Stock fact sheet · data as of
AmTrust Financial Services, Inc. (AFFS): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Ticker symbol AFFS · Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty · United States · Speculative Income
Is AFFS undervalued?
At 15.20 (close of 5 Nov 2026), AFFS trades 100% below the GLS average fair value of 1,681,551.45. That average comes from 2 models run on the latest filings, and 1 of them land above the current price. Margins of safety over 30% are the exception rather than the rule across the ~7,400 stocks we value each night, so the number earns AmTrust Financial Services, Inc. the full Value points in the Wheel Score - and a closer look at what the market is pricing in.
Only 2 of the nine models produced a value (DCF, DDM); the others need a dividend, positive free cash flow or positive book value the company does not have yet, so the average rests on a narrow base.
The nightly engine files AFFS under Speculative - it is losing money or its Piotroski health score is 3 or lower - which caps its Wheel Score at 45 and keeps it out of the Sunday Scan. It also carries the Income tag (Income = a dividend yield of 4% or more).
Nine valuation models for AFFS
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 3,363,093.61 | +22125516% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | - | - | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share; no value tonight |
| Graham Growth | - | - | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields; no value tonight |
| Lynch | - | - | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25%; no value tonight |
| GLS Growth | - | - | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year; no value tonight |
| 10 Cap | - | - | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10%; no value tonight |
| Payback Time | - | - | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself; no value tonight |
| DDM | 9.28 | -39% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | - | - | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth; no value tonight |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -37.86 | -349% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 0.0000 | -100% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Financial health is average - AFFS passes 5 of the nine Piotroski tests, which falls one point short of the "Piotroski 6 or more" Wheel Trade Filter. The Financials tab on the Quote page shows which tests fail. The GLS Moat score is 7.2 out of 10: a record that is solid on some of the four parts the score weighs (returns on capital, pricing power, lasting growth, balance sheet) and weaker on others.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC -7.4%, ROE -10.9%, ROA -1.4% - with debt at 0.48 times equity and negative free cash flow.
The dividend yield is high at 4.15% (payout ratio -55%). A yield this size is often the market's way of pricing a risk to the payout, so the health score and cash flow matter more than usual.
Institutional ownership scores 5/10, insider activity 5/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 5 / 9 | ROIC | -7.4% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 7.2 / 10 | ROE | -10.9% |
| Debt / equity | 0.48 | ROA | -1.4% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -19.1% | Payout ratio | -55% |
| Institutions | 5 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 5 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 34: No options
AFFS has no listed options in the nightly snapshot, so there is nothing to sell and the stock cannot be wheeled however good the business. It fails the first Wheel Trade Filter (options that actually trade), so the score stays under 70 and is shown as "No options" (34 here). The valuation and quality numbers still apply to owning the shares outright.
Volume runs at 1k shares a day on a market cap of $3.0B, with a beta of 0.01 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score rates that fair.
| Filter | Wheel Trade Filter | Result | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Options that actually trade | Fails | no listed options |
| 2 | A real business, not a gamble | Fails | speculative (a loss, or a weak Piotroski score) |
| 3 | Below fair value | Passes | Trading below the nine-model average fair value (margin of safety above 0) |
| 4 | Financially healthy | Fails | Piotroski 5/9 (under 6) |
| 5 | Can repay its debt | Passes | Long-term debt repaid from 3 years of operating cash flow or less (6 for real estate and utilities; banks and insurers are not judged on it) |
| 6 | No serious red flags | Passes | Red Flags score 60 or more out of 100 (earnings, margins, debt, analysts, filings and price checked the same way for every stock) |
| 7 | A premium worth selling | Fails | no implied volatility |
| 8 | Big enough | Passes | Market cap $1 billion or more |
| 9 | Not a penny stock | Passes | Share price $5 or more |
| How it ranks | Rating | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | Strong | 100% below fair value | |
| Premium | Weak | no option data | |
| Moat | Good | moat 7.2/10 | |
| Health | Fair | Piotroski 5/9 | |
| Red Flags | Fair | not scored yet - half marks | |
| Option trading | Weak | no option volume data | |
| Stability | Fair | beta 0.01, $3.0B company |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls: a stock must pass all 9 Wheel Trade Filters to score 70, and the score then ranks the ones that pass; the Sunday Scan is the top 10. It is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. How the Wheel Score works · the walkthrough lesson shows how it fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for AFFS in the nightly calendar.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Insurance - Property & Casualty
The 12 companies below are the closest to AmTrust Financial Services, Inc. by market cap within the Insurance - Property & Casualty industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFFT AmTrust Financial Services Inc 7.5 % Notes 2015-15.9.55 | 15.30 | 1,681,551.52 | +100% | 26No options | $3.0B |
| AFSIC AmTrust Financial Services, Inc. | 15.00 | 1,681,551.45 | +100% | 33No options | $3.0B |
| AFSIP AmTrust Financial Services, Inc. | 14.05 | 1,681,551.15 | +100% | 32No options | $3.0B |
| AFSIM AmTrust Financial Services, Inc. | 14.70 | 1,681,551.22 | +100% | 33No options | $3.1B |
| AFSIN AmTrust Financial Services, Inc. | 12.90 | 1,681,550.85 | +100% | 32No options | $2.9B |
| SLDE Slide Insurance Holdings, Inc. Common Stock | 27.28 | 96.94 | +72% | 82Good | $3.2B |
| AFSIB AmTrust Financial Services, Inc. | 14.25 | 1,681,551.45 | +100% | 32No options | $2.8B |
| SKWD Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. | 62.22 | 171.03 | +64% | 46Weak | $2.8B |
| AFSIA AmTrust Financial Services, Inc. | 13.10 | 1,681,551.45 | +100% | 33No options | $2.6B |
| LMND Lemonade, Inc. | 45.90 | 4.31 | -964% | 23Weak | $3.6B |
| HCI HCI Group, Inc. | 201.56 | 614.96 | +67% | 83Good | $2.5B |
| PRCH Porch Group, Inc. | 21.56 | 10.05 | -115% | 29Weak | $2.5B |
⚖ Compare AFFS with 7 of them All Financial Services stocks →
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about AFFS
Is AFFS undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, yes: at 15.20 the stock is 100% below the average fair value of 1,681,551.45 (data as of 5 Nov 2026). Whether the discount is deserved is the question to research next.
What is the Wheel Score of AFFS and what does it mean?
AFFS has no listed options in our nightly snapshot, so it cannot be wheeled; it fails the first Wheel Trade Filter (options that actually trade), stays under 70 and is shown as "No options".
What is the GLS fair value for AFFS?
1,681,551.45 per share as of 5 Nov 2026 - the simple average of the 2 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does AmTrust Financial Services, Inc. report earnings next?
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for AFFS in our calendar as of 5 Nov 2026; the Calendars page is refreshed every morning.
Does AFFS have listed options, and how liquid are they?
No. The nightly options snapshot found no listed contracts on AFFS, so the wheel strategy cannot be run on it and the Wheel Score stays under 70.