Stock fact sheet · data as of
Swvl Holdings Corp. (SWVL): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Industrials · General Transportation · United Arab Emirates · Speculative / Distressed
Is SWVL undervalued?
Swvl Holdings Corp. (SWVL) closed at 3.69 on 16 Oct 2026. None of the nine GLS valuation models produced a positive value for the stock - the company lost money over the last twelve months, EPS -0.09, it pays no dividend and its debts exceed what its assets would fetch - so there is no GLS average fair value and no margin of safety to report. The quality, option and event numbers below still apply; the Quote page's Wall Street View shows what analysts expect instead.
The nightly engine files SWVL under Speculative / Distressed - negative earnings or a Piotroski score of 3 or less - which caps its Wheel Score at 45 and keeps it out of the Sunday Scan.
Nine valuation models for SWVL
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | - | - | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital; no value tonight |
| Graham Number | - | - | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share; no value tonight |
| Graham Growth | - | - | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields; no value tonight |
| Lynch | - | - | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25%; no value tonight |
| GLS Growth | - | - | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year; no value tonight |
| 10 Cap | - | - | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10%; no value tonight |
| Payback Time | - | - | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself; no value tonight |
| DDM | - | - | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend; no value tonight |
| EPV | - | - | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth; no value tonight |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -0.4634 | -113% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 0.0000 | -100% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Financial health is weak: SWVL passes 0 of the nine Piotroski tests. Our screens drop the stock at the health rule; a low score is often the reason a stock looks cheap on the valuation models. The GLS Moat score is low at 2.9 out of 10, which says the ten-year record of revenue, earnings, margins and returns on capital has been inconsistent - growth and shocks rather than steady compounding.
Returns on capital are high - ROIC 16.7%, ROE 22.2%, ROA 6.6% - with debt at 0.33 times equity and negative free cash flow.
Swvl Holdings Corp. pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain. Revenue comes mainly from Business To Business TaaS 84%, Business To Customers 16% (fiscal year FY2025).
Institutional ownership scores 5/10, insider activity 5/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 0 / 9 | ROIC | 16.7% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 2.9 / 10 | ROE | 22.2% |
| Debt / equity | 0.33 | ROA | 6.6% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -0.3% | Payout ratio | 0% |
| Institutions | 5 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 5 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 23: No options
SWVL has no listed options in the nightly snapshot, so there is nothing to sell and the stock cannot be wheeled however good the business; the Wheel Score is capped at 39 and shown as "No options" (23 here). The valuation and quality numbers still apply to owning the shares outright.
Volume runs at 13k shares a day on a market cap of $37M, with a beta of 1.13; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 6 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 13 / 25 | 0% margin of safety | |
| Health | 0 / 20 | Piotroski 0/9 | |
| Moat | 4 / 15 | moat 2.9/10 | |
| Premium | 0 / 20 | no option data | |
| Stability | 6 / 20 | 13k shares/day, $37M cap, beta 1.13 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for SWVL in the nightly calendar.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in General Transportation
The 12 companies below are the closest to Swvl Holdings Corp. by market cap within the General Transportation industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PTLE PTL Limited | 7.35 | 2.18 | -238% | 15No options | $45M |
| ATVK Ameritek Ventures, Inc. | 4.01 | 0.7352 | -445% | 18No options | $37M |
| YSXT YSX Tech. Co., Ltd | 1.36 | 1.46 | +7% | 34No options | $36M |
| STRR Star Equity Holdings, Inc. | 9.83 | - | - | 24No options | $36M |
| CITR CitroTech Inc. | 3.00 | 0.0361 | -8212% | 6No options | $37M |
| STRRP Star Equity Holdings, Inc. | 9.11 | - | - | 31No options | $38M |
| AERT Aeries Technology, Inc | 6.60 | 11.76 | +44% | 39No options | $36M |
| NTIP Network-1 Technologies, Inc. | 1.55 | 1.03 | -51% | 14No options | $35M |
| MOB Mobilicom Ltd | 3.25 | 0.0590 | -5405% | 17Weak | $39M |
| FLX BingEx Limited | 1.53 | 74.16 | +98% | 39No options | $34M |
| SLND Southland Holdings, Inc. | 0.7290 | 0.4374 | -67% | 14No options | $40M |
| BNCWZ BNB Standard Corporation | 0.1505 | 21.66 | +99% | 39No options | $34M |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about SWVL
Is SWVL undervalued right now?
The GLS models could not value SWVL (the company lost money over the last twelve months, EPS -0.09, it pays no dividend and its debts exceed what its assets would fetch), so there is no fair value or margin of safety to compare the price of 3.69 against.
What is the Wheel Score of SWVL and what does it mean?
SWVL has no listed options in our nightly snapshot, so it cannot be wheeled; its Wheel Score is capped at 39 and shown as "No options".
What is the GLS fair value for SWVL?
None of the nine GLS models produced a positive value for SWVL (the company lost money over the last twelve months, EPS -0.09, it pays no dividend and its debts exceed what its assets would fetch), so there is no GLS fair value tonight.
When does Swvl Holdings Corp. report earnings next?
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for SWVL in our calendar as of 16 Oct 2026; the Calendars page is refreshed every morning.
Does SWVL have listed options, and how liquid are they?
No. The nightly options snapshot found no listed contracts on SWVL, so the wheel strategy cannot be run on it and the Wheel Score is capped at 39.