Stock fact sheet · data as of
Ironwood Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (IRWD): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · United States · Value
Is IRWD undervalued?
At 3.77 (close of 16 Oct 2026), IRWD trades 69% below the GLS average fair value of 12.28. That average comes from 7 models run on the latest filings, and 5 of them land above the current price. Margins of safety over 30% are the exception rather than the rule across the ~7,400 stocks we value each night, so the number earns Ironwood Pharmaceuticals, Inc. the full Value points in the Wheel Score - and a closer look at what the market is pricing in.
The 7 models disagree widely: GLS Growth gives 2.30 while 10 Cap gives 31.80. A spread that wide means the average is sensitive to which methods you trust; the model table below shows where each one lands, and the Quote page lets you switch any of them off.
The nightly engine files IRWD under Value: positive earnings at a P/E of 18 or less.
Nine valuation models for IRWD
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 5.88 | +56% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | - | - | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share; no value tonight |
| Graham Growth | 12.66 | +236% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 3.14 | -17% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 2.30 | -39% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 31.80 | +743% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 21.49 | +470% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | - | - | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend; no value tonight |
| EPV | 8.72 | +131% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -2.33 | -162% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 6.68 | +77% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
On financial health IRWD scores 7/9 (Piotroski): most of the nine tests - positive earnings and cash flow, falling debt, rising margins and turnover - are passed, which is the kind of balance sheet a wheel trader is happy to be assigned. The GLS Moat score is low at 2.4 out of 10, which says the ten-year record of revenue, earnings, margins and returns on capital has been inconsistent - growth and shocks rather than steady compounding.
Returns on capital are moderate - ROIC 7.1%, ROE -9.2%, ROA 6.1% - with debt at -2.28 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 29.8%.
Ironwood Pharmaceuticals, Inc. pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain. Revenue comes mainly from Royalty 74%, Collaborative Arrangement, Collaboratio… 27% (quarter Q2 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 10/10, insider activity 1/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 7 / 9 | ROIC | 7.1% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 2.4 / 10 | ROE | -9.2% |
| Debt / equity | -2.28 | ROA | 6.1% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 29.8% | Payout ratio | 0% |
| Institutions | 10 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 1 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 69: Good
IRWD scores 69 out of 100 on the Wheel Score (Good band, 65-79). The score blends the margin of safety (Value, 25/25), Piotroski health (16/20), the GLS moat (4/15), the option premium on offer (10/20) and how easily the stock trades (15/20). Moat (4/15) is the part holding the score back.
Implied volatility is 100% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - above the 60% ceiling of the sweet spot. Premiums are large, but the Wheel Score tapers the Premium points (10 of 20) because volatility this high usually comes with a reason. Chain open interest is 9,413 contracts across all expiries - enough for the wheel at normal size.
Volume runs at 2.0M shares a day on a market cap of $623M, with a beta of 0.22 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 15 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 25 / 25 | 69% margin of safety | |
| Health | 16 / 20 | Piotroski 7/9 | |
| Moat | 4 / 15 | moat 2.4/10 | |
| Premium | 10 / 20 | implied volatility 100% | |
| Stability | 15 / 20 | 2.0M shares/day, $623M cap, beta 0.22 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 9 Nov 2026 (before the open), 24 days away; a 30-45-day put sold today would expire after it, which is worth weighing against the premium.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
The 12 companies below are the closest to Ironwood Pharmaceuticals, Inc. by market cap within the Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COLL Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. | 23.18 | 147.77 | +84% | 74Good | $755M |
| AQST Aquestive Therapeutics, Inc. | 4.06 | - | - | 45Weak | $510M |
| EVO Evotec SE | 1.42 | - | - | 29No options | $504M |
| EOLS Evolus, Inc. | 7.57 | 8.80 | +14% | 45Weak | $500M |
| KMDA Kamada Ltd. | 7.83 | 14.12 | +45% | 67Good | $452M |
| NIKA Nika Pharmaceuticals Inc. | 0.4100 | 0.0000 | -22736543% | 15No options | $430M |
| TKNO Alpha Teknova, Inc. | 7.79 | - | - | 42Weak | $418M |
| VRNO Verano Holdings Corp | 5.14 | 41.44 | +88% | 39No options | $376M |
| EBS Emergent BioSolutions Inc. | 7.18 | 24.93 | +71% | 45Weak | $368M |
| HROW Harrow Health, Inc. | 28.75 | 4.96 | -480% | 42Weak | $1.1B |
| TLRY Tilray Brands, Inc. | 3.14 | - | - | 45Weak | $351M |
| AMPH Amphastar Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | 26.42 | 45.40 | +42% | 77Good | $1.1B |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about IRWD
Is IRWD undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, yes: at 3.77 the stock is 69% below the average fair value of 12.28 (data as of 16 Oct 2026). Whether the discount is deserved is the question to research next.
What is the Wheel Score of IRWD and what does it mean?
IRWD scores 69 out of 100 (Good). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for IRWD?
12.28 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 7 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Ironwood Pharmaceuticals, Inc. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 9 Nov 2026 (before the open), 24 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does IRWD have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 30 listed contracts with 9,413 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 100% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.