Stock fact sheet · data as of
Safe Pro Group Inc. Common Stock (SPAI): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Industrials · Aerospace & Defense · United States · Speculative / Distressed
Is SPAI undervalued?
SPAI closed at 3.65 on 16 Oct 2026, more than 30% above the GLS average fair value of 0.8392. Only 0 of the 1 models that produced a value sit above the price. By our models the shares are priced well beyond what the filed earnings, cash flow and book value support; the Sunday Scan drops names like this at the "below fair value" rule.
The average is built from just 1 models (DCF) - the rest returned nothing because an input they need (dividends, free cash flow, book value) is zero or negative - so treat it with more caution than usual.
The nightly engine files SPAI under Speculative / Distressed - negative earnings or a Piotroski score of 3 or less - which caps its Wheel Score at 45 and keeps it out of the Sunday Scan.
Nine valuation models for SPAI
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 0.8392 | -77% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | - | - | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share; no value tonight |
| Graham Growth | - | - | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields; no value tonight |
| Lynch | - | - | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25%; no value tonight |
| GLS Growth | - | - | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year; no value tonight |
| 10 Cap | - | - | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10%; no value tonight |
| Payback Time | - | - | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself; no value tonight |
| DDM | - | - | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend; no value tonight |
| EPV | - | - | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth; no value tonight |
| Zombie (liquidation) | 0.8017 | -78% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 13.00 | +256% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Safe Pro Group Inc. Common Stock scores only 3 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score, which fails the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. A reading this low means several of the basic tests - positive earnings, positive operating cash flow, falling debt, no new share issuance - are not met. A GLS Moat score of 1.5/10 is a weak reading: the ten-year history the score grades (revenue, EPS, book value, margins, cash flow, share count, ROIC) has not been steady, so the Moat part of the Wheel Score contributes little.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC -79.9%, ROE -80.8%, ROA -74.9% - with debt at 0.01 times equity and negative free cash flow.
Safe Pro Group Inc. Common Stock pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain. Revenue comes mainly from Service 59%, Product 41% (quarter Q2 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 2/10, insider activity 1/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 3 / 9 | ROIC | -79.9% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 1.5 / 10 | ROE | -80.8% |
| Debt / equity | 0.01 | ROA | -74.9% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -11.2% | Payout ratio | 0% |
| Institutions | 2 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 1 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 15: Weak
With a Wheel Score of 15 Safe Pro Group Inc. Common Stock sits in the Weak band. The parts - Value 0/25, Health 7/20, Moat 2/15, Premium 5/20, Stability 1/20 - show where: Value (0/25) scores lowest.
Implied volatility is 122%, far above the range the wheel strategy is built for. The premium looks generous; the Wheel Score gives it only 5 of 20 Premium points because moves of that size can blow through any strike. Chain open interest is thin - 1,382 contracts across every expiry - so fills at a fair price are not guaranteed; a 30-45-day put may not exist at a usable strike.
Volume runs at 143k shares a day on a market cap of $75M, with a beta of 3.72 - a high beta, so the stock tends to move more than the market and a strike can be gapped through; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 1 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 0 / 25 | -335% margin of safety | |
| Health | 7 / 20 | Piotroski 3/9 | |
| Moat | 2 / 15 | moat 1.5/10 | |
| Premium | 5 / 20 | implied volatility 122% | |
| Stability | 1 / 20 | 143k shares/day, $75M cap, beta 3.72 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 13 Nov 2026 (before the open), 28 days away; a 30-45-day put sold today would expire after it, which is worth weighing against the premium.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Aerospace & Defense
The 12 companies below are the closest to Safe Pro Group Inc. Common Stock by market cap within the Aerospace & Defense industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OPXS Optex Systems Holdings, Inc | 9.96 | 18.75 | +47% | 39No options | $69M |
| FJET Starfighters Space Inc | 1.26 | 0.0800 | -1474% | 20Weak | $69M |
| EVTL Vertical Aerospace Ltd. | 0.4071 | 42.01 | +99% | 45Weak | $69M |
| CVU CPI Aerostructures, Inc. | 4.97 | 5.15 | +4% | 49Weak | $66M |
| MNTS Momentus Inc. | 2.81 | - | - | 35Weak | $62M |
| HOVR New Horizon Aircraft Ltd | 1.41 | 1.73 | +19% | 29No options | $95M |
| MRLN Merlin, Inc. | 1.12 | 0.0208 | -5274% | 27Weak | $108M |
| BYRN Byrna Technologies Inc. | 4.78 | 4.22 | -13% | 43Weak | $112M |
| CODA Coda Octopus Group, Inc. | 9.92 | 6.62 | -50% | 23No options | $112M |
| VWAV VisionWave Holdings, Inc. | 4.01 | - | - | 37Weak | $121M |
| PUSA Powerus Corp. | 2.13 | 1.04 | -105% | 15Weak | $46M |
| SIDU Sidus Space, Inc. | 1.26 | - | - | 37Weak | $127M |
Screen the whole market the same way
A free GLS Equity account gets you nightly fair value and the Wheel Score on ~7,400 US stocks, a watchlist, the scanner preview and the Sunday Scan - the same eight-rule screen, emailed every week. Pro adds the full put and call scanners, unlimited watchlists with alerts and the trade journal.
Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about SPAI
Is SPAI undervalued right now?
No: at 3.65 the stock trades 335% above the GLS average fair value of 0.8392 (data as of 16 Oct 2026), well beyond what trailing earnings, cash flow and book value support.
What is the Wheel Score of SPAI and what does it mean?
SPAI scores 15 out of 100 (Weak). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for SPAI?
0.8392 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 1 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Safe Pro Group Inc. Common Stock report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 13 Nov 2026 (before the open), 28 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does SPAI have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 122 listed contracts with 1,382 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 122% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.