Stock fact sheet · data as of
Mobility Global Inc (MBGL): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Technology · Software - Infrastructure · United States · Speculative / Distressed
Is MBGL undervalued?
MBGL closed at 18.72 on 16 Oct 2026, more than 30% above the GLS average fair value of 8.46. Only 1 of the 9 models that produced a value sit above the price. By our models the shares are priced well beyond what the filed earnings, cash flow and book value support; the Sunday Scan drops names like this at the "below fair value" rule.
The 9 models disagree widely: DDM gives 0.8829 while DCF gives 23.46. A spread that wide means the average is sensitive to which methods you trust; the model table below shows where each one lands, and the Quote page lets you switch any of them off.
The nightly engine files MBGL under Speculative / Distressed - negative earnings or a Piotroski score of 3 or less - which caps its Wheel Score at 45 and keeps it out of the Sunday Scan.
Nine valuation models for MBGL
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 23.46 | +25% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 15.14 | -19% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 4.93 | -74% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 1.22 | -93% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 0.8936 | -95% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 14.76 | -21% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 11.51 | -39% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | 0.8829 | -95% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 3.39 | -82% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -4.17 | -122% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 23.00 | +23% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Financial health is weak: MBGL passes 0 of the nine Piotroski tests. Our screens drop the stock at the health rule; a low score is often the reason a stock looks cheap on the valuation models. The GLS Moat score is low at 4.0 out of 10, which says the ten-year record of revenue, earnings, margins and returns on capital has been inconsistent - growth and shocks rather than steady compounding.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC 1.2%, ROE 1.2%, ROA 1.1% - with debt at 0.02 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 3.2%.
The dividend yield is 0.32% with a payout ratio of 0% - a small yield that leaves most of the earnings in the business. Revenue comes mainly from Subscription 100% (quarter Q2 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 1/10, insider activity 10/10 and Congressional trading 1/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 0 / 9 | ROIC | 1.2% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 4.0 / 10 | ROE | 1.2% |
| Debt / equity | 0.02 | ROA | 1.1% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 3.2% | Payout ratio | 0% |
| Institutions | 1 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 10 · 1 / 10 |
Wheel Score 45: Weak
MBGL scores 45 out of 100 on the Wheel Score, in the Weak band (under 50). Value 0/25, Health 0/20, Moat 6/15, Premium 20/20, Stability 19/20. The score is not a judgement on the company; it says the price, quality and premium do not line up for selling puts on it today.
Implied volatility is 53% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - inside the 35-60% range the Wheel Score pays full marks for: enough premium to be worth selling, not so much that the risk is unpaid. Chain open interest is 17,589 contracts across all expiries - enough for the wheel at normal size.
Volume runs at 4.6M shares a day on a market cap of $5.5B, with a beta of 0.57 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 19 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 0 / 25 | -121% margin of safety | |
| Health | 0 / 20 | Piotroski 0/9 | |
| Moat | 6 / 15 | moat 4.0/10 | |
| Premium | 20 / 20 | implied volatility 53% | |
| Stability | 19 / 20 | 4.6M shares/day, $5.5B cap, beta 0.57 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 12 Nov 2026 (before the open), 27 days away; a 30-45-day put sold today would expire after it, which is worth weighing against the premium.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Software - Infrastructure
The 12 companies below are the closest to Mobility Global Inc by market cap within the Software - Infrastructure industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOX Box, Inc. | 39.48 | 34.36 | -15% | 71Good | $5.4B |
| VRNS Varonis Systems, Inc. | 47.06 | 21.28 | -121% | 45Weak | $5.4B |
| ACIW ACI Worldwide, Inc. | 52.55 | 68.94 | +24% | 89Prime | $5.3B |
| WEX WEX Inc. | 174.59 | 155.54 | -12% | 63Fair | $6.0B |
| BB BlackBerry Limited | 8.70 | 3.04 | -186% | 59Fair | $5.1B |
| RELY Remitly Global, Inc. | 23.49 | 45.35 | +48% | 80Prime | $5.0B |
| DOX Amdocs Limited | 60.68 | 78.72 | +23% | 82Prime | $6.5B |
| CORZ Core Scientific, Inc. | 14.46 | - | - | 45Weak | $4.6B |
| QLYS Qualys, Inc. | 189.63 | 172.61 | -10% | 74Good | $6.6B |
| ZVLO zvelo, Inc. | 252.00 | - | - | 36No options | $6.7B |
| DLO Dlocal Limited | 15.10 | 31.93 | +53% | 87Prime | $4.4B |
| PATH UiPath Inc. | 13.06 | 19.08 | +32% | 88Prime | $6.9B |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about MBGL
Is MBGL undervalued right now?
No: at 18.72 the stock trades 121% above the GLS average fair value of 8.46 (data as of 16 Oct 2026), well beyond what trailing earnings, cash flow and book value support.
What is the Wheel Score of MBGL and what does it mean?
MBGL scores 45 out of 100 (Weak). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for MBGL?
8.46 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 9 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Mobility Global Inc report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 12 Nov 2026 (before the open), 27 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does MBGL have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 116 listed contracts with 17,589 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 53% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.