Stock fact sheet · data as of
AMTD Digital Inc. (HKD): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Technology · Software - Application · France · ADR · Value
Is HKD undervalued?
AMTD Digital Inc. (HKD) closed at 1.67 on 16 Oct 2026, 12% above the GLS average fair value of 1.49. Only 3 of the 8 models that produced a number value the shares above the current price. The margin of safety is negative, so the stock fails the "below fair value" rule of the Sunday Scan; a premium of this size is common for companies whose growth the models are conservative about.
There is a wide gap between DCF (0.1649) and Graham Number (4.55). When the models are this far apart the "fair value" is really a range, and the margin of safety above should be read with that range in mind.
The nightly engine files HKD under Value: positive earnings at a P/E of 18 or less.
Nine valuation models for HKD
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 0.1649 | -90% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 4.55 | +172% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 2.81 | +68% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 0.6963 | -58% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 0.5095 | -69% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 0.6610 | -60% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 0.5749 | -66% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | - | - | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend; no value tonight |
| EPV | 1.93 | +16% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -0.0635 | -104% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 0.0000 | -100% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
AMTD Digital Inc. scores only 4 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score, which fails the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. A reading this low means several of the basic tests - positive earnings, positive operating cash flow, falling debt, no new share issuance - are not met. A GLS Moat score of 2.0/10 is a weak reading: the ten-year history the score grades (revenue, EPS, book value, margins, cash flow, share count, ROIC) has not been steady, so the Moat part of the Wheel Score contributes little.
Returns on capital are moderate - ROIC 9.3%, ROE 20.6%, ROA 5.7% - with debt at 1.22 times equity and negative free cash flow.
AMTD Digital Inc. pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain.
Institutional ownership scores 1/10, insider activity 5/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 4 / 9 | ROIC | 9.3% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 2.0 / 10 | ROE | 20.6% |
| Debt / equity | 1.22 | ROA | 5.7% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 0.0% | Payout ratio | 0% |
| Institutions | 1 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 5 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 26: No options
No options are listed on AMTD Digital Inc. in our nightly snapshot. The Wheel Score is therefore capped at 39 (it reads 26) and the stock is left out of every options screen; the fair value and health figures above are still useful for a plain stock position.
Volume runs at 171k shares a day on a market cap of $798M, with a beta of 1.96 - a high beta, so the stock tends to move more than the market and a strike can be gapped through; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 6 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 7 / 25 | -12% margin of safety | |
| Health | 9 / 20 | Piotroski 4/9 | |
| Moat | 3 / 15 | moat 2.0/10 | |
| Premium | 0 / 20 | no option data | |
| Stability | 6 / 20 | 171k shares/day, $798M cap, beta 1.96 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
AMTD Digital Inc. reports earnings on 30 Oct 2026 - inside the 14-day window the Sunday Scan avoids, because a put sold now would carry the report's gap risk.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Software - Application
The 12 companies below are the closest to AMTD Digital Inc. by market cap within the Software - Application industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PUBM PubMatic, Inc. | 17.64 | 18.61 | +5% | 45Weak | $804M |
| MNTN MNTN, Inc Class A | 10.49 | 25.83 | +59% | 75Good | $785M |
| MITK Mitek Systems, Inc. | 16.88 | 19.66 | +14% | 77Good | $762M |
| BKSY BlackSky Technology Inc. | 18.45 | - | - | 45Weak | $755M |
| DSP Viant Technology Inc. | 12.85 | 6.36 | -102% | 44Weak | $855M |
| SVMB Jingbo Technology, Inc. | 1.54 | - | - | 28No options | $855M |
| YALA Yalla Group Limited | 5.67 | 16.15 | +65% | 81Prime | $861M |
| SMWB Similarweb Ltd. | 8.30 | 7.64 | -9% | 45Weak | $727M |
| DJCO Daily Journal Corporation | 638.60 | 339.88 | -88% | 26No options | $880M |
| UPBD Upbound Group, Inc. | 15.44 | 119.90 | +87% | 75Good | $900M |
| DCBO Docebo Inc. | 28.12 | 42.54 | +34% | 72Good | $702M |
| VTEX Vtex | 4.06 | 5.87 | +31% | 83Prime | $683M |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about HKD
Is HKD undervalued right now?
No: at 1.67 the stock trades 12% above the GLS average fair value of 1.49 (data as of 16 Oct 2026). The margin of safety is negative.
What is the Wheel Score of HKD and what does it mean?
HKD has no listed options in our nightly snapshot, so it cannot be wheeled; its Wheel Score is capped at 39 and shown as "No options".
What is the GLS fair value for HKD?
1.49 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 8 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does AMTD Digital Inc. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 30 Oct 2026, 14 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does HKD have listed options, and how liquid are they?
No. The nightly options snapshot found no listed contracts on HKD, so the wheel strategy cannot be run on it and the Wheel Score is capped at 39.