Stock fact sheet · data as of
Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Technology · Computer Hardware · Singapore · High Growth
Is STX undervalued?
At 713.54 (close of 16 Oct 2026), STX trades 90% over the GLS average fair value of 375.66, with 2 of 9 models above the price. The stock earns none of the Wheel Score's Value points at this price. That is a statement about price against trailing fundamentals, not about the company's prospects - the Wall Street View and the Growth tab on the Quote page carry the forward numbers.
There is a wide gap between DDM (43.55) and GLS Growth (890.07). When the models are this far apart the "fair value" is really a range, and the margin of safety above should be read with that range in mind.
The nightly engine files STX under High Growth: revenue and earnings growing fast enough that the growth-based models carry the valuation.
Nine valuation models for STX
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 72.96 | -90% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 56.89 | -92% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 831.62 | +17% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 363.47 | -49% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 890.07 | +25% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 359.49 | -50% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 601.38 | -16% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | 43.55 | -94% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 161.54 | -77% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -11.36 | -102% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 1,130.15 | +58% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Seagate Technology Holdings plc scores 8 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score, the nine yes/no tests of profitability, leverage and efficiency on the latest annual accounts - a strong reading that passes the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule with room to spare. On durability STX scores 7.0/10 on the GLS Moat - a middle reading; the Scorecard on the Quote page's Financials tab shows which ten-year lines are steady and which are not.
Returns on capital are high - ROIC 52.8%, ROE 146.9%, ROA 31.9% - with debt at 1.78 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 2.0%.
The dividend yield is 0.41% with a payout ratio of 20% - a small yield that leaves most of the earnings in the business.
Institutional ownership scores 10/10, insider activity 1/10 and Congressional trading 1/10 on the GLS smart-money scales; the last recorded insider buy was on 21 Sep 2026.
| Piotroski F-score | 8 / 9 | ROIC | 52.8% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 7.0 / 10 | ROE | 146.9% |
| Debt / equity | 1.78 | ROA | 31.9% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 2.0% | Payout ratio | 20% |
| Institutions | 10 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 1 · 1 / 10 |
Wheel Score 59: Fair
A Wheel Score of 59 puts Seagate Technology Holdings plc in the Fair band - below the 70 the Sunday Scan requires. Value 0/25, Health 18/20, Moat 11/15, Premium 14/20 and Stability 17/20; the weakest part is Value (0/25).
Implied volatility is 84% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - above the 60% ceiling of the sweet spot. Premiums are large, but the Wheel Score tapers the Premium points (14 of 20) because volatility this high usually comes with a reason. The option chain is deep: 94,303 contracts of open interest across all expiries, which means tight fills at most strikes.
Volume runs at 4.2M shares a day on a market cap of $162.3B, with a beta of 2.08 - a high beta, so the stock tends to move more than the market and a strike can be gapped through; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 17 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 0 / 25 | -90% margin of safety | |
| Health | 18 / 20 | Piotroski 8/9 | |
| Moat | 11 / 15 | moat 7.0/10 | |
| Premium | 14 / 20 | implied volatility 84% | |
| Stability | 17 / 20 | 4.2M shares/day, $162.3B cap, beta 2.08 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
Seagate Technology Holdings plc reports earnings on 27 Oct 2026 (after the close) - inside the 14-day window the Sunday Scan avoids, because a put sold now would carry the report's gap risk.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Computer Hardware
The 12 companies below are the closest to Seagate Technology Holdings plc by market cap within the Computer Hardware industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WDC Western Digital Corporation | 364.10 | 555.08 | +34% | 83Prime | $136.3B |
| SNDK Sandisk Corporation | 1,403.34 | 2,168.82 | +35% | 78Good | $202.8B |
| ANET Arista Networks, Inc. | 185.58 | 109.22 | -70% | 60Fair | $234.1B |
| DELL Dell Technologies Inc. | 474.06 | 442.84 | -7% | 75Good | $301.4B |
| HPE Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company | 58.63 | 33.75 | -74% | 57Fair | $77.8B |
| P Everpure, Inc. | 141.46 | 14.70 | -863% | 56Fair | $47.1B |
| NTAP NetApp, Inc. | 214.70 | 122.32 | -76% | 66Good | $42.2B |
| HPQ HP Inc. | 30.85 | 45.36 | +32% | 87Prime | $27.8B |
| SMCI Super Micro Computer, Inc. | 35.78 | 107.57 | +67% | 45Weak | $23.5B |
| LOGI Logitech International S.A. | 105.16 | 112.89 | +7% | 82Prime | $15.1B |
| IONQ IonQ, Inc. | 34.35 | - | - | 45Weak | $13.9B |
| QNT Quantinuum Inc. Class A Common Stock | 33.03 | 12.26 | -169% | 39Weak | $8.7B |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about STX
Is STX undervalued right now?
No: at 713.54 the stock trades 90% above the GLS average fair value of 375.66 (data as of 16 Oct 2026), well beyond what trailing earnings, cash flow and book value support.
What is the Wheel Score of STX and what does it mean?
STX scores 59 out of 100 (Fair). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for STX?
375.66 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 9 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Seagate Technology Holdings plc report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 27 Oct 2026 (after the close), 11 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does STX have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 1,000 listed contracts with 94,303 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 84% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.