Stock fact sheet · data as of
The Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Limited (NTB): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Financial Services · Banks - Regional · Bermuda · Defensive
Is NTB undervalued?
The Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Limited (NTB) closed at 58.28 on 16 Oct 2026. The GLS average fair value - the simple average of the 9 valuation models that produced a positive number - is 119.02, which puts the price 51% below it. 8 of the 9 models value the shares above the current price. A gap this wide is rare in our universe of ~7,400 US stocks and is exactly what the Value part of the Wheel Score rewards; it is also where the question "why is it this cheap?" matters most.
The 9 models disagree widely: DDM gives 29.43 while Graham Growth gives 251.45. A spread that wide means the average is sensitive to which methods you trust; the model table below shows where each one lands, and the Quote page lets you switch any of them off.
The nightly engine files NTB under Defensive: a low beta, a dividend and positive earnings.
Nine valuation models for NTB
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 82.32 | +41% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 62.46 | +7% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 251.45 | +331% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 103.31 | +77% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 190.65 | +227% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 113.68 | +95% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 171.77 | +195% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | 29.43 | -50% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 66.08 | +13% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -260.39 | -547% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 65.00 | +12% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Financial health is average - NTB passes 6 of the nine Piotroski tests, which passes the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. The Financials tab on the Quote page shows which tests fail. The GLS Moat score is 6.1 out of 10: a ten-year record that is consistent in some of the metrics the score tracks (revenue, earnings, margins, cash flow, returns on capital) and patchy in others.
Returns on capital are high - ROIC 19.6%, ROE 20.3%, ROA 1.6% - with debt at 0.03 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 9.2%.
The dividend yield is 3.43% at a payout ratio of 34%; for a wheel trader holding assigned shares the dividend adds to the covered-call premium, and the ex-dividend date is worth knowing before a call is sold. Revenue comes mainly from Bermuda 43%, Cayman 31%, Channel Islands And United Kingdom 18% (fiscal year FY2025).
Institutional ownership scores 9/10, insider activity 1/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 6 / 9 | ROIC | 19.6% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 6.1 / 10 | ROE | 20.3% |
| Debt / equity | 0.03 | ROA | 1.6% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 9.2% | Payout ratio | 34% |
| Institutions | 9 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 1 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 73: Good
NTB scores 73 out of 100 on the Wheel Score (Good band, 65-79). The score blends the margin of safety (Value, 25/25), Piotroski health (13/20), the GLS moat (9/15), the option premium on offer (15/20) and how easily the stock trades (10/20). Stability (10/20) is the part holding the score back.
Implied volatility is 30% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out: some premium, but under the 35-60% range the Wheel Score pays full marks for (15 of 20 points). Chain open interest is thin - 234 contracts across every expiry - so fills at a fair price are not guaranteed; a 30-45-day put may not exist at a usable strike.
Volume runs at 141k shares a day on a market cap of $2.3B, with a beta of 0.54 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 10 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 25 / 25 | 51% margin of safety | |
| Health | 13 / 20 | Piotroski 6/9 | |
| Moat | 9 / 15 | moat 6.1/10 | |
| Premium | 15 / 20 | implied volatility 30% | |
| Stability | 10 / 20 | 141k shares/day, $2.3B cap, beta 0.54 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Limited reports earnings on 27 Oct 2026 (after the close) - inside the 14-day window the Sunday Scan avoids, because a put sold now would carry the report's gap risk.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Banks - Regional
The 12 companies below are the closest to The Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Limited by market cap within the Banks - Regional industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BBT Beacon Financial Corp. | 27.49 | 30.11 | +9% | 71Good | $2.3B |
| FIISO Financial Institutions, Inc. 8.48% SRB1 PFD B | 115.65 | 77.38 | -49% | 31No options | $2.3B |
| MBINN Merchants Bancorp | 18.97 | 86.53 | +78% | 39No options | $2.3B |
| MBINL Merchants Bancorp | 23.14 | 91.88 | +75% | 39No options | $2.3B |
| MBINM Merchants Bancorp | 24.92 | 94.16 | +74% | 39No options | $2.3B |
| MBIN Merchants Bancorp | 48.95 | 125.01 | +61% | 68Good | $2.2B |
| SYBT Stock Yards Bancorp, Inc. | 75.27 | 75.81 | +1% | 63Fair | $2.3B |
| OFG OFG Bancorp | 52.13 | 66.55 | +22% | 76Good | $2.2B |
| NWBI Northwest Bancshares, Inc. | 14.89 | 13.04 | -14% | 61Fair | $2.2B |
| BUSE First Busey Corporation | 29.26 | 36.15 | +19% | 74Good | $2.4B |
| CLBK Columbia Financial, Inc. | 10.82 | 4.99 | -117% | 64Fair | $2.4B |
| EFSC Enterprise Financial Services Corp | 59.27 | 80.50 | +26% | 82Prime | $2.1B |
⚖ Compare NTB with 7 of them All Financial Services stocks →
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about NTB
Is NTB undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, yes: at 58.28 the stock is 51% below the average fair value of 119.02 (data as of 16 Oct 2026). Whether the discount is deserved is the question to research next.
What is the Wheel Score of NTB and what does it mean?
NTB scores 73 out of 100 (Good). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for NTB?
119.02 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 9 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does The Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Limited report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 27 Oct 2026 (after the close), 11 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does NTB have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 120 listed contracts with 234 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 30% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.