0.2600 per share), so a covered call sold before then carries a small early-assignment risk around that date.
No analyst upgrades or downgrades were recorded in the last 30 days.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Banks - Regional
The 12 companies below are the closest to First Mid Bancshares, Inc. by market cap within the Banks - Regional industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HBT HBT Financial, Inc. | 37.81 | 40.86 | +7% | 35Weak | $1.4B |
| WABC Westamerica Bancorporation | 61.28 | 63.28 | +3% | 36Weak | $1.4B |
| PEBO Peoples Bancorp Inc. | 39.84 | 56.28 | +29% | 51Fair | $1.4B |
| BHRB Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. | 71.90 | 85.16 | +16% | 25No options | $1.5B |
| TMP Tompkins Financial Corporation | 102.60 | 137.17 | +25% | 46Weak | $1.5B |
| BLX Bladex, Inc. | 51.27 | 161.65 | +68% | 47Weak | $1.5B |
| CTBI Community Trust Bancorp, Inc. | 70.71 | 104.51 | +32% | 48Weak | $1.3B |
| OSBC Old Second Bancorp, Inc. | 25.19 | 36.94 | +32% | 50Fair | $1.3B |
| PFBC Preferred Bank | 106.87 | 202.95 | +47% | 42Weak | $1.3B |
| AMAL Amalgamated Financial Corp. | 50.82 | 77.15 | +34% | 48Weak | $1.5B |
| ESQ Esquire Financial Holdings, Inc. | 127.36 | 131.61 | +3% | 21No options | $1.5B |
| TFIN Triumph Financial, Inc. | 64.90 | 52.95 | -23% | 34Weak | $1.6B |
⚖ Compare FMBH with 7 of them All Financial Services stocks →
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about FMBH
Is FMBH undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, moderately: at 51.94 the stock trades 29% below the average fair value of 73.05 (data as of 5 Nov 2026).
What is the Wheel Score of FMBH and what does it mean?
FMBH scores 47 out of 100 (Weak) - it fails Wheel Trade Filter 1. The Wheel Score ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned - in two parts: the 9 pass/fail Wheel Trade Filters (busy options, a real business, below fair value, Piotroski 6 or more, debt it can repay, a Red Flags score of 60 or more, implied volatility of 25-80%, a $1 billion company, $5 a share) and a ranking of how strongly a stock passes on value, premium, moat, health, red flags, option trading and stability. A stock that fails any filter stays under 70; 70-84 is Good, 85 and above is Prime. The Sunday Scan is the top 10 that pass, sorted by Wheel Score.
What is the GLS fair value for FMBH?
73.05 per share as of 5 Nov 2026 - the simple average of the 9 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does First Mid Bancshares, Inc. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 28 Jan 2027, 84 days from the data date of 5 Nov 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does FMBH have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 44 listed contracts with 521 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 34% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.