Stock fact sheet · data as of
Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. (TCBX): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Ticker symbol TCBX · Financial Services · Banks - Regional · United States · Blend
Is TCBX undervalued?
Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. (TCBX) closed at 40.49 on 5 Nov 2026. The GLS average fair value - the simple average of the 8 valuation models that produced a positive number - is 87.54, which puts the price 54% below it. 7 of the 8 models value the shares above the current price. A gap this wide is rare in our universe of ~7,400 US stocks and is exactly what the Value part of the Wheel Score rewards; it is also where the question "why is it this cheap?" matters most.
There is a wide gap between DCF (38.36) and GLS Growth (276.62). When the models are this far apart the "fair value" is really a range, and the margin of safety above should be read with that range in mind.
Ranked against every other company we cover, neither cheapness nor growth clearly wins for TCBX, so the nightly engine files it under Blend (value score 77, growth score 70, out of 100).
Nine valuation models for TCBX
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 38.36 | -5% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 64.19 | +59% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 131.65 | +225% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 48.12 | +19% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 276.62 | +583% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 44.04 | +9% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 47.11 | +16% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | - | - | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend; no value tonight |
| EPV | 50.21 | +24% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -263.05 | -750% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 53.00 | +31% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. scores 5 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score: a middling result that falls one point short of the "Piotroski 6 or more" Wheel Trade Filter. Some of the nine tests on profitability, leverage and efficiency are failed, so the accounts are worth a look before selling a put on the name. On durability TCBX scores 5.1/10 on the GLS Moat - a middle reading; the Moat Score tab on the Quote page's Financials view shows which of the four parts hold it back.
Returns on capital are moderate - ROIC 9.9%, ROE 12.5%, ROA 1.2% - with debt at 0.26 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 2.9%.
Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain.
Institutional ownership scores 9/10, insider activity 8/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales; the last recorded insider buy was on 26 Oct 2026.
| Piotroski F-score | 5 / 9 | ROIC | 9.9% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 5.1 / 10 | ROE | 12.5% |
| Debt / equity | 0.26 | ROA | 1.2% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 2.9% | Payout ratio | 6% |
| Institutions | 9 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 8 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 47: Weak
With a Wheel Score of 47 Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. sits in the Weak band. It fails filter 1, options that actually trade - options too quiet (98 open interest, 50 a day); and filter 4, financially healthy - Piotroski 5/9 (under 6); and filter 8, big enough - market cap $674M (under $1.0B); Option trading (weak) is its weakest part.
Implied volatility is 34% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out: enough to pass the 25-80% Wheel Trade Filter, but under the 35-60% sweet spot the score rewards most. Chain open interest is thin - 98 contracts across every expiry - so fills at a fair price are not guaranteed; a 30-45-day put may not exist at a usable strike.
Volume runs at 107k shares a day on a market cap of $674M, with a beta of 0.66 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score rates that fair.
| Filter | Wheel Trade Filter | Result | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Options that actually trade | Fails | options too quiet (98 open interest, 50 a day) |
| 2 | A real business, not a gamble | Passes | Profitable over the last twelve months - not a speculative stock, fund or note |
| 3 | Below fair value | Passes | Trading below the nine-model average fair value (margin of safety above 0) |
| 4 | Financially healthy | Fails | Piotroski 5/9 (under 6) |
| 5 | Can repay its debt | Passes | Long-term debt repaid from 3 years of operating cash flow or less (6 for real estate and utilities; banks and insurers are not judged on it) |
| 6 | No serious red flags | Passes | Red Flags score 60 or more out of 100 (earnings, margins, debt, analysts, filings and price checked the same way for every stock) |
| 7 | A premium worth selling | Passes | Implied volatility 25-80% (enough premium, not a lottery ticket) |
| 8 | Big enough | Fails | market cap $674M (under $1.0B) |
| 9 | Not a penny stock | Passes | Share price $5 or more |
| How it ranks | Rating | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | Strong | 54% below fair value | |
| Premium | Strong | implied volatility 34% | |
| Moat | Fair | moat 5.1/10 | |
| Health | Fair | Piotroski 5/9 | |
| Red Flags | Strong | Red Flags score 92/100 | |
| Option trading | Weak | 50 contracts a day, 98 open interest | |
| Stability | Fair | beta 0.66, $674M company |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls: a stock must pass all 9 Wheel Trade Filters to score 70, and the score then ranks the ones that pass; the Sunday Scan is the top 10. It is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. How the Wheel Score works · the walkthrough lesson shows how it fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 20 Jan 2027, 76 days away - outside the window of a 30-45-day put sold today.
No analyst upgrades or downgrades were recorded in the last 30 days.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Banks - Regional
The 12 companies below are the closest to Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. by market cap within the Banks - Regional industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CCB Coastal Financial Corporation | 44.45 | 302.53 | +85% | 49Weak | $680M |
| WCCB West Coast Community Bancorp | 63.35 | 121.40 | +48% | 36No options | $667M |
| ACNB ACNB Corporation | 67.51 | 58.80 | -15% | 35Weak | $687M |
| THVB Thomasville Bancshares, Inc. | 104.00 | 190.41 | +45% | 37No options | $659M |
| MSBIP Midland States Bancorp, Inc. | 25.04 | 34.91 | +28% | 31No options | $695M |
| MSBI Midland States Bancorp, Inc. | 33.44 | 38.17 | +12% | 41Weak | $696M |
| HIFS Hingham Institution for Savings | 320.17 | 380.09 | +16% | 28No options | $698M |
| CARE Carter Bankshares, Inc. | 29.26 | 45.81 | +36% | 49Weak | $646M |
| FBIZ First Business Financial Services, Inc. | 77.31 | 153.53 | +50% | 48Weak | $644M |
| RRBI Red River Bancshares, Inc. | 107.68 | 108.90 | +1% | 25No options | $709M |
| CUBB Customers Bancorp, Inc 5.375% S | 20.76 | 229.32 | +91% | 24No options | $709M |
| BHB Bar Harbor Bankshares | 42.51 | 39.72 | -7% | 31Weak | $713M |
⚖ Compare TCBX with 7 of them All Financial Services stocks →
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about TCBX
Is TCBX undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, yes: at 40.49 the stock is 54% below the average fair value of 87.54 (data as of 5 Nov 2026). Whether the discount is deserved is the question to research next.
What is the Wheel Score of TCBX and what does it mean?
TCBX scores 47 out of 100 (Weak) - it fails Wheel Trade Filters 1, 4, 8. The Wheel Score ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned - in two parts: the 9 pass/fail Wheel Trade Filters (busy options, a real business, below fair value, Piotroski 6 or more, debt it can repay, a Red Flags score of 60 or more, implied volatility of 25-80%, a $1 billion company, $5 a share) and a ranking of how strongly a stock passes on value, premium, moat, health, red flags, option trading and stability. A stock that fails any filter stays under 70; 70-84 is Good, 85 and above is Prime. The Sunday Scan is the top 10 that pass, sorted by Wheel Score.
What is the GLS fair value for TCBX?
87.54 per share as of 5 Nov 2026 - the simple average of the 8 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 20 Jan 2027, 76 days from the data date of 5 Nov 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does TCBX have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 50 listed contracts with 98 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 34% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.