Stock fact sheet · data as of
Lemonade, Inc. (LMND): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Ticker symbol LMND · Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty · United States · Speculative
Is LMND undervalued?
LMND closed at 45.90 on 5 Nov 2026, more than 30% above the GLS average fair value of 4.31. Only 0 of the 1 models that produced a value sit above the price. By our models the shares are priced well beyond what the filed earnings, cash flow and book value support; the "below fair value" Wheel Trade Filter keeps names like this under 70.
The average is built from just 1 models (10 Cap) - the rest returned nothing because an input they need (dividends, free cash flow, book value) is zero or negative - so treat it with more caution than usual.
The nightly engine files LMND under Speculative - it is losing money or its Piotroski health score is 3 or lower - which caps its Wheel Score at 45 and keeps it out of the Sunday Scan.
Nine valuation models for LMND
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | - | - | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital; no value tonight |
| Graham Number | - | - | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share; no value tonight |
| Graham Growth | - | - | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields; no value tonight |
| Lynch | - | - | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25%; no value tonight |
| GLS Growth | - | - | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year; no value tonight |
| 10 Cap | 4.31 | -91% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | - | - | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself; no value tonight |
| DDM | - | - | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend; no value tonight |
| EPV | - | - | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth; no value tonight |
| Zombie (liquidation) | 5.83 | -87% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 66.00 | +44% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Lemonade, Inc. scores only 4 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score, which fails the "Piotroski 6 or more" Wheel Trade Filter. A reading this low means several of the basic tests - positive earnings, positive operating cash flow, falling debt, no new share issuance - are not met. A GLS Moat score of 3.1/10 is a weak reading: the accounts do not show returns and margins that competitors have been unable to wear down, so the Moat part of the Wheel Score contributes little.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC -23.1%, ROE -31.0%, ROA -8.6% - with debt at 0.34 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 0.2%.
Lemonade, Inc. pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain. Revenue comes mainly from Reportable 100% (quarter Q2 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 7/10, insider activity 1/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 4 / 9 | ROIC | -23.1% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 3.1 / 10 | ROE | -31.0% |
| Debt / equity | 0.34 | ROA | -8.6% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 0.2% | Payout ratio | 0% |
| Institutions | 7 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 1 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 23: Weak
With a Wheel Score of 23 Lemonade, Inc. sits in the Weak band. It fails filter 2, a real business, not a gamble - speculative (a loss, or a weak Piotroski score); and filter 3, below fair value - trades 964% above our fair value; and filter 4, financially healthy - Piotroski 4/9 (under 6); and filter 6, no serious red flags - Red Flags score 55 (under 60); and filter 7, a premium worth selling - implied volatility 85% (over 80%); Value (weak) is its weakest part.
Implied volatility is 85%, above the 80% ceiling of the Wheel Trade Filter on premium. The premium looks generous, but moves of that size can blow through any strike. Chain open interest is 47,636 contracts across all expiries - enough for the wheel at normal size.
Volume runs at 2.1M shares a day on a market cap of $3.6B, with a beta of 1.95 - a high beta, so the stock tends to move more than the market and a strike can be gapped through; the Stability part of the Wheel Score rates that weak.
| Filter | Wheel Trade Filter | Result | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Options that actually trade | Passes | Listed options with 1,000+ contracts of open interest and 100+ traded a day |
| 2 | A real business, not a gamble | Fails | speculative (a loss, or a weak Piotroski score) |
| 3 | Below fair value | Fails | trades 964% above our fair value |
| 4 | Financially healthy | Fails | Piotroski 4/9 (under 6) |
| 5 | Can repay its debt | Passes | Long-term debt repaid from 3 years of operating cash flow or less (6 for real estate and utilities; banks and insurers are not judged on it) |
| 6 | No serious red flags | Fails | Red Flags score 55 (under 60) |
| 7 | A premium worth selling | Fails | implied volatility 85% (over 80%) |
| 8 | Big enough | Passes | Market cap $1 billion or more |
| 9 | Not a penny stock | Passes | Share price $5 or more |
| How it ranks | Rating | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | Weak | 964% above fair value | |
| Premium | Fair | implied volatility 85% | |
| Moat | Weak | moat 3.1/10 | |
| Health | Fair | Piotroski 4/9 | |
| Red Flags | Weak | Red Flags score 55/100 | |
| Option trading | Strong | 11,331 contracts a day, 47,636 open interest | |
| Stability | Weak | beta 1.95, $3.6B company |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls: a stock must pass all 9 Wheel Trade Filters to score 70, and the score then ranks the ones that pass; the Sunday Scan is the top 10. It is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. How the Wheel Score works · the walkthrough lesson shows how it fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
Lemonade, Inc. reports earnings on 5 Nov 2026 (before the open) - inside the 14-day window the Sunday Scan avoids, because a put sold now would carry the report's gap risk.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Insurance - Property & Casualty
The 12 companies below are the closest to Lemonade, Inc. by market cap within the Insurance - Property & Casualty industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PLMR Palomar Holdings, Inc. | 144.04 | 246.53 | +42% | 49Weak | $3.8B |
| SLDE Slide Insurance Holdings, Inc. Common Stock | 27.28 | 96.94 | +72% | 82Good | $3.2B |
| AFSIM AmTrust Financial Services, Inc. | 14.70 | 1,681,551.22 | +100% | 33No options | $3.1B |
| AFFS AmTrust Financial Services, Inc. | 15.20 | 1,681,551.45 | +100% | 34No options | $3.0B |
| AFFT AmTrust Financial Services Inc 7.5 % Notes 2015-15.9.55 | 15.30 | 1,681,551.52 | +100% | 26No options | $3.0B |
| AFSIC AmTrust Financial Services, Inc. | 15.00 | 1,681,551.45 | +100% | 33No options | $3.0B |
| AFSIP AmTrust Financial Services, Inc. | 14.05 | 1,681,551.15 | +100% | 32No options | $3.0B |
| AFSIN AmTrust Financial Services, Inc. | 12.90 | 1,681,550.85 | +100% | 32No options | $2.9B |
| ARX Accelerant Holdings | 19.85 | 5.94 | -234% | 33Weak | $4.3B |
| AFSIB AmTrust Financial Services, Inc. | 14.25 | 1,681,551.45 | +100% | 32No options | $2.8B |
| SKWD Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. | 62.22 | 171.03 | +64% | 46Weak | $2.8B |
| AFSIA AmTrust Financial Services, Inc. | 13.10 | 1,681,551.45 | +100% | 33No options | $2.6B |
⚖ Compare LMND with 7 of them All Financial Services stocks →
Scan the whole market the same way
A free GLS Equity account gets you nightly fair value and the Wheel Score on ~7,400 US stocks, a watchlist, the scanner preview and the Sunday Scan - the top 10 stocks that pass all 9 Wheel Trade Filters, emailed every week. Pro adds the full put and call scanners, unlimited watchlists with alerts and the trade journal.
Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about LMND
Is LMND undervalued right now?
No: at 45.90 the stock trades 964% above the GLS average fair value of 4.31 (data as of 5 Nov 2026), well beyond what trailing earnings, cash flow and book value support.
What is the Wheel Score of LMND and what does it mean?
LMND scores 23 out of 100 (Weak) - it fails Wheel Trade Filters 2, 3, 4, 6, 7. The Wheel Score ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned - in two parts: the 9 pass/fail Wheel Trade Filters (busy options, a real business, below fair value, Piotroski 6 or more, debt it can repay, a Red Flags score of 60 or more, implied volatility of 25-80%, a $1 billion company, $5 a share) and a ranking of how strongly a stock passes on value, premium, moat, health, red flags, option trading and stability. A stock that fails any filter stays under 70; 70-84 is Good, 85 and above is Prime. The Sunday Scan is the top 10 that pass, sorted by Wheel Score.
What is the GLS fair value for LMND?
4.31 per share as of 5 Nov 2026 - the simple average of the 1 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Lemonade, Inc. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 5 Nov 2026 (before the open), 0 days from the data date of 5 Nov 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does LMND have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 442 listed contracts with 47,636 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 85% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.