Stock fact sheet · data as of
Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Ticker symbol NEXA · Basic Materials · Industrial Materials · Luxembourg · Value
Is NEXA undervalued?
Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) closed at 11.90 on 5 Nov 2026. The GLS average fair value - the simple average of the 9 valuation models that produced a positive number - is 20.54, which puts the price 42% below it. 6 of the 9 models value the shares above the current price. A gap this wide is rare in our universe of ~7,400 US stocks and is exactly what the Value part of the Wheel Score rewards; it is also where the question "why is it this cheap?" matters most.
The 9 models disagree widely: DDM gives 1.94 while 10 Cap gives 58.54. A spread that wide means the average is sensitive to which methods you trust; the model table below shows where each one lands, and the Quote page lets you switch any of them off.
Ranked against every other company we cover, NEXA is clearly cheaper than it is fast-growing, so the nightly engine files it under Value (value score 66, growth score 44, out of 100).
Nine valuation models for NEXA
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 45.59 | +283% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 14.59 | +23% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 17.73 | +49% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 4.40 | -63% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 6.06 | -49% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 58.54 | +392% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 23.80 | +100% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | 1.94 | -84% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 12.21 | +3% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -20.49 | -272% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 14.60 | +23% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
On financial health NEXA scores 7/9 (Piotroski): most of the nine tests - positive earnings and cash flow, falling debt, rising margins and turnover - are passed, which is the kind of balance sheet a wheel trader is happy to be assigned. The GLS Moat score is low at 2.9 out of 10: returns on capital, margins or the balance sheet have not shown a lasting edge yet - often a young company, a thin-margin business or one that has only recently turned profitable.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC 4.7%, ROE 13.2%, ROA 2.5% - with debt at 1.82 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 9.5%.
The dividend yield is 1.11% with a payout ratio of 31% - a small yield that leaves most of the earnings in the business. Revenue comes mainly from Zinc 53%, Lead 18%, Copper 17% (fiscal year FY2025).
Institutional ownership scores 1/10, insider activity 5/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 7 / 9 | ROIC | 4.7% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 2.9 / 10 | ROE | 13.2% |
| Debt / equity | 1.82 | ROA | 2.5% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 9.5% | Payout ratio | 31% |
| Institutions | 1 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 5 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 47: Weak
NEXA scores 47 out of 100 on the Wheel Score, in the Weak band (under 50): it fails filter 5, can repay its debt - 4.1 years to repay its debt (over 3), and the parts are thin too - value strong, premium strong, moat weak, health good, red flags good, option trading weak, stability fair. The score is not a judgement on the company; it says the price, quality and premium do not line up for selling puts on it today.
Implied volatility is 61% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - above the 60% top of the sweet spot. It still passes the 25-80% filter, but the Wheel Score rewards it less because volatility this high usually comes with a reason. Chain open interest is 6,233 contracts across all expiries - enough for the wheel at normal size.
Volume runs at 809k shares a day on a market cap of $1.6B, with a beta of 0.92; the Stability part of the Wheel Score rates that fair.
| Filter | Wheel Trade Filter | Result | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Options that actually trade | Passes | Listed options with 1,000+ contracts of open interest and 100+ traded a day |
| 2 | A real business, not a gamble | Passes | Profitable over the last twelve months - not a speculative stock, fund or note |
| 3 | Below fair value | Passes | Trading below the nine-model average fair value (margin of safety above 0) |
| 4 | Financially healthy | Passes | Piotroski F-score 6 or more out of 9 (a company with no score on file passes) |
| 5 | Can repay its debt | Fails | 4.1 years to repay its debt (over 3) |
| 6 | No serious red flags | Passes | Red Flags score 60 or more out of 100 (earnings, margins, debt, analysts, filings and price checked the same way for every stock) |
| 7 | A premium worth selling | Passes | Implied volatility 25-80% (enough premium, not a lottery ticket) |
| 8 | Big enough | Passes | Market cap $1 billion or more |
| 9 | Not a penny stock | Passes | Share price $5 or more |
| How it ranks | Rating | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | Strong | 42% below fair value | |
| Premium | Strong | implied volatility 61% | |
| Moat | Weak | moat 2.9/10 | |
| Health | Good | Piotroski 7/9 | |
| Red Flags | Good | Red Flags score 80/100 | |
| Option trading | Weak | 207 contracts a day, 6,233 open interest | |
| Stability | Fair | beta 0.92, $1.6B company |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls: a stock must pass all 9 Wheel Trade Filters to score 70, and the score then ranks the ones that pass; the Sunday Scan is the top 10. It is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. How the Wheel Score works · the walkthrough lesson shows how it fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for NEXA in the nightly calendar.
Analysts upgraded NEXA 1 time in the last 30 days with no downgrades; the latest action was a reiterated rating by Citigroup on 16 Oct 2026.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Industrial Materials
The 12 companies below are the closest to Nexa Resources S.A. by market cap within the Industrial Materials industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VZLA Vizsla Silver Corp. | 3.29 | 0.5513 | -497% | 23Weak | $1.2B |
| EMAT Evolution Metals & Technologies Corp. Common Stock | 1.85 | - | - | 12No options | $1.2B |
| USAR USA Rare Earth Inc | 8.20 | 3.78 | -117% | 17Weak | $1.1B |
| USAS Americas Gold and Silver Corporation | 3.08 | - | - | 23Weak | $1.0B |
| ALM Almonty Industries Inc. | 8.79 | 3.01 | -192% | 19Weak | $2.5B |
| CMP Compass Minerals International, Inc. | 23.26 | 23.90 | +3% | 30Weak | $976M |
| CRML Critical Metals Corp. | 6.37 | 0.1400 | -4449% | 20Weak | $936M |
| LAR Lithium Argentina AG | 4.20 | - | - | 16Weak | $689M |
| SKE Skeena Resources Limited | 29.37 | 0.3946 | -7343% | 20Weak | $3.7B |
| MTRN Materion Corporation | 187.26 | 82.69 | -126% | 34Weak | $3.9B |
| SGML Sigma Lithium Corporation | 5.62 | 6.93 | +19% | 27Weak | $633M |
| GSM Ferroglobe PLC | 2.93 | 1.63 | -80% | 17Weak | $548M |
Scan the whole market the same way
A free GLS Equity account gets you nightly fair value and the Wheel Score on ~7,400 US stocks, a watchlist, the scanner preview and the Sunday Scan - the top 10 stocks that pass all 9 Wheel Trade Filters, emailed every week. Pro adds the full put and call scanners, unlimited watchlists with alerts and the trade journal.
Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about NEXA
Is NEXA undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, yes: at 11.90 the stock is 42% below the average fair value of 20.54 (data as of 5 Nov 2026). Whether the discount is deserved is the question to research next.
What is the Wheel Score of NEXA and what does it mean?
NEXA scores 47 out of 100 (Weak) - it fails Wheel Trade Filter 5. The Wheel Score ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned - in two parts: the 9 pass/fail Wheel Trade Filters (busy options, a real business, below fair value, Piotroski 6 or more, debt it can repay, a Red Flags score of 60 or more, implied volatility of 25-80%, a $1 billion company, $5 a share) and a ranking of how strongly a stock passes on value, premium, moat, health, red flags, option trading and stability. A stock that fails any filter stays under 70; 70-84 is Good, 85 and above is Prime. The Sunday Scan is the top 10 that pass, sorted by Wheel Score.
What is the GLS fair value for NEXA?
20.54 per share as of 5 Nov 2026 - the simple average of the 9 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Nexa Resources S.A. report earnings next?
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for NEXA in our calendar as of 5 Nov 2026; the Calendars page is refreshed every morning.
Does NEXA have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 16 listed contracts with 6,233 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 61% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.