Intel Corp. (INTC): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score

Is INTC undervalued?

Intel Corp. (INTC) closed at 95.37 on 16 Oct 2026, 471% above the GLS average fair value of 16.71. 2 of the 2 models that produced a number value the shares below the current price. A gap this wide usually means the market is paying for growth or a story the trailing numbers do not show yet; the models work from filed results, not forecasts, so they are conservative by design.

Only 2 of the nine models produced a value (DCF, 10 Cap); the others need a dividend, positive free cash flow or positive book value the company does not have yet, so the average rests on a narrow base.

The nightly engine files INTC under Speculative / Distressed - negative earnings or a Piotroski score of 3 or less - which caps its Wheel Score at 45 and keeps it out of the Sunday Scan.

Nine valuation models for INTC

Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.

Quality and financial health

Financial health is average - INTC passes 5 of the nine Piotroski tests, which falls one point short of the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. The Financials tab on the Quote page shows which tests fail. The GLS Moat score is low at 1.8 out of 10, which says the ten-year record of revenue, earnings, margins and returns on capital has been inconsistent - growth and shocks rather than steady compounding.

Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC -0.2%, ROE -0.2%, ROA -0.1% - with debt at 0.41 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 0.6%.

Intel Corp. pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain. Revenue comes mainly from CCPG 41%, DCAI 29%, Intel Foundry 27% (quarter Q2 FY2026).

Institutional ownership scores 9/10, insider activity 6/10 and Congressional trading 10/10 on the GLS smart-money scales; the last recorded Congressional buy was on 24 Jul 2026.

Wheel Score 45: Weak

INTC scores 45 out of 100 on the Wheel Score, in the Weak band (under 50), capped at 45 because the engine files it as Speculative / Distressed. Value 0/25, Health 11/20, Moat 3/15, Premium 19/20, Stability 17/20. The score is not a judgement on the company; it says the price, quality and premium do not line up for selling puts on it today.

Implied volatility is 66% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - above the 60% ceiling of the sweet spot. Premiums are large, but the Wheel Score tapers the Premium points (19 of 20) because volatility this high usually comes with a reason. The option chain is deep: 2,262,782 contracts of open interest across all expiries, which means tight fills at most strikes.

Volume runs at 146.1M shares a day on a market cap of $504.1B, with a beta of 2.23 - a high beta, so the stock tends to move more than the market and a strike can be gapped through; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 17 of 20.

The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.

Upcoming events

Intel Corp. reports earnings on 22 Oct 2026 (after the close) - inside the 14-day window the Sunday Scan avoids, because a put sold now would carry the report's gap risk.

Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.

Similar stocks in Semiconductors

The 12 companies below are the closest to Intel Corp. by market cap within the Semiconductors industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.

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