Stock fact sheet · data as of
Oak Valley Bancorp (OVLY): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Financial Services · Banks - Regional · United States · Defensive
Is OVLY undervalued?
At 33.55 (close of 16 Oct 2026), OVLY trades 22% under the GLS average fair value of 42.90. 4 of the 9 models that produced a value land above the price. A discount of this size counts as a positive margin of safety in every GLS screen; whether it is enough depends on the rest of the picture - the health score, the moat and the option premium below.
The 9 models disagree widely: Lynch gives 3.24 while DCF gives 88.55. A spread that wide means the average is sensitive to which methods you trust; the model table below shows where each one lands, and the Quote page lets you switch any of them off.
The nightly engine files OVLY under Defensive: a low beta, a dividend and positive earnings.
Nine valuation models for OVLY
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 88.55 | +164% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 40.91 | +22% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 29.91 | -11% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 3.24 | -90% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 28.75 | -14% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 78.41 | +134% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 73.79 | +120% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | 11.04 | -67% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 31.50 | -6% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -166.26 | -596% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 0.0000 | -100% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Financial health is average - OVLY passes 5 of the nine Piotroski tests, which falls one point short of the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. The Financials tab on the Quote page shows which tests fail. The GLS Moat score is 6.2 out of 10: a ten-year record that is consistent in some of the metrics the score tracks (revenue, earnings, margins, cash flow, returns on capital) and patchy in others.
Returns on capital are moderate - ROIC 11.5%, ROE 11.5%, ROA 1.2% - with debt at 0.00 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 9.1%.
The dividend yield is 2.24% at a payout ratio of 24%; for a wheel trader holding assigned shares the dividend adds to the covered-call premium, and the ex-dividend date is worth knowing before a call is sold.
Institutional ownership scores 4/10, insider activity 7/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 5 / 9 | ROIC | 11.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 6.2 / 10 | ROE | 11.5% |
| Debt / equity | 0.00 | ROA | 1.2% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 9.1% | Payout ratio | 24% |
| Institutions | 4 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 7 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 39: No options
OVLY has no listed options in the nightly snapshot, so there is nothing to sell and the stock cannot be wheeled however good the business; the Wheel Score is capped at 39 and shown as "No options" (39 here). The valuation and quality numbers still apply to owning the shares outright.
Volume runs at 16k shares a day on a market cap of $282M, with a beta of 0.21 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 6 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 22 / 25 | 22% margin of safety | |
| Health | 11 / 20 | Piotroski 5/9 | |
| Moat | 9 / 15 | moat 6.2/10 | |
| Premium | 0 / 20 | no option data | |
| Stability | 6 / 20 | 16k shares/day, $282M cap, beta 0.21 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
Oak Valley Bancorp reports earnings on 28 Oct 2026 - inside the 14-day window the Sunday Scan avoids, because a put sold now would carry the report's gap risk.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Banks - Regional
The 12 companies below are the closest to Oak Valley Bancorp by market cap within the Banks - Regional industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRAF Franklin Financial Services Corporation | 62.81 | 121.17 | +48% | 39No options | $283M |
| FUNC First United Corporation | 43.92 | 55.55 | +21% | 39No options | $283M |
| ISBA Isabella Bank Corporation | 36.71 | 54.14 | +32% | 39No options | $280M |
| ATLO Ames National Corporation | 32.15 | 44.93 | +28% | 76Good | $285M |
| MYFW First Western Financial, Inc. | 29.46 | 31.19 | +6% | 65Good | $288M |
| NKSH National Bankshares, Inc. | 43.32 | 49.10 | +12% | 37No options | $276M |
| VABK Virginia National Bankshares Corporation | 50.69 | 49.93 | -2% | 39No options | $275M |
| TRUX Truxton Corporation | 25.13 | 40.32 | +38% | 39No options | $290M |
| FNRN First Northern Community Bancorp | 16.67 | 19.28 | +14% | 39No options | $273M |
| WNEB Western New England Bancorp, Inc. | 13.45 | 14.35 | +6% | 66Good | $270M |
| BPRN Princeton Bancorp Inc. | 43.38 | 44.83 | +3% | 39No options | $296M |
| LCNB LCNB Corp. | 18.79 | 24.40 | +23% | 65Good | $268M |
⚖ Compare OVLY with 7 of them All Financial Services stocks →
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about OVLY
Is OVLY undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, moderately: at 33.55 the stock trades 22% below the average fair value of 42.90 (data as of 16 Oct 2026).
What is the Wheel Score of OVLY and what does it mean?
OVLY has no listed options in our nightly snapshot, so it cannot be wheeled; its Wheel Score is capped at 39 and shown as "No options".
What is the GLS fair value for OVLY?
42.90 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 9 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Oak Valley Bancorp report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 28 Oct 2026, 12 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does OVLY have listed options, and how liquid are they?
No. The nightly options snapshot found no listed contracts on OVLY, so the wheel strategy cannot be run on it and the Wheel Score is capped at 39.