Great Elm Capital Corp. 7.75% Notes Due 2030 (GECCG): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score

Is GECCG undervalued?

GECCG has a margin of safety of 56%: the stock closed at 24.54 on 16 Oct 2026 against a GLS average fair value of 55.78. 1 of the 2 valuation models that produced a number sit above the price. Our screens treat a discount this large as a strong starting point for a cash-secured put, not as a verdict - the fair value is a model output, and a wide gap can mean the models are missing something the market knows.

The average is built from just 2 models (10 Cap, DDM) - the rest returned nothing because an input they need (dividends, free cash flow, book value) is zero or negative - so treat it with more caution than usual.

The nightly engine files GECCG under Speculative / Distressed - negative earnings or a Piotroski score of 3 or less - which caps its Wheel Score at 45 and keeps it out of the Sunday Scan.

Nine valuation models for GECCG

Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.

Quality and financial health

Great Elm Capital Corp. 7.75% Notes Due 2030 scores only 0 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score, which fails the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. A reading this low means several of the basic tests - positive earnings, positive operating cash flow, falling debt, no new share issuance - are not met. A GLS Moat score of 1.7/10 is a weak reading: the ten-year history the score grades (revenue, EPS, book value, margins, cash flow, share count, ROIC) has not been steady, so the Moat part of the Wheel Score contributes little.

Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC -10.5%, ROE -28.1%, ROA -9.3% - with debt at 1.68 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 77.3%.

The dividend yield is high at 23.31% (payout ratio -46%). A yield this size is often the market's way of pricing a risk to the payout, so the health score and cash flow matter more than usual.

Institutional ownership scores 5/10, insider activity 10/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.

Wheel Score 34: No options

No options are listed on Great Elm Capital Corp. 7.75% Notes Due 2030 in our nightly snapshot. The Wheel Score is therefore capped at 39 (it reads 34) and the stock is left out of every options screen; the fair value and health figures above are still useful for a plain stock position.

Volume runs at 1k shares a day on a market cap of $284M, with a beta of 0.20 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 6 of 20.

The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.

Upcoming events

Great Elm Capital Corp. 7.75% Notes Due 2030 reports earnings on 29 Oct 2026 (before the open) - inside the 14-day window the Sunday Scan avoids, because a put sold now would carry the report's gap risk.

Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.

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