Stock fact sheet · data as of
Tencent Music Entertainment Group (TME): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Communication Services · Internet Content & Information · China · ADR · High Growth
Is TME undervalued?
At 8.48 (close of 16 Oct 2026), TME trades 79% below the GLS average fair value of 41.25. That average comes from 9 models run on the latest filings, and 8 of them land above the current price. Margins of safety over 30% are the exception rather than the rule across the ~7,400 stocks we value each night, so the number earns Tencent Music Entertainment Group the full Value points in the Wheel Score - and a closer look at what the market is pricing in.
The 9 models disagree widely: Lynch gives 7.20 while 10 Cap gives 127.17. A spread that wide means the average is sensitive to which methods you trust; the model table below shows where each one lands, and the Quote page lets you switch any of them off.
The nightly engine files TME under High Growth: revenue and earnings growing fast enough that the growth-based models carry the valuation.
Nine valuation models for TME
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 11.25 | +33% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 39.92 | +371% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 21.21 | +150% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 7.20 | -15% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 48.61 | +473% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 127.17 | +1400% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 82.79 | +876% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | 23.54 | +178% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 9.54 | +13% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | 9.02 | +6% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 12.50 | +47% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Financial health is weak: TME passes 4 of the nine Piotroski tests. Our screens drop the stock at the health rule; a low score is often the reason a stock looks cheap on the valuation models. The GLS Moat score is 6.2 out of 10: a ten-year record that is consistent in some of the metrics the score tracks (revenue, earnings, margins, cash flow, returns on capital) and patchy in others.
Returns on capital are high - ROIC 13.1%, ROE 13.8%, ROA 10.8% - with debt at 0.05 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 11.0%.
The dividend yield is 2.87% at a payout ratio of 0%; for a wheel trader holding assigned shares the dividend adds to the covered-call premium, and the ex-dividend date is worth knowing before a call is sold. Revenue comes mainly from Online Music Services 98%, Online Music Services To Associates 2%, Social Entertainment Services And Other… 0% (fiscal year FY2025).
Institutional ownership scores 4/10, insider activity 10/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 4 / 9 | ROIC | 13.1% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 6.2 / 10 | ROE | 13.8% |
| Debt / equity | 0.05 | ROA | 10.8% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 11.0% | Payout ratio | 0% |
| Institutions | 4 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 10 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 83: Prime
TME scores 83 out of 100 on the Wheel Score, in the Prime band (80 and above), which fewer than one stock in twenty reaches on any night. The score blends five things a wheel trader checks before selling a cash-secured put: the margin of safety (Value, 25/25), Piotroski health (9/20), the GLS moat (9/15), the option premium on offer (20/20) and how easily the stock trades (20/20).
Implied volatility is 47% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - inside the 35-60% range the Wheel Score pays full marks for: enough premium to be worth selling, not so much that the risk is unpaid. The option chain is deep: 91,063 contracts of open interest across all expiries, which means tight fills at most strikes.
Volume runs at 4.5M shares a day on a market cap of $12.2B, with a beta of 0.75 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 20 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 25 / 25 | 79% margin of safety | |
| Health | 9 / 20 | Piotroski 4/9 | |
| Moat | 9 / 15 | moat 6.2/10 | |
| Premium | 20 / 20 | implied volatility 47% | |
| Stability | 20 / 20 | 4.5M shares/day, $12.2B cap, beta 0.75 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 11 Nov 2026 (before the open), 26 days away; a 30-45-day put sold today would expire after it, which is worth weighing against the premium.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Internet Content & Information
The 12 companies below are the closest to Tencent Music Entertainment Group by market cap within the Internet Content & Information industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PINS Pinterest, Inc. | 21.76 | 20.04 | -9% | 69Good | $13.8B |
| SNAP Snap Inc. | 6.10 | 9.40 | +35% | 45Weak | $10.3B |
| MTCH Match Group, Inc. | 44.10 | 91.45 | +52% | 88Prime | $10.1B |
| BZ Kanzhun Limited | 16.37 | 74.76 | +78% | 91Prime | $7.8B |
| ZG Zillow Group, Inc. Class A | 29.27 | 9.11 | -221% | 52Fair | $6.6B |
| Z Zillow Group, Inc. Class C | 28.33 | 8.96 | -216% | 53Fair | $6.4B |
| BILI Bilibili Inc. | 14.43 | 67.97 | +79% | 80Prime | $5.9B |
| BIDU Baidu, Inc. | 82.56 | 378.22 | +78% | 45Weak | $28.1B |
| RDDT Reddit, Inc. | 148.52 | 151.16 | +2% | 67Good | $28.6B |
| JOYY JOYY, Inc. Sponsored ADR Class A | 83.16 | 90.96 | +9% | 68Good | $4.1B |
| PPLI People Incorporated | 40.56 | 41.70 | +3% | 65Good | $3.0B |
| CARG CarGurus, Inc. | 30.30 | 44.87 | +32% | 86Prime | $2.7B |
⚖ Compare TME with 7 of them All Communication Services stocks →
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about TME
Is TME undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, yes: at 8.48 the stock is 79% below the average fair value of 41.25 (data as of 16 Oct 2026). Whether the discount is deserved is the question to research next.
What is the Wheel Score of TME and what does it mean?
TME scores 83 out of 100 (Prime). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for TME?
41.25 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 9 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Tencent Music Entertainment Group report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 11 Nov 2026 (before the open), 26 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does TME have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 232 listed contracts with 91,063 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 47% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.