Stock fact sheet · data as of
PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Ticker symbol PYPL · Financial Services · Financial - Credit Services · United States · Blend Quality
Is PYPL undervalued?
At 60.20 (close of 5 Nov 2026), PYPL trades 43% below the GLS average fair value of 106.42. That average comes from 9 models run on the latest filings, and 6 of them land above the current price. Margins of safety over 30% are the exception rather than the rule across the ~7,400 stocks we value each night, so the number earns PayPal Holdings, Inc. the full Value points in the Wheel Score - and a closer look at what the market is pricing in.
There is a wide gap between DDM (8.24) and Payback Time (230.82). When the models are this far apart the "fair value" is really a range, and the margin of safety above should be read with that range in mind.
Ranked against every other company we cover, neither cheapness nor growth clearly wins for PYPL, so the nightly engine files it under Blend (value score 57, growth score 49, out of 100). It also carries the Quality tag (Quality = moat 7.5+ out of 10 and Piotroski 7+).
Nine valuation models for PYPL
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 131.68 | +119% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 53.62 | -11% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 105.43 | +75% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 30.25 | -50% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 158.88 | +164% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 177.01 | +194% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 230.82 | +283% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | 8.24 | -86% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 61.86 | +3% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -0.1902 | -100% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 55.88 | -7% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
PayPal Holdings, Inc. scores 7 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score, the nine yes/no tests of profitability, leverage and efficiency on the latest annual accounts - a strong reading that passes the "Piotroski 6 or more" Wheel Trade Filter with room to spare. A GLS Moat score of 9.2/10 puts PYPL among the more durable businesses we track: over up to ten years its returns on capital have stayed high, its margins steady and its balance sheet sound.
Returns on capital are high - ROIC 17.3%, ROE 25.8%, ROA 6.5% - with debt at 0.49 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 12.6%.
The dividend yield is 0.93% with a payout ratio of 11% - a small yield that leaves most of the earnings in the business. Revenue comes mainly from Transaction Revenue 90%, Other Value Added Services 10% (quarter Q3 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 9/10, insider activity 2/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales; the last recorded Congressional buy was on 30 Jul 2026.
| Piotroski F-score | 7 / 9 | ROIC | 17.3% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 9.2 / 10 | ROE | 25.8% |
| Debt / equity | 0.49 | ROA | 6.5% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 12.6% | Payout ratio | 11% |
| Institutions | 9 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 2 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 88: Prime
With a Wheel Score of 88, PayPal Holdings, Inc. sits in the Prime band. It passes every Wheel Trade Filter - busy options, a real business, below fair value, healthy accounts, debt it can repay, no serious red flags, a premium worth selling, enough size and price - and ranks near the top on the parts: value strong, premium good, moat strong, health good, red flags fair, option trading strong, stability strong. A high score is a ranking, not a signal: it says nothing about timing, the earnings date or your position size.
Implied volatility is 32% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out: enough to pass the 25-80% Wheel Trade Filter, but under the 35-60% sweet spot the score rewards most. The option chain is deep: 536,300 contracts of open interest across all expiries, which means tight fills at most strikes.
Volume runs at 14.1M shares a day on a market cap of $50.0B, with a beta of 1.32 - a high beta, so the stock tends to move more than the market and a strike can be gapped through; the Stability part of the Wheel Score rates that strong.
| Filter | Wheel Trade Filter | Result | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Options that actually trade | Passes | Listed options with 1,000+ contracts of open interest and 100+ traded a day |
| 2 | A real business, not a gamble | Passes | Profitable over the last twelve months - not a speculative stock, fund or note |
| 3 | Below fair value | Passes | Trading below the nine-model average fair value (margin of safety above 0) |
| 4 | Financially healthy | Passes | Piotroski F-score 6 or more out of 9 (a company with no score on file passes) |
| 5 | Can repay its debt | Passes | Long-term debt repaid from 3 years of operating cash flow or less (6 for real estate and utilities; banks and insurers are not judged on it) |
| 6 | No serious red flags | Passes | Red Flags score 60 or more out of 100 (earnings, margins, debt, analysts, filings and price checked the same way for every stock) |
| 7 | A premium worth selling | Passes | Implied volatility 25-80% (enough premium, not a lottery ticket) |
| 8 | Big enough | Passes | Market cap $1 billion or more |
| 9 | Not a penny stock | Passes | Share price $5 or more |
| How it ranks | Rating | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | Strong | 43% below fair value | |
| Premium | Good | implied volatility 32% | |
| Moat | Strong | moat 9.2/10 | |
| Health | Good | Piotroski 7/9 | |
| Red Flags | Fair | Red Flags score 72/100 | |
| Option trading | Strong | 38,429 contracts a day, 536,300 open interest | |
| Stability | Strong | beta 1.32, $50.0B company |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls: a stock must pass all 9 Wheel Trade Filters to score 70, and the score then ranks the ones that pass; the Sunday Scan is the top 10. It is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. How the Wheel Score works · the walkthrough lesson shows how it fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 2 Feb 2027, 89 days away - outside the window of a 30-45-day put sold today. The shares go ex-dividend on 4 Dec 2026 (0.1400 per share), so a covered call sold before then carries a small early-assignment risk around that date.
Analysts downgraded PYPL 2 times in the last 30 days with no upgrades; the latest action was a downgrade by Barclays on 29 Oct 2026.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Financial - Credit Services
The 12 companies below are the closest to PayPal Holdings, Inc. by market cap within the Financial - Credit Services industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IX ORIX Corporation | 37.04 | 42.91 | +14% | 33No options | $41.1B |
| GPN Global Payments Inc. | 96.09 | 65.01 | -48% | 35Weak | $25.4B |
| SYF Synchrony Financial | 75.03 | 340.10 | +78% | 52Fair | $24.4B |
| AFRM Affirm Holdings, Inc. | 75.59 | 173.51 | +56% | 47Weak | $22.6B |
| SOFI SoFi Technologies, Inc. | 17.38 | 19.24 | +10% | 41Weak | $22.5B |
| COF Capital One Financial Corporation | 206.31 | 463.47 | +55% | 91Prime | $126.6B |
| KKRS KKR Group Finance Co. IX LLC 4. | 15.36 | 60.27 | +75% | 31No options | $13.6B |
| ALLY Ally Financial Inc. | 39.36 | 70.99 | +45% | 83Good | $12.0B |
| AXP American Express Company | 332.59 | 310.77 | -7% | 45Weak | $223.0B |
| FCFS FirstCash Holdings, Inc | 193.34 | 232.88 | +17% | 77Good | $8.3B |
| LU Lufax Holding Ltd | 8.51 | 43.72 | +81% | 39Weak | $7.4B |
| OMF OneMain Holdings, Inc. | 57.97 | 207.52 | +72% | 82Good | $6.6B |
⚖ Compare PYPL with 7 of them All Financial Services stocks →
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A free GLS Equity account gets you nightly fair value and the Wheel Score on ~7,400 US stocks, a watchlist, the scanner preview and the Sunday Scan - the top 10 stocks that pass all 9 Wheel Trade Filters, emailed every week. Pro adds the full put and call scanners, unlimited watchlists with alerts and the trade journal.
Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about PYPL
Is PYPL undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, yes: at 60.20 the stock is 43% below the average fair value of 106.42 (data as of 5 Nov 2026). Whether the discount is deserved is the question to research next.
What is the Wheel Score of PYPL and what does it mean?
PYPL scores 88 out of 100 (Prime). The Wheel Score ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned - in two parts: the 9 pass/fail Wheel Trade Filters (busy options, a real business, below fair value, Piotroski 6 or more, debt it can repay, a Red Flags score of 60 or more, implied volatility of 25-80%, a $1 billion company, $5 a share) and a ranking of how strongly a stock passes on value, premium, moat, health, red flags, option trading and stability. A stock that fails any filter stays under 70; 70-84 is Good, 85 and above is Prime. The Sunday Scan is the top 10 that pass, sorted by Wheel Score.
What is the GLS fair value for PYPL?
106.42 per share as of 5 Nov 2026 - the simple average of the 9 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does PayPal Holdings, Inc. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 2 Feb 2027, 89 days from the data date of 5 Nov 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does PYPL have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 486 listed contracts with 536,300 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 32% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.