Stock fact sheet · data as of
Nayax Ltd. (NYAX): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Technology · Software - Infrastructure · Israel · High Growth
Is NYAX undervalued?
Nayax Ltd. (NYAX) closed at 44.79 on 16 Oct 2026, close to the GLS average fair value of 46.52 (3.7% below fair value). 1 of the 8 models that produced a number sit above the price, 7 below - the market and our models roughly agree. With little margin of safety either way, the case for or against the stock rests on the quality numbers and the option premium rather than on price.
The 8 models disagree widely: EPV gives 2.42 while DCF gives 295.18. A spread that wide means the average is sensitive to which methods you trust; the model table below shows where each one lands, and the Quote page lets you switch any of them off.
The nightly engine files NYAX under High Growth: revenue and earnings growing fast enough that the growth-based models carry the valuation.
Nine valuation models for NYAX
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 295.18 | +559% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 5.66 | -87% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 12.46 | -72% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 5.44 | -88% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 13.33 | -70% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 16.13 | -64% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 21.56 | -52% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | - | - | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend; no value tonight |
| EPV | 2.42 | -95% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -0.0391 | -100% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 73.08 | +63% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Financial health is average - NYAX passes 5 of the nine Piotroski tests, which falls one point short of the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. The Financials tab on the Quote page shows which tests fail. The GLS Moat score is low at 4.4 out of 10, which says the ten-year record of revenue, earnings, margins and returns on capital has been inconsistent - growth and shocks rather than steady compounding.
Returns on capital are moderate - ROIC 6.8%, ROE 16.6%, ROA 4.5% - with debt at 1.46 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 1.7%.
Nayax Ltd. pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain.
Institutional ownership scores 2/10, insider activity 8/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 5 / 9 | ROIC | 6.8% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 4.4 / 10 | ROE | 16.6% |
| Debt / equity | 1.46 | ROA | 4.5% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 1.7% | Payout ratio | 0% |
| Institutions | 2 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 8 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 39: No options
NYAX has no listed options in the nightly snapshot, so there is nothing to sell and the stock cannot be wheeled however good the business; the Wheel Score is capped at 39 and shown as "No options" (39 here). The valuation and quality numbers still apply to owning the shares outright.
Volume runs at 12k shares a day on a market cap of $1.7B, with a beta of -0.14 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 9 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 14 / 25 | 4% margin of safety | |
| Health | 11 / 20 | Piotroski 5/9 | |
| Moat | 7 / 15 | moat 4.4/10 | |
| Premium | 0 / 20 | no option data | |
| Stability | 9 / 20 | 12k shares/day, $1.7B cap, beta -0.14 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 18 Nov 2026 (before the open), 33 days away; a 30-45-day put sold today would expire after it, which is worth weighing against the premium.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Software - Infrastructure
The 12 companies below are the closest to Nayax Ltd. by market cap within the Software - Infrastructure industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PICS PicS N.V. | 13.22 | 133.49 | +90% | 39No options | $1.7B |
| BAND Bandwidth Inc. | 49.60 | 8.94 | -455% | 31Weak | $1.6B |
| PRGS Progress Software Corporation | 38.61 | 79.93 | +52% | 86Prime | $1.6B |
| MQ Marqeta, Inc. | 18.99 | 9.00 | -111% | 55Fair | $1.8B |
| ATEN A10 Networks, Inc. | 25.39 | 11.36 | -124% | 55Fair | $1.8B |
| NN NextNav Inc. | 10.71 | - | - | 45Weak | $1.5B |
| PGY Pagaya Technologies Ltd. | 16.81 | 61.12 | +72% | 70Good | $1.4B |
| GCT GigaCloud Technology Inc. | 59.34 | 105.83 | +44% | 83Prime | $2.1B |
| RAMP LiveRamp Holdings, Inc. | 37.61 | 76.12 | +51% | 72Good | $2.3B |
| RDWR Radware Ltd. | 28.72 | 14.30 | -101% | 53Fair | $1.2B |
| PAYO Payoneer Global Inc. | 7.14 | 7.93 | +10% | 72Good | $2.4B |
| EEFT Euronet Worldwide, Inc. | 65.54 | 155.01 | +58% | 86Prime | $2.5B |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about NYAX
Is NYAX undervalued right now?
Not meaningfully: at 44.79 the stock trades within a few percent of the GLS average fair value of 46.52 (3.7% below fair value, data as of 16 Oct 2026).
What is the Wheel Score of NYAX and what does it mean?
NYAX has no listed options in our nightly snapshot, so it cannot be wheeled; its Wheel Score is capped at 39 and shown as "No options".
What is the GLS fair value for NYAX?
46.52 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 8 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Nayax Ltd. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 18 Nov 2026 (before the open), 33 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does NYAX have listed options, and how liquid are they?
No. The nightly options snapshot found no listed contracts on NYAX, so the wheel strategy cannot be run on it and the Wheel Score is capped at 39.