Stock fact sheet · data as of
Pampa Energía S.A. (PAM): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Utilities · Regulated Electric · Argentina · ADR · Value
Is PAM undervalued?
At 80.75 (close of 16 Oct 2026), PAM trades 31% below the GLS average fair value of 117.69. That average comes from 7 models run on the latest filings, and 4 of them land above the current price. Margins of safety over 30% are the exception rather than the rule across the ~7,400 stocks we value each night, so the number earns Pampa Energía S.A. the full Value points in the Wheel Score - and a closer look at what the market is pricing in.
The 7 models disagree widely: 10 Cap gives 0.0854 while Graham Growth gives 303.99. A spread that wide means the average is sensitive to which methods you trust; the model table below shows where each one lands, and the Quote page lets you switch any of them off.
The nightly engine files PAM under Value: positive earnings at a P/E of 18 or less.
Nine valuation models for PAM
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 235.69 | +192% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 5.40 | -93% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 303.99 | +276% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 112.50 | +39% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 53.89 | -33% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 0.0854 | -100% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | - | - | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself; no value tonight |
| DDM | - | - | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend; no value tonight |
| EPV | 112.29 | +39% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -18.75 | -123% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 97.00 | +20% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
On financial health PAM scores 7/9 (Piotroski): most of the nine tests - positive earnings and cash flow, falling debt, rising margins and turnover - are passed, which is the kind of balance sheet a wheel trader is happy to be assigned. The GLS Moat score is low at 3.1 out of 10, which says the ten-year record of revenue, earnings, margins and returns on capital has been inconsistent - growth and shocks rather than steady compounding.
Returns on capital are moderate - ROIC 6.8%, ROE 10.5%, ROA 5.7% - with debt at 0.54 times equity and negative free cash flow.
Pampa Energía S.A. pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain. Revenue comes mainly from Generation 49%, Oil And Gas 34%, Petrochemicals 17% (fiscal year FY2025).
Institutional ownership scores 1/10, insider activity 4/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 7 / 9 | ROIC | 6.8% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 3.1 / 10 | ROE | 10.5% |
| Debt / equity | 0.54 | ROA | 5.7% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -9.0% | Payout ratio | 0% |
| Institutions | 1 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 4 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 76: Good
PAM scores 76 out of 100 on the Wheel Score (Good band, 65-79). The score blends the margin of safety (Value, 25/25), Piotroski health (16/20), the GLS moat (5/15), the option premium on offer (20/20) and how easily the stock trades (11/20). Moat (5/15) is the part holding the score back.
Implied volatility is 50% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - inside the 35-60% range the Wheel Score pays full marks for: enough premium to be worth selling, not so much that the risk is unpaid. Chain open interest is 6,831 contracts across all expiries - enough for the wheel at normal size.
Volume runs at 129k shares a day on a market cap of $4.3B, with a beta of -0.22 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 11 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 25 / 25 | 31% margin of safety | |
| Health | 16 / 20 | Piotroski 7/9 | |
| Moat | 5 / 15 | moat 3.1/10 | |
| Premium | 20 / 20 | implied volatility 50% | |
| Stability | 11 / 20 | 129k shares/day, $4.3B cap, beta -0.22 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 2 Nov 2026 (after the close), 17 days away; a 30-45-day put sold today would expire after it, which is worth weighing against the premium.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Regulated Electric
The 12 companies below are the closest to Pampa Energía S.A. by market cap within the Regulated Electric industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWE Northwestern Energy Group Inc | 73.85 | 33.37 | -121% | 55Fair | $4.5B |
| POR Portland General Electric Company | 44.45 | 30.12 | -48% | 51Fair | $5.2B |
| DTG DTE Energy Company 2021 Series | 15.28 | 32.68 | +53% | 39No options | $3.2B |
| ENIC Enel Chile S.A. | 4.38 | 4.82 | +9% | 72Good | $6.1B |
| CMSC CMS Energy Corporation 5.875% J | 19.88 | 27.97 | +29% | 39No options | $6.1B |
| DTB DTE Energy Company 2020 Series | 14.79 | 32.49 | +54% | 39No options | $3.1B |
| CMSD CMS Energy Corporation 5.875% Junior Subordinated Notes due 2079 | 19.85 | 24.04 | +17% | 39No options | $6.2B |
| UEPEM Union Electric Company | 61.05 | 52.97 | -15% | 38No options | $6.2B |
| UEPEN Union Electric Company | 61.35 | 51.92 | -18% | 36No options | $6.3B |
| TXNM TXNM Energy, Inc. | 58.57 | 24.12 | -143% | 63Fair | $6.5B |
| CIG Companhia Energética de Minas Gerais | 2.29 | 10.22 | +78% | 81Prime | $6.6B |
| UEPCP Union Electric Company | 66.75 | 53.60 | -25% | 34No options | $6.8B |
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A free GLS Equity account gets you nightly fair value and the Wheel Score on ~7,400 US stocks, a watchlist, the scanner preview and the Sunday Scan - the same eight-rule screen, emailed every week. Pro adds the full put and call scanners, unlimited watchlists with alerts and the trade journal.
Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about PAM
Is PAM undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, yes: at 80.75 the stock is 31% below the average fair value of 117.69 (data as of 16 Oct 2026). Whether the discount is deserved is the question to research next.
What is the Wheel Score of PAM and what does it mean?
PAM scores 76 out of 100 (Good). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for PAM?
117.69 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 7 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Pampa Energía S.A. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 2 Nov 2026 (after the close), 17 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does PAM have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 172 listed contracts with 6,831 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 50% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.