Stock fact sheet · data as of
Ponce Financial Group, Inc. (PDLB): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Ticker symbol PDLB · Financial Services · Banks - Regional · United States · Blend
Is PDLB undervalued?
At 22.18 (close of 5 Nov 2026), PDLB trades 69% below the GLS average fair value of 71.16. That average comes from 7 models run on the latest filings, and 6 of them land above the current price. Margins of safety over 30% are the exception rather than the rule across the ~7,400 stocks we value each night, so the number earns Ponce Financial Group, Inc. the full Value points in the Wheel Score - and a closer look at what the market is pricing in.
The 7 models disagree widely: EPV gives 21.90 while GLS Growth gives 120.66. A spread that wide means the average is sensitive to which methods you trust; the model table below shows where each one lands, and the Quote page lets you switch any of them off.
Ranked against every other company we cover, neither cheapness nor growth clearly wins for PDLB, so the nightly engine files it under Blend (value score 78, growth score 79, out of 100).
Nine valuation models for PDLB
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | - | - | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital; no value tonight |
| Graham Number | 33.33 | +50% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 96.77 | +336% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 41.11 | +85% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 120.66 | +444% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 63.70 | +187% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 120.63 | +444% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | - | - | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend; no value tonight |
| EPV | 21.90 | -1% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -101.12 | -556% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 24.00 | +8% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
On financial health PDLB scores 7/9 (Piotroski): most of the nine tests - positive earnings and cash flow, falling debt, rising margins and turnover - are passed, which is the kind of balance sheet a wheel trader is happy to be assigned. The GLS Moat score is low at 3.4 out of 10: returns on capital, margins or the balance sheet have not shown a lasting edge yet - often a young company, a thin-margin business or one that has only recently turned profitable.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC 2.5%, ROE 5.3%, ROA 0.9% - with debt at 1.15 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 13.1%.
Ponce Financial Group, Inc. pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain. Revenue comes mainly from Ponce Bank 99%, Mortgage World 0%, Ponce Financial Group Inc 0% (quarter Q3 FY2022).
Institutional ownership scores 6/10, insider activity 4/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 7 / 9 | ROIC | 2.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 3.4 / 10 | ROE | 5.3% |
| Debt / equity | 1.15 | ROA | 0.9% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 13.1% | Payout ratio | 2% |
| Institutions | 6 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 4 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 46: Weak
PDLB scores 46 out of 100 on the Wheel Score, in the Weak band (under 50): it fails filter 1, options that actually trade - options too quiet (28 open interest, 16 a day); and filter 8, big enough - market cap $536M (under $1.0B), and the parts are thin too - value strong, premium strong, moat weak, health good, red flags fair, option trading weak, stability fair. The score is not a judgement on the company; it says the price, quality and premium do not line up for selling puts on it today.
Implied volatility is 57% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - inside the 35-60% sweet spot the Wheel Score rewards most: enough premium to be worth selling, not so much that the risk is unpaid. Chain open interest is thin - 28 contracts across every expiry - so fills at a fair price are not guaranteed; a 30-45-day put may not exist at a usable strike.
Volume runs at 153k shares a day on a market cap of $536M, with a beta of 0.53 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score rates that fair.
| Filter | Wheel Trade Filter | Result | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Options that actually trade | Fails | options too quiet (28 open interest, 16 a day) |
| 2 | A real business, not a gamble | Passes | Profitable over the last twelve months - not a speculative stock, fund or note |
| 3 | Below fair value | Passes | Trading below the nine-model average fair value (margin of safety above 0) |
| 4 | Financially healthy | Passes | Piotroski F-score 6 or more out of 9 (a company with no score on file passes) |
| 5 | Can repay its debt | Passes | Long-term debt repaid from 3 years of operating cash flow or less (6 for real estate and utilities; banks and insurers are not judged on it) |
| 6 | No serious red flags | Passes | Red Flags score 60 or more out of 100 (earnings, margins, debt, analysts, filings and price checked the same way for every stock) |
| 7 | A premium worth selling | Passes | Implied volatility 25-80% (enough premium, not a lottery ticket) |
| 8 | Big enough | Fails | market cap $536M (under $1.0B) |
| 9 | Not a penny stock | Passes | Share price $5 or more |
| How it ranks | Rating | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | Strong | 69% below fair value | |
| Premium | Strong | implied volatility 57% | |
| Moat | Weak | moat 3.4/10 | |
| Health | Good | Piotroski 7/9 | |
| Red Flags | Fair | Red Flags score 75/100 | |
| Option trading | Weak | 16 contracts a day, 28 open interest | |
| Stability | Fair | beta 0.53, $536M company |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls: a stock must pass all 9 Wheel Trade Filters to score 70, and the score then ranks the ones that pass; the Sunday Scan is the top 10. It is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. How the Wheel Score works · the walkthrough lesson shows how it fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 26 Jan 2027, 82 days away - outside the window of a 30-45-day put sold today.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Banks - Regional
The 12 companies below are the closest to Ponce Financial Group, Inc. by market cap within the Banks - Regional industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OBT Orange County Bancorp, Inc. | 40.42 | 67.81 | +40% | 32No options | $542M |
| WTBA West Bancorporation, Inc. | 31.13 | 31.73 | +2% | 40Weak | $531M |
| NRIM Northrim BanCorp, Inc. | 24.50 | 63.91 | +62% | 50Fair | $545M |
| FFMR First Farmers Financial Corporation | 37.50 | 61.98 | +39% | 38No options | $520M |
| BSRR Sierra Bancorp | 42.85 | 69.67 | +38% | 56Fair | $556M |
| SUPV Grupo Supervielle S.A. | 5.89 | 3.67 | -61% | 13Weak | $557M |
| FMAO Farmers & Merchants Bancorp, Inc. | 37.48 | 38.63 | +3% | 41Weak | $516M |
| NPB Northpointe Bancshares, Inc. | 16.14 | 22.11 | +27% | 29No options | $558M |
| CZNC Citizens & Northern Corporation | 28.56 | 32.46 | +12% | 43Weak | $512M |
| COFS ChoiceOne Financial Services, Inc. | 37.61 | 48.36 | +22% | 29No options | $562M |
| CWBC Community West Bancshares | 26.74 | 33.08 | +19% | 41Weak | $563M |
| FRBA First Bank | 20.54 | 28.65 | +28% | 48Weak | $508M |
⚖ Compare PDLB with 7 of them All Financial Services stocks →
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about PDLB
Is PDLB undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, yes: at 22.18 the stock is 69% below the average fair value of 71.16 (data as of 5 Nov 2026). Whether the discount is deserved is the question to research next.
What is the Wheel Score of PDLB and what does it mean?
PDLB scores 46 out of 100 (Weak) - it fails Wheel Trade Filters 1, 8. The Wheel Score ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned - in two parts: the 9 pass/fail Wheel Trade Filters (busy options, a real business, below fair value, Piotroski 6 or more, debt it can repay, a Red Flags score of 60 or more, implied volatility of 25-80%, a $1 billion company, $5 a share) and a ranking of how strongly a stock passes on value, premium, moat, health, red flags, option trading and stability. A stock that fails any filter stays under 70; 70-84 is Good, 85 and above is Prime. The Sunday Scan is the top 10 that pass, sorted by Wheel Score.
What is the GLS fair value for PDLB?
71.16 per share as of 5 Nov 2026 - the simple average of the 7 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Ponce Financial Group, Inc. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 26 Jan 2027, 82 days from the data date of 5 Nov 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does PDLB have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 24 listed contracts with 28 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 57% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.