Stock fact sheet · data as of
LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (LYB): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Ticker symbol LYB · Basic Materials · Chemicals - Specialty · Netherlands · Class A ordinary shares · Value Income
LYB is LyondellBasell Industries N.V.'s Class A ordinary shares. The classes own the same business, share the same earnings report and trade within a few cents of each other; what differs is mainly the vote each share carries - the company's annual report sets out the voting rights.
Is LYB undervalued?
At 62.96 (close of 5 Nov 2026), LYB trades 20% under the GLS average fair value of 78.35. 4 of the 9 models that produced a value land above the price. A discount of this size counts as a positive margin of safety in every GLS scan; whether it is enough depends on the rest of the picture - the health score, the moat and the option premium below.
There is a wide gap between GLS Growth (11.80) and Payback Time (193.14). When the models are this far apart the "fair value" is really a range, and the margin of safety above should be read with that range in mind.
Ranked against every other company we cover, LYB is clearly cheaper than it is fast-growing, so the nightly engine files it under Value (value score 49, growth score 10, out of 100). It also carries the Income tag (Income = a dividend yield of 4% or more).
Nine valuation models for LYB
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 75.09 | +19% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 56.21 | -11% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 65.03 | +3% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 16.12 | -74% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 11.80 | -81% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 192.36 | +206% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 193.14 | +207% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | 50.62 | -20% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 44.79 | -29% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -39.99 | -164% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 69.56 | +10% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
LyondellBasell Industries N.V. scores 8 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score, the nine yes/no tests of profitability, leverage and efficiency on the latest annual accounts - a strong reading that passes the "Piotroski 6 or more" Wheel Trade Filter with room to spare. A GLS Moat score of 4.6/10 is a weak reading: the accounts do not show returns and margins that competitors have been unable to wear down, so the Moat part of the Wheel Score contributes little.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC -2.9%, ROE -7.4%, ROA -2.2% - with debt at 1.58 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 25.2%.
The dividend yield is high at 5.46% (payout ratio 50%). A yield this size is often the market's way of pricing a risk to the payout, so the health score and cash flow matter more than usual. Revenue comes mainly from Polyethylene 25%, Oxyfuels And Related Products 24%, Polypropylene 18% (quarter Q3 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 9/10, insider activity 1/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 8 / 9 | ROIC | -2.9% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 4.6 / 10 | ROE | -7.4% |
| Debt / equity | 1.58 | ROA | -2.2% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 25.2% | Payout ratio | 50% |
| Institutions | 9 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 1 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 53: Fair
A Wheel Score of 53 keeps LyondellBasell Industries N.V. under 70, the mark only a stock that passes all 9 Wheel Trade Filters can reach: it fails filter 5, can repay its debt - 6.0 years to repay its debt (over 3). The parts: value good, premium strong, moat fair, health strong, red flags strong, option trading good, stability good.
Implied volatility is 41% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - inside the 35-60% sweet spot the Wheel Score rewards most: enough premium to be worth selling, not so much that the risk is unpaid. The option chain is deep: 58,612 contracts of open interest across all expiries, which means tight fills at most strikes.
Volume runs at 7.4M shares a day on a market cap of $20.4B, with a beta of 0.33 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score rates that good.
| Filter | Wheel Trade Filter | Result | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Options that actually trade | Passes | Listed options with 1,000+ contracts of open interest and 100+ traded a day |
| 2 | A real business, not a gamble | Passes | Profitable over the last twelve months - not a speculative stock, fund or note |
| 3 | Below fair value | Passes | Trading below the nine-model average fair value (margin of safety above 0) |
| 4 | Financially healthy | Passes | Piotroski F-score 6 or more out of 9 (a company with no score on file passes) |
| 5 | Can repay its debt | Fails | 6.0 years to repay its debt (over 3) |
| 6 | No serious red flags | Passes | Red Flags score 60 or more out of 100 (earnings, margins, debt, analysts, filings and price checked the same way for every stock) |
| 7 | A premium worth selling | Passes | Implied volatility 25-80% (enough premium, not a lottery ticket) |
| 8 | Big enough | Passes | Market cap $1 billion or more |
| 9 | Not a penny stock | Passes | Share price $5 or more |
| How it ranks | Rating | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | Good | 20% below fair value | |
| Premium | Strong | implied volatility 41% | |
| Moat | Fair | moat 4.6/10 | |
| Health | Strong | Piotroski 8/9 | |
| Red Flags | Strong | Red Flags score 90/100 | |
| Option trading | Good | 4,061 contracts a day, 58,612 open interest | |
| Stability | Good | beta 0.33, $20.4B company |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls: a stock must pass all 9 Wheel Trade Filters to score 70, and the score then ranks the ones that pass; the Sunday Scan is the top 10. It is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. How the Wheel Score works · the walkthrough lesson shows how it fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 29 Jan 2027, 85 days away - outside the window of a 30-45-day put sold today.
No analyst upgrades or downgrades were recorded in the last 30 days.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Chemicals - Specialty
The 12 companies below are the closest to LyondellBasell Industries N.V. by market cap within the Chemicals - Specialty industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IFF International Flavors & Fragrances Inc. | 87.67 | 24.93 | -252% | 31Weak | $22.4B |
| SQM Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A. | 57.56 | 66.32 | +13% | 44Weak | $16.4B |
| PPG PPG Industries, Inc. | 127.27 | 113.68 | -12% | 38Weak | $28.1B |
| RPM RPM International Inc. | 109.05 | 94.12 | -16% | 36Weak | $13.9B |
| ALB Albemarle Corporation | 94.97 | 108.03 | +12% | 78Good | $11.2B |
| SOLS Solstice Advanced Materials Inc. | 57.70 | 66.43 | +13% | 47Weak | $9.2B |
| WLK Westlake Corporation | 67.90 | 64.66 | -5% | 33Weak | $8.7B |
| ESI Element Solutions Inc | 33.44 | 14.06 | -138% | 35Weak | $8.1B |
| AXTA Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. | 37.45 | 47.41 | +21% | 45Weak | $8.0B |
| EMN Eastman Chemical Company | 67.61 | 72.53 | +7% | 41Weak | $7.7B |
| NEU NewMarket Corporation | 725.11 | 1,258.36 | +42% | 83Good | $6.7B |
| APD Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. | 318.87 | 175.07 | -82% | 31Weak | $71.0B |
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A free GLS Equity account gets you nightly fair value and the Wheel Score on ~7,400 US stocks, a watchlist, the scanner preview and the Sunday Scan - the top 10 stocks that pass all 9 Wheel Trade Filters, emailed every week. Pro adds the full put and call scanners, unlimited watchlists with alerts and the trade journal.
Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about LYB
What kind of share is LYB?
LYB is LyondellBasell Industries N.V.'s Class A ordinary shares. The classes own the same business, share the same earnings report and trade within a few cents of each other; what differs is mainly the vote each share carries - the company's annual report sets out the voting rights.
Is LYB undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, moderately: at 62.96 the stock trades 20% below the average fair value of 78.35 (data as of 5 Nov 2026).
What is the Wheel Score of LYB and what does it mean?
LYB scores 53 out of 100 (Fair) - it fails Wheel Trade Filter 5. The Wheel Score ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned - in two parts: the 9 pass/fail Wheel Trade Filters (busy options, a real business, below fair value, Piotroski 6 or more, debt it can repay, a Red Flags score of 60 or more, implied volatility of 25-80%, a $1 billion company, $5 a share) and a ranking of how strongly a stock passes on value, premium, moat, health, red flags, option trading and stability. A stock that fails any filter stays under 70; 70-84 is Good, 85 and above is Prime. The Sunday Scan is the top 10 that pass, sorted by Wheel Score.
What is the GLS fair value for LYB?
78.35 per share as of 5 Nov 2026 - the simple average of the 9 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does LyondellBasell Industries N.V. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 29 Jan 2027, 85 days from the data date of 5 Nov 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does LYB have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 120 listed contracts with 58,612 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 41% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.