Stock fact sheet · data as of
Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Ticker symbol STX · Technology · Computer Hardware · Singapore · Growth
Is STX undervalued?
At 557.06 (close of 5 Nov 2026), STX trades 14% over the GLS average fair value of 487.86. 3 of the 9 models land above the price and 6 below. A negative margin of safety fails the "below fair value" Wheel Trade Filter - the models see no discount, which does not make the business a poor one, only the price a full one.
There is a wide gap between DDM (43.55) and GLS Growth (1,180.37). When the models are this far apart the "fair value" is really a range, and the margin of safety above should be read with that range in mind.
Ranked against every other company we cover, STX is clearly faster-growing than it is cheap, so the nightly engine files it under Growth (value score 17, growth score 86, out of 100).
Nine valuation models for STX
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 72.22 | -87% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 81.06 | -85% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 1,102.86 | +98% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 482.02 | -13% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 1,180.37 | +112% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 454.05 | -18% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 760.35 | +36% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | 43.55 | -92% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 214.23 | -62% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -11.26 | -102% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 1,105.93 | +99% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Seagate Technology Holdings plc scores 8 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score, the nine yes/no tests of profitability, leverage and efficiency on the latest annual accounts - a strong reading that passes the "Piotroski 6 or more" Wheel Trade Filter with room to spare. On durability STX scores 6.1/10 on the GLS Moat - a middle reading; the Moat Score tab on the Quote page's Financials view shows which of the four parts hold it back.
Returns on capital are high - ROIC 52.8%, ROE 146.9%, ROA 31.9% - with debt at 1.78 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 3.4%.
The dividend yield is 0.53% with a payout ratio of 15% - a small yield that leaves most of the earnings in the business.
Institutional ownership scores 10/10, insider activity 1/10 and Congressional trading 1/10 on the GLS smart-money scales; the last recorded insider buy was on 21 Sep 2026.
| Piotroski F-score | 8 / 9 | ROIC | 52.8% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 6.1 / 10 | ROE | 146.9% |
| Debt / equity | 1.78 | ROA | 31.9% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 3.4% | Payout ratio | 15% |
| Institutions | 10 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 1 · 1 / 10 |
Wheel Score 41: Weak
With a Wheel Score of 41 Seagate Technology Holdings plc sits in the Weak band. It fails filter 3, below fair value - trades 14% above our fair value; Value (weak) is its weakest part.
Implied volatility is 77% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - above the 60% top of the sweet spot. It still passes the 25-80% filter, but the Wheel Score rewards it less because volatility this high usually comes with a reason. The option chain is deep: 116,083 contracts of open interest across all expiries, which means tight fills at most strikes.
Volume runs at 6.8M shares a day on a market cap of $127.9B, with a beta of 2.18 - a high beta, so the stock tends to move more than the market and a strike can be gapped through; the Stability part of the Wheel Score rates that good.
| Filter | Wheel Trade Filter | Result | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Options that actually trade | Passes | Listed options with 1,000+ contracts of open interest and 100+ traded a day |
| 2 | A real business, not a gamble | Passes | Profitable over the last twelve months - not a speculative stock, fund or note |
| 3 | Below fair value | Fails | trades 14% above our fair value |
| 4 | Financially healthy | Passes | Piotroski F-score 6 or more out of 9 (a company with no score on file passes) |
| 5 | Can repay its debt | Passes | Long-term debt repaid from 3 years of operating cash flow or less (6 for real estate and utilities; banks and insurers are not judged on it) |
| 6 | No serious red flags | Passes | Red Flags score 60 or more out of 100 (earnings, margins, debt, analysts, filings and price checked the same way for every stock) |
| 7 | A premium worth selling | Passes | Implied volatility 25-80% (enough premium, not a lottery ticket) |
| 8 | Big enough | Passes | Market cap $1 billion or more |
| 9 | Not a penny stock | Passes | Share price $5 or more |
| How it ranks | Rating | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | Weak | 14% above fair value | |
| Premium | Good | implied volatility 77% | |
| Moat | Good | moat 6.1/10 | |
| Health | Strong | Piotroski 8/9 | |
| Red Flags | Strong | Red Flags score 90/100 | |
| Option trading | Strong | 22,919 contracts a day, 116,083 open interest | |
| Stability | Good | beta 2.18, $127.9B company |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls: a stock must pass all 9 Wheel Trade Filters to score 70, and the score then ranks the ones that pass; the Sunday Scan is the top 10. It is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. How the Wheel Score works · the walkthrough lesson shows how it fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 27 Jan 2027, 83 days away - outside the window of a 30-45-day put sold today. The next ex-dividend date is 23 Dec 2026 (0.7600 per share).
Analysts downgraded STX 1 time in the last 30 days with no upgrades; the latest action was a reiterated rating by UBS on 2 Nov 2026.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Computer Hardware
The 12 companies below are the closest to Seagate Technology Holdings plc by market cap within the Computer Hardware industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WDC Western Digital Corporation | 323.83 | 570.12 | +43% | 81Good | $121.2B |
| SNDK Sandisk Corporation | 1,037.40 | 2,827.96 | +63% | 50Fair | $147.6B |
| ANET Arista Networks, Inc. | 178.48 | 120.08 | -49% | 47Weak | $225.1B |
| DELL Dell Technologies Inc. | 371.41 | 443.53 | +16% | 48Weak | $236.1B |
| HPE Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company | 50.07 | 33.81 | -48% | 39Weak | $66.5B |
| P Everpure, Inc. | 111.77 | 14.71 | -660% | 34Weak | $37.2B |
| NTAP NetApp, Inc. | 187.67 | 122.18 | -54% | 45Weak | $36.9B |
| HPQ HP Inc. | 29.93 | 51.88 | +42% | 91Prime | $27.0B |
| SMCI Super Micro Computer, Inc. | 29.60 | 131.21 | +77% | 47Weak | $19.4B |
| LOGI Logitech International S.A. | 100.12 | 107.70 | +7% | 76Good | $14.2B |
| IONQ IonQ, Inc. | 29.54 | - | - | 25Weak | $12.7B |
| QNT Quantinuum Inc. Class A Common Stock | 32.75 | 11.95 | -174% | 25Weak | $8.6B |
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A free GLS Equity account gets you nightly fair value and the Wheel Score on ~7,400 US stocks, a watchlist, the scanner preview and the Sunday Scan - the top 10 stocks that pass all 9 Wheel Trade Filters, emailed every week. Pro adds the full put and call scanners, unlimited watchlists with alerts and the trade journal.
Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about STX
Is STX undervalued right now?
No: at 557.06 the stock trades 14% above the GLS average fair value of 487.86 (data as of 5 Nov 2026). The margin of safety is negative.
What is the Wheel Score of STX and what does it mean?
STX scores 41 out of 100 (Weak) - it fails Wheel Trade Filter 3. The Wheel Score ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned - in two parts: the 9 pass/fail Wheel Trade Filters (busy options, a real business, below fair value, Piotroski 6 or more, debt it can repay, a Red Flags score of 60 or more, implied volatility of 25-80%, a $1 billion company, $5 a share) and a ranking of how strongly a stock passes on value, premium, moat, health, red flags, option trading and stability. A stock that fails any filter stays under 70; 70-84 is Good, 85 and above is Prime. The Sunday Scan is the top 10 that pass, sorted by Wheel Score.
What is the GLS fair value for STX?
487.86 per share as of 5 Nov 2026 - the simple average of the 9 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Seagate Technology Holdings plc report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 27 Jan 2027, 83 days from the data date of 5 Nov 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does STX have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 1,342 listed contracts with 116,083 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 77% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.